We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Super Retail Group Valuation

Is SUL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SUL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SUL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.6x
PEG Ratio-3.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SUL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SUL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.6x
LOV Lovisa Holdings
30.5x17.1%AU$2.1b
MHJ Michael Hill International
7.3x-2.6%AU$343.6m
BBN Baby Bunting Group
13.1x27.8%AU$184.1m
SSG Shaver Shop Group
7.3x9.0%AU$126.4m
SUL Super Retail Group
9.3x-5.0%AU$2.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SUL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x) compared to the peer average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SUL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SUL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x) compared to the Australian Specialty Retail industry average (8.2x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SUL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SUL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.3x
Fair PE Ratio10.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SUL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SUL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SUL (A$11.32) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$28.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SUL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SUL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$11.32
AU$13.17
+16.3%
14.1%AU$17.00AU$9.50n/a15
Jun ’24AU$11.38
AU$13.17
+15.7%
14.1%AU$17.00AU$9.50n/a15
May ’24AU$13.60
AU$13.06
-4.0%
12.9%AU$15.50AU$9.50n/a14
Apr ’24AU$12.55
AU$12.89
+2.7%
13.6%AU$15.50AU$9.50n/a15
Mar ’24AU$12.98
AU$12.81
-1.3%
13.6%AU$15.50AU$9.50n/a15
Feb ’24AU$12.44
AU$12.44
+0.02%
13.1%AU$14.50AU$9.00n/a15
Jan ’24AU$10.71
AU$11.46
+7.0%
15.1%AU$14.05AU$8.00n/a15
Dec ’23AU$11.18
AU$11.51
+2.9%
15.1%AU$14.05AU$8.00n/a14
Nov ’23AU$10.42
AU$11.51
+10.4%
15.1%AU$14.05AU$8.00n/a14
Oct ’23AU$8.88
AU$11.54
+30.0%
14.2%AU$13.97AU$9.00n/a14
Sep ’23AU$10.24
AU$11.69
+14.1%
13.9%AU$13.97AU$9.00n/a14
Aug ’23AU$9.87
AU$11.18
+13.2%
14.5%AU$14.40AU$9.00n/a13
Jul ’23AU$8.52
AU$11.76
+38.0%
15.2%AU$14.40AU$9.00n/a13
Jun ’23AU$9.52
AU$12.26
+28.8%
13.6%AU$14.40AU$9.00AU$11.3813
May ’23AU$10.60
AU$13.06
+23.3%
11.2%AU$15.00AU$9.00AU$13.6013
Apr ’23AU$10.18
AU$13.04
+28.0%
10.9%AU$15.00AU$9.00AU$12.5514
Mar ’23AU$11.22
AU$13.04
+16.2%
10.9%AU$15.00AU$9.00AU$12.9814
Feb ’23AU$11.76
AU$13.65
+16.1%
15.1%AU$17.75AU$9.00AU$12.4413
Jan ’23AU$12.46
AU$13.81
+10.8%
14.5%AU$17.75AU$9.00AU$10.7113
Dec ’22AU$12.46
AU$13.81
+10.8%
14.5%AU$17.75AU$9.00AU$11.1813
Nov ’22AU$13.21
AU$13.81
+4.5%
14.5%AU$17.75AU$9.00AU$10.4213
Oct ’22AU$11.74
AU$13.64
+16.2%
14.5%AU$18.00AU$9.00AU$8.8813
Sep ’22AU$12.22
AU$13.50
+10.4%
14.6%AU$18.00AU$9.00AU$10.2414
Aug ’22AU$13.23
AU$13.14
-0.7%
14.3%AU$16.50AU$8.40AU$9.8713
Jul ’22AU$12.74
AU$12.99
+2.0%
12.8%AU$15.00AU$8.40AU$8.5213
Jun ’22AU$12.92
AU$12.95
+0.2%
13.6%AU$15.00AU$8.40AU$9.5212

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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