Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Their Fair Value

ASX:NSR
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The Australian stock market has recently experienced a decline, with the ASX200 closing down 0.4% at 8,131 points as all sectors lost ground amid the Reserve Bank's decision to keep interest rates steady at 4.35%. In this environment of cautious economic outlook and sector-wide losses, identifying stocks that may be trading below their fair value can present potential opportunities for investors looking to capitalize on undervalued assets.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:TLX)A$22.41A$44.4949.6%
DUG Technology (ASX:DUG)A$1.81A$3.4848%
MLG Oz (ASX:MLG)A$0.62A$1.1546.2%
Ansell (ASX:ANN)A$31.20A$57.8046%
Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA)A$4.70A$9.4350.2%
Megaport (ASX:MP1)A$6.78A$13.4249.5%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%
IDP Education (ASX:IEL)A$14.04A$27.3848.7%
Audinate Group (ASX:AD8)A$9.25A$17.8148.1%
Energy One (ASX:EOL)A$5.56A$11.0649.7%

Click here to see the full list of 41 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

We're going to check out a few of the best picks from our screener tool.

Data#3 (ASX:DTL)

Overview: Data#3 Limited provides information technology solutions and services across Australia, Fiji, and the Pacific Islands with a market capitalization of A$1.17 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily derives from its role as a value-added IT reseller and IT solutions provider, generating A$805.75 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 45.5%

Data#3 is trading at A$7.32, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$13.44, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Analysts expect a 21% price increase, aligning with strong revenue growth forecasts of 33.3% annually, surpassing market expectations. However, the dividend yield of 3.52% isn't well covered by earnings or cash flows, and earnings growth at 10.9% per year lags behind the broader Australian market's forecasted growth rate of 12.3%.

ASX:DTL Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024
ASX:DTL Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

National Storage REIT (ASX:NSR)

Overview: National Storage REIT is the largest self-storage provider in Australia and New Zealand, operating over 225 centers that offer tailored storage solutions to more than 90,000 residential and commercial customers, with a market cap of A$3.45 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of A$354.69 million from the operation and management of its storage centers.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 36.8%

National Storage REIT is trading at A$2.50, well below its fair value estimate of A$3.96, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite recent one-off items impacting results, earnings are expected to grow significantly by 20% annually over the next three years, outpacing the broader Australian market's 12.3% growth forecast. However, a low return on equity of 4.6% in three years could be a concern despite revenue growth projections exceeding market averages at 8.6%.

ASX:NSR Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024
ASX:NSR Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR)

Overview: Sandfire Resources Limited is a mining company focused on the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral tenements and projects, with a market cap of A$4.74 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue through its Motheo Copper Project ($346.47 million), MATSA Copper Operations ($565.68 million), and Degrussa Copper Operations ($29.40 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 31.8%

Sandfire Resources is trading at A$10.43, significantly below its fair value estimate of A$15.29, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. The company is projected to achieve profitability within three years with earnings growth forecasted at 38.4% annually, surpassing the Australian market's average growth rate. Despite these positives, its return on equity is expected to remain relatively low at 11.3%, which could temper investor enthusiasm for long-term returns.

ASX:SFR Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024
ASX:SFR Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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