Sandfire Resources Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Sandfire Resources is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 40.8% and 8.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 40.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.4% in 3 years.

Key information

40.8%

Earnings growth rate

40.3%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	10.5%
Revenue growth rate	8.2%
Future return on equity	11.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) Full-Year Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Aug 30

Recent updates

Are Investors Undervaluing Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) By 32%?

Nov 04

Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Sep 30

Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) Full-Year Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Aug 30

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) Low P/S

May 21

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR)

Apr 24

Is Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) Using Too Much Debt?

Mar 22

Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 98% Above Its Share Price

Nov 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:SFR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	1,299	269	436	599	14
6/30/2026	1,246	225	372	573	15
6/30/2025	1,159	144	270	518	15
6/30/2024	935	-17	123	345	N/A
3/31/2024	864	-47	44	289	N/A
12/31/2023	796	-78	-35	233	N/A
9/30/2023	803	-65	-123	175	N/A
6/30/2023	808	-52	-210	117	N/A
3/31/2023	929	-11	-110	200	N/A
12/31/2022	1,051	29	-10	283	N/A
9/30/2022	990	70	88	337	N/A
6/30/2022	929	111	185	391	N/A
3/31/2022	798	125	207	375	N/A
12/31/2021	667	139	229	359	N/A
9/30/2021	637	134	244	353	N/A
6/30/2021	608	129	259	348	N/A
3/31/2021	573	103	206	294	N/A
12/31/2020	521	75	136	216	N/A
9/30/2020	486	63	122	202	N/A
6/30/2020	453	51	110	189	N/A
3/31/2020	396	51	90	152	N/A
12/31/2019	443	64	93	156	N/A
9/30/2019	413	67	60	146	N/A
6/30/2019	416	75	32	148	N/A
3/31/2019	411	78	38	159	N/A
12/31/2018	398	79	44	166	N/A
9/30/2018	410	85	79	174	N/A
6/30/2018	422	91	116	181	N/A
3/31/2018	427	86	N/A	181	N/A
12/31/2017	423	78	N/A	176	N/A
9/30/2017	414	70	N/A	173	N/A
6/30/2017	394	60	N/A	166	N/A
3/31/2017	393	56	N/A	152	N/A
12/31/2016	373	50	N/A	132	N/A
9/30/2016	388	45	N/A	121	N/A
6/30/2016	370	36	N/A	100	N/A
3/31/2016	389	39	N/A	117	N/A
12/31/2015	375	40	N/A	125	N/A
9/30/2015	374	43	N/A	139	N/A
6/30/2015	422	53	N/A	172	N/A
3/31/2015	414	55	N/A	165	N/A
12/31/2014	440	62	N/A	171	N/A
9/30/2014	465	67	N/A	189	N/A
6/30/2014	496	74	N/A	210	N/A
3/31/2014	468	56	N/A	216	N/A
12/31/2013	433	38	N/A	216	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SFR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: SFR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: SFR is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SFR's revenue (8.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SFR's revenue (8.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SFR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.4%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 05:54
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Sandfire Resources Limited is covered by 38 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Russell Wright	APP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Glyn Lawcock	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited

Sandfire Resources Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) Full-Year Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to US$0.013 loss

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 94%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 15%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%

Recent updates

Are Investors Undervaluing Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) By 32%?

Sandfire Resources Limited to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Oct 29, 2024

Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Sandfire Resources Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 15, 2024

Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) Full-Year Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Sandfire Resources Limited to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Jul 25, 2024

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) Low P/S

CEO, MD & Director exercised options and sold AU$1.6m worth of stock

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR)

Sandfire Resources Limited to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Apr 30, 2024

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces Resignation of Sophie Raven as Joint Company Secretary, Effective 3 April 2024

Is Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) Using Too Much Debt?

Sandfire Resources Limited Appoints Victoria Twiss as Joint Company Secretary

First half 2024 earnings released: US$0.12 loss per share (vs US$0.065 loss in 1H 2023)

Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to US$0.013 loss

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 94%

Sandfire Resources Limited to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jan 30, 2024

Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 98% Above Its Share Price

Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces the Appointment of Paul Harvey as Independent Non-Executive Director

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Estimating The Fair Value Of Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR)

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 15%

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces Management Changes

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces Retirement of Roric Smith as Non-Executive Director, Effective June 30, 2023

Alkane Resources Limited (ASX:ALK) completed the acquisition of Two tenement packages in New South Wales from Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR).

Are Investors Undervaluing Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) By 40%?

Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%

First half 2023 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations

Price target increased by 8.4% to AU$6.22

Sandfire Resources Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Feb 28, 2023

Are Investors Undervaluing Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) By 49%?

Price target increased by 11% to AU$6.07

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces Near Mine Exploration Success at MATSA

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to US$0.013 loss

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Sandfire Resources Limited to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jan 24, 2023

Consensus forecasts updated

AIC Mines Limited (ASX:A1M) completed the acquisition of Demetallica Limited (ASX:DRM) from OZ Minerals Limited (ASX:OZL), Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR), Yarraandoo Pty Ltd and other shareholders.

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces Executive Changes

Consensus forecasts updated

Sandfire Resources Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Full Year of 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 60%

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Sandfire Resources Limited Appoints Brendan Harris as Managing Director

Auris Minerals Limited Provides Update on Exploration Completed by Sandfire Resources Limited During the September 2022 Quarter Across the Joint Venture Projects Located in the Bryah Basin, Western Australia

Consensus forecasts updated

Sandfire Resources Limited Announce Encouraging Copper-Silver (Cu-Ag) Assay Results from Recent and Ongoing Drilling At the A1 Prospect, Motheo Copper Mine in the Kalahari Copper Belt of Botswana

Consensus forecasts updated

We Think Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 69%

Price target decreased to AU$5.19

Sandfire Resources Limited to Report Q1, 2023 Results on Oct 20, 2022

Sandfire Resources Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 30, 2022

Consensus forecasts updated

Sandfire Resources Limited Provides Group Production Guidance for Year 2023

Consensus forecasts updated

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces Chief Executive Officer Transition

AIC Mines Limited (ASX:A1M) offered to acquire Demetallica Limited (ASX:DRM) from OZ Minerals Limited (ASX:OZL), Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR), Yarraandoo Pty Ltd and other shareholders for AUD 35.6 million.

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations