Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think Eagers Automotive (ASX:APE) Is Well Worth Watching

ASX:APE
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Some have more dollars than sense, they say, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can easily find investors. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses.

In contrast to all that, I prefer to spend time on companies like Eagers Automotive (ASX:APE), which has not only revenues, but also profits. While that doesn't make the shares worth buying at any price, you can't deny that successful capitalism requires profit, eventually. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, unless its owners have an endless appetite for subsidizing the customer, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else breathe its last breath.

See our latest analysis for Eagers Automotive

Eagers Automotive's Earnings Per Share Are Growing.

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price will eventually follow. Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. Impressively, Eagers Automotive has grown EPS by 36% per year, compound, in the last three years. As a general rule, we'd say that if a company can keep up that sort of growth, shareholders will be smiling.

I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). This approach makes Eagers Automotive look pretty good, on balance; although revenue is flattish, EBIT margins improved from 3.1% to 5.6% in the last year. That's a real positive.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:APE Earnings and Revenue History April 8th 2022

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of Eagers Automotive's forecast profits?

Are Eagers Automotive Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like the kids in the streets standing up for their beliefs, insider share purchases give me reason to believe in a brighter future. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. Of course, we can never be sure what insiders are thinking, we can only judge their actions.

The good news is that Eagers Automotive insiders spent a whopping AU$1.1m on stock in just one year, and I didn't see any selling. And so I find myself almost expectant, and certainly hopeful, that this large outlay signals prescient optimism for the business. We also note that it was the Independent Non-Executive Director, Gregory Duncan, who made the biggest single acquisition, paying AU$695k for shares at about AU$13.91 each.

Along with the insider buying, another encouraging sign for Eagers Automotive is that insiders, as a group, have a considerable shareholding. Notably, they have an enormous stake in the company, worth AU$325m. This suggests to me that leadership will be very mindful of shareholders' interests when making decisions!

Is Eagers Automotive Worth Keeping An Eye On?

You can't deny that Eagers Automotive has grown its earnings per share at a very impressive rate. That's attractive. Not only that, but we can see that insiders both own a lot of, and are buying more, shares in the company. So it's fair to say I think this stock may well deserve a spot on your watchlist. It's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Eagers Automotive (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

As a growth investor I do like to see insider buying. But Eagers Automotive isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Eagers Automotive might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.