MotorCycle Holdings Limited

ASX:MTO Stock Report

Mkt Cap: AU$169.2m

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

MotorCycle Holdings Valuation

Is MTO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTO?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MTO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.5x
PEG Ratio-39.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MTO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MTO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9x
ASG Autosports Group
8.1x-2.4%AU$432.8m
PWR Peter Warren Automotive Holdings
8.5x-4.6%AU$480.7m
APE Eagers Automotive
9.8x-5.1%AU$3.0b
SSG Shaver Shop Group
9.7x8.4%AU$162.5m
MTO MotorCycle Holdings
7.3x-0.2%AU$169.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MTO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MTO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.1%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MTO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the Australian Specialty Retail industry average (11.1x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.3x
Fair PE Ratio8.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MTO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MTO (A$2.31) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$5.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$2.31
AU$3.04
+31.6%
12.7%AU$3.42AU$2.40n/a4
Jan ’24AU$2.39
AU$3.04
+27.2%
12.7%AU$3.42AU$2.40n/a4
Dec ’23AU$2.39
AU$3.04
+27.2%
12.7%AU$3.42AU$2.40n/a4
Nov ’23AU$2.57
AU$3.04
+18.3%
12.7%AU$3.42AU$2.40n/a4
Oct ’23AU$2.50
AU$3.04
+21.6%
12.7%AU$3.42AU$2.40n/a4
Sep ’23AU$2.48
AU$2.68
+7.9%
11.9%AU$3.12AU$2.40n/a3
Aug ’23AU$2.49
AU$3.37
+35.2%
7.9%AU$3.74AU$3.13n/a3
Jul ’23AU$2.19
AU$3.69
+68.7%
11.9%AU$4.21AU$3.13n/a3
Jun ’23AU$2.38
AU$3.69
+55.2%
11.9%AU$4.21AU$3.13n/a3
May ’23AU$2.88
AU$3.69
+28.3%
11.9%AU$4.21AU$3.13n/a3
Apr ’23AU$2.93
AU$3.69
+26.1%
11.9%AU$4.21AU$3.13n/a3
Mar ’23AU$2.97
AU$3.68
+23.9%
12.0%AU$4.21AU$3.13n/a3
Feb ’23AU$3.15
AU$3.72
+18.2%
9.9%AU$4.18AU$3.28AU$2.273
Jan ’23AU$3.24
AU$3.56
+9.8%
5.5%AU$3.70AU$3.28AU$2.393
Dec ’22AU$3.10
AU$3.56
+14.8%
5.5%AU$3.70AU$3.28AU$2.393
Nov ’22AU$3.22
AU$3.51
+8.9%
4.8%AU$3.69AU$3.28AU$2.573
Oct ’22AU$3.00
AU$3.51
+16.8%
4.8%AU$3.69AU$3.28AU$2.503
Sep ’22AU$3.35
AU$3.51
+4.6%
4.8%AU$3.69AU$3.28AU$2.483
Aug ’22AU$2.75
AU$3.18
+15.6%
11.6%AU$3.63AU$2.73AU$2.493
Jul ’22AU$2.79
AU$3.18
+14.0%
11.5%AU$3.63AU$2.73AU$2.193
Jun ’22AU$3.00
AU$3.18
+6.1%
11.5%AU$3.63AU$2.73AU$2.383
May ’22AU$2.79
AU$2.72
-2.4%
5.9%AU$2.93AU$2.54AU$2.883
Apr ’22AU$2.44
AU$2.72
+11.7%
5.9%AU$2.93AU$2.54AU$2.933
Mar ’22AU$2.40
AU$2.72
+13.5%
5.9%AU$2.93AU$2.54AU$2.973
Feb ’22AU$2.59
AU$2.63
+1.4%
15.9%AU$2.98AU$2.04AU$3.153

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies