Eagers Automotive Limited

ASX:APE Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$3.0b

Eagers Automotive Valuation

Is APE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of APE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: APE (A$11.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$18.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: APE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for APE?

Key metric: As APE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for APE. This is calculated by dividing APE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is APE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.4x
EarningsAU$259.36m
Market CapAU$2.95b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does APE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for APE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.1x
ASG Autosports Group
5.7x2.0%AU$349.2m
PWR Peter Warren Automotive Holdings
7.1x2.5%AU$256.3m
MTO MotorCycle Holdings
9.8x12.9%AU$138.4m
SUL Super Retail Group
13.9x2.9%AU$3.3b
APE Eagers Automotive
11.4x2.3%AU$3.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: APE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the peer average (9.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does APE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
APE 11.4xIndustry Avg. 17.8xNo. of Companies4PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: APE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the Australian Specialty Retail industry average (17.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is APE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

APE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: APE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst APE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$11.45
AU$11.85
+3.5%
13.1%AU$15.00AU$9.23n/a16
Dec ’25AU$11.28
AU$11.63
+3.1%
11.8%AU$14.00AU$9.23n/a15
Nov ’25AU$10.96
AU$11.63
+6.1%
11.8%AU$14.00AU$9.23n/a15
Oct ’25AU$11.06
AU$11.63
+5.2%
11.9%AU$14.10AU$9.23n/a15
Sep ’25AU$10.44
AU$11.63
+11.4%
11.9%AU$14.10AU$9.23n/a15
Aug ’25AU$10.63
AU$11.96
+12.5%
13.7%AU$14.35AU$9.00n/a15
Jul ’25AU$10.44
AU$11.96
+14.6%
13.7%AU$14.35AU$9.00n/a15
Jun ’25AU$10.12
AU$11.96
+18.2%
13.7%AU$14.35AU$9.00n/a15
May ’25AU$12.08
AU$14.54
+20.3%
11.2%AU$16.50AU$10.80n/a15
Apr ’25AU$14.16
AU$14.54
+2.7%
11.2%AU$16.50AU$10.80n/a15
Mar ’25AU$14.39
AU$14.54
+1.0%
11.2%AU$16.50AU$10.80n/a15
Feb ’25AU$14.00
AU$14.96
+6.9%
12.3%AU$17.90AU$10.80n/a14
Jan ’25AU$14.48
AU$15.07
+4.1%
11.3%AU$17.90AU$10.80n/a15
Dec ’24AU$13.26
AU$15.07
+13.6%
11.3%AU$17.90AU$10.80AU$11.2815
Nov ’24AU$13.13
AU$15.07
+14.8%
11.3%AU$17.90AU$10.80AU$10.9615
Oct ’24AU$13.93
AU$14.87
+6.7%
11.7%AU$17.90AU$10.80AU$11.0615
Sep ’24AU$15.49
AU$14.64
-5.5%
10.3%AU$16.20AU$10.80AU$10.4416
Aug ’24AU$14.51
AU$14.35
-1.1%
12.5%AU$16.20AU$10.00AU$10.6316
Jul ’24AU$13.49
AU$14.17
+5.0%
11.8%AU$16.00AU$10.00AU$10.4416
Jun ’24AU$12.20
AU$14.17
+16.1%
11.7%AU$16.00AU$10.00AU$10.1215
May ’24AU$14.19
AU$14.27
+0.6%
12.0%AU$16.00AU$10.00AU$12.0815
Apr ’24AU$13.49
AU$14.25
+5.6%
12.5%AU$16.00AU$10.00AU$14.1614
Mar ’24AU$14.11
AU$13.90
-1.5%
12.6%AU$16.00AU$10.00AU$14.3915
Feb ’24AU$11.38
AU$13.70
+20.4%
13.1%AU$17.00AU$9.75AU$14.0015
Jan ’24AU$10.85
AU$13.70
+26.3%
13.1%AU$17.00AU$9.75AU$14.4815
Dec ’23AU$12.46
AU$13.79
+10.7%
13.2%AU$17.00AU$9.75AU$13.2614

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 21:28
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Eagers Automotive Limited is covered by 23 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Daniel MorganBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Chris SavageBell Potter