Goodman Group

ASX:GMG

Snowflake Description

Excellent balance sheet with solid track record.

The Snowflake is generated from 30 checks in 5 different areas, read more below.

GMG

ASX

A$25B

Market Cap

Add to portfolio

Last updated 2019/05/19 10:32

Company description

Goodman Group is an integrated property group with operations throughout Australia, New Zealand, Asia, Europe, the United Kingdom, North America and Brazil. The last earnings update was 95 days ago. More info.

Find similar companies

Add to Portfolio Compare Print

GMG Share Price and Events

7 Day Returns

4.1%

ASX:GMG

2.8%

AU REITs

1.1%

AU Market

1 Year Returns

52.3%

ASX:GMG

17.4%

AU REITs

2.6%

AU Market

GMG Shareholder Return

	7 Day	30 Day	90 Day	1 Year	3 Year	5 Year
Goodman Group (GMG)	4.1%	7.9%	6.2%	52.3%	89.4%	168.8%
AU REITs	2.8%	2.8%	4%	17.4%	15.7%	66%
AU Market	1.1%	1.6%	4.4%	2.6%	17.9%	7.7%

1 Year Return vs Industry and Market

GMG outperformed the REITs industry which returned 17.4% over the past year.
GMG outperformed the Market in Australia which returned 2.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

GMG

Industry

5yr Volatility vs Market

Related Companies

Scentre Group

ASX:SCG

Add Compare

Dexus

ASX:DXS

Add Compare

Mirvac Group

ASX:MGR

Add Compare

GMG Value

Is Goodman Group undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale at half price, they could be considered undervalued.

INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS

Here we compare the current share price of Goodman Group to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.

The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the future.

Raw Data

Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Goodman Group.

ASX:GMG Discounted Cash Flow Data Sources
Data Point	Source	Value
Valuation Model		2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity using Adjusted Funds From Operations
Levered Adjusted Funds From Operations	Average of 11 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global)	See below
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity)	See below	7.1%
Perpetual Growth Rate	10-Year AU Government Bond Rate	2.3%

An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.

Calculation of Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity for ASX:GMG
Data Point	Calculation/ Source	Result
Risk-Free Rate	10-Year AU Govt Bond Rate	2.3%
Equity Risk Premium	S&P Global	6%
REITs Unlevered Beta	Simply Wall St/ S&P Global	0.52
Re-levered Beta	= Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity)) = 0.523 (1 + (1- 30%) (11.9%))	0.709
Levered Beta	Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0 (practical range for a stable firm)	0.8
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity	= Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium) = 2.31% + (0.8 * 5.96%)	7.08%

Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for ASX:GMG using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity using Adjusted Funds From Operations Model

The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Goodman Group is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.

Goodman Group is a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), we use funds from operations (FFO) or adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) instead of levered free cash flow for REITs. This excludes depreciation and borrowing. Ideally analysts estimates of AFFO are used, where these aren't available we use FFO.

ASX:GMG DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
	Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) (AUD, Millions)	Source	Present Value Discounted (@ 7.08%)
2019	904.45	Analyst x2	844.65
2020	999.15	Analyst x2	871.39
2021	1,088.55	Analyst x2	886.59
2022	1,205.50	Analyst x1	916.92
2023	1,293.66	Est @ 7.31%	918.92
2024	1,368.86	Est @ 5.81%	908.05
2025	1,434.05	Est @ 4.76%	888.39
2026	1,491.80	Est @ 4.03%	863.07
2027	1,544.21	Est @ 3.51%	834.32
2028	1,592.89	Est @ 3.15%	803.71
Present value of next 10 years cash flows			A$8,736.02

ASX:GMG DCF 2nd Stage: Terminal Value
	Calculation	Result
Terminal Value	= FCF₂₀₂₈ × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g) = A$1,592.89 × (1 + 2.31%) ÷ (7.08% – 2.31%)	A$34,180.31
Present Value of Terminal Value	= Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)¹⁰ = A$34,180.31 ÷ (1 + 7.08%)¹⁰	A$17,246.16

ASX:GMG Total Equity Value
	Calculation	Result
Total Equity Value	= Present value of next 10 years cash flows + Terminal Value = A$8,736.02 + A$17,246.16	A$25,982.17
Equity Value per Share (AUD)	= Total value / Shares Outstanding = A$25,982.17 / 1,813.88	A$14.32

ASX:GMG Discount to Share Price
	Calculation	Result
Value per share (AUD)	From above.	A$14.32
Current discount	Discount to share price of A$13.71 = -1 x (A$13.71 - A$14.32) / A$14.32	4.3%

Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .

Current Discount

Amount off the current price Goodman Group is available for.

Share price is A$13.71 vs Future cash flow value of A$14.32

Current Discount Checks

For Goodman Group to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the current price. Less than 40% is even better.

Goodman Group's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a moderate discount (< 20%).
Goodman Group's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a substantial discount (< 40%).

PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET

We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.

The amount the stock market is willing to pay for Goodman Group's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.

Price based on past earnings

Are Goodman Group's earnings available for a low price, and how does this compare to other companies in the same industry?

Raw Data

ASX:GMG PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point	Source	Value
Earnings Per Share *	Company Filings (2018-12-31) in AUD	A$0.82
ASX:GMG Share Price **	ASX (2019-05-17) in AUD	A$13.71
Australia REITs Industry PE Ratio	Median Figure of 38 Publicly-Listed REITs Companies	11.08x
Australia Market PE Ratio	Median Figure of 542 Publicly-Listed Companies	15.99x

* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.

** Primary Listing of Goodman Group.

ASX:GMG PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Calculation
	Calculation	Outcome
PE Ratio	= ASX:GMG Share Price ÷ EPS (both in AUD) = 13.71 ÷ 0.82	16.67x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

Goodman Group is overvalued based on earnings compared to the AU REITs industry average.
Goodman Group is overvalued based on earnings compared to the Australia market.

Price based on expected Growth

Does Goodman Group's expected growth come at a high price?

Raw Data

ASX:GMG PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point	Source	Value
PE Ratio	See PE Ratio Section	16.67x
Net Income Annual Growth Rate	See Future Growth Section. Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 11 Analysts	4%per year
Australia REITs Industry PEG Ratio	Median Figure of 33 Publicly-Listed REITs Companies	1.04x
Australia Market PEG Ratio	Median Figure of 360 Publicly-Listed Companies	1.42x

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

ASX:GMG PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Calculation
	Calculation	Outcome
PEG Ratio	= PE Ratio ÷ Net Income Annual Growth Rate = 16.67x ÷ 4%	4.19x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

Goodman Group is poor value based on expected growth next year.

Price based on value of assets

What value do investors place on Goodman Group's assets?

Raw Data

ASX:GMG PB (Price to Book) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point	Source	Value
Book Value per Share	Company Filings (2018-12-31) in AUD	A$5.52
ASX:GMG Share Price *	ASX (2019-05-17) in AUD	A$13.71
Australia REITs Industry PB Ratio	Median Figure of 42 Publicly-Listed REITs Companies	1.12x
Australia Market PB Ratio	Median Figure of 1,676 Publicly-Listed Companies	1.65x

ASX:GMG PB (Price to Book) Ratio Calculation
	Calculation	Outcome
PB Ratio	= ASX:GMG Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in AUD) = 13.71 ÷ 5.52	2.49x

* Primary Listing of Goodman Group.

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

Goodman Group is overvalued based on assets compared to the AU REITs industry average.

Value checks

We assess Goodman Group's value by looking at:

Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) ( Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation. )
Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the REITs industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
Is the PB ratio less than the REITs industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check)

Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

GMG Future Performance

How is Goodman Group expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 11 analysts?

The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past performance, by looking at estimated growth and how much profit it is expected to make.

Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!

Expected annual growth in earnings.

Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings

Is Goodman Group expected to grow at an attractive rate?

Goodman Group's earnings growth is expected to exceed the low risk savings rate of 2.3%.

Growth vs Market Checks

Goodman Group's earnings growth is positive but not above the Australia market average.
Goodman Group's revenues are expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is below the Australia market average.

Annual Growth Rates Comparison

Raw Data

ASX:GMG Future Growth Rates Data Sources
Data Point	Source	Value (per year)
ASX:GMG Future Earnings Growth Rate	Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 11 Analysts	4%
ASX:GMG Future Revenue Growth Rate	Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 11 Analysts	-0.5%
Australia REITs Industry Earnings Growth Rate	Market Cap Weighted Average	-3.2%
Australia REITs Industry Revenue Growth Rate	Market Cap Weighted Average	0.3%
Australia Market Earnings Growth Rate	Market Cap Weighted Average	6.9%
Australia Market Revenue Growth Rate	Market Cap Weighted Average	3.2%

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.

Analysts growth expectations

Raw Data

ASX:GMG Analysts Growth Expectations Data Sources
Data Point	Source	Value
Past Financials	Company Filings (4 months ago)	See Below
Future Estimates	Average of up to 11 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global)	See Below

All numbers in AUD Millions and using Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

ASX:GMG Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in AUD Millions)	Revenue	Cash Flow	Net Income *	Avg. No. Analysts
2022-06-30	1,270	1,270
2021-06-30	1,822	1,121	1,132	3
2020-06-30	1,731	1,009	1,012	3
2019-06-30	1,578	871	894	3

ASX:GMG Past Financials Data
Date (Data in AUD Millions)	Revenue	Cash Flow	Net Income *
2018-12-31	2,312	916	1,485
2018-09-30	2,101	1,038	1,291
2018-06-30	1,891	1,161	1,098
2018-03-31	1,931	993	931
2017-12-31	2,024	825	764
2017-09-30	1,998	705	771
2017-06-30	1,972	586	778
2017-03-31	2,046	689	845
2016-12-31	2,120	792	912
2016-09-30	2,108	811	1,093
2016-06-30	2,096	830	1,275
2016-03-31	1,980	801	1,445

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

High Growth Checks

Goodman Group's earnings are expected to grow by 4% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Goodman Group's revenue is expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is not considered high growth.

Past and Future Earnings per Share

The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates looking forward to see if there is a wide range.

Raw Data

ASX:GMG Past and Future Earnings per Share
Data Point	Source	Value
Past Financials	Company Filings (4 months ago)	See Below
Future Estimates	Average of up to 11 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global)	See Below

All data from Goodman Group Company Filings, last reported 4 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

ASX:GMG Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in AUD Millions)	EPS *	EPS High Estimate	EPS Low Estimate	Avg. No. Analysts
2022-06-30	0.70	0.70	0.70	1.00
2021-06-30	0.61	0.65	0.58	6.00
2020-06-30	0.55	0.58	0.46	7.00
2019-06-30	0.49	0.51	0.43	4.00

ASX:GMG Past Financials Data
Date (Data in AUD Millions)	EPS *
2018-12-31	0.82
2018-09-30	0.72
2018-06-30	0.61
2018-03-31	0.52
2017-12-31	0.43
2017-09-30	0.43
2017-06-30	0.44
2017-03-31	0.47
2016-12-31	0.51
2016-09-30	0.62
2016-06-30	0.72
2016-03-31	0.82

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance in 3 years

In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return (profit) compared to the available funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.

Goodman Group is not expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity less than 20%).

Future performance checks

We assess Goodman Group's future performance by looking at:

Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation?
Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the Australia market? (1 check)
Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the Australia market? (1 check)
Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)

Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making in the relevant year.
Goodman Group has a total score of 1/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.

Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

GMG Past Performance

How has Goodman Group performed over the past 5 years?

The past performance of a company can be measured by how much growth it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets it has available.

Past earnings growth

Below we compare Goodman Group's growth in the last year to its industry (REITs).

Past Earnings growth analysis

We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it has maintained that growth in the year.

Goodman Group's year on year earnings growth rate has been positive over the past 5 years.
Goodman Group's 1-year earnings growth exceeds its 5-year average (94.3% vs 8.8%)
Goodman Group's earnings growth has exceeded the AU REITs industry average in the past year (94.3% vs -11.2%).

Earnings and Revenue History

Goodman Group's revenue and profit over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a loss will show up in red.

Raw Data

All data from Goodman Group Company Filings, last reported 4 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

ASX:GMG Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in AUD Millions)	Revenue	Net Income *	G+A Expenses
2018-12-31	2,311.80	1,484.70	395.60
2018-09-30	2,101.35	1,291.45	385.30
2018-06-30	1,890.90	1,098.20	375.00
2018-03-31	1,931.35	931.10	358.00
2017-12-31	2,023.80	764.00	341.00
2017-09-30	1,998.10	771.05	337.30
2017-06-30	1,972.40	778.10	333.60
2017-03-31	2,046.30	845.10	340.65
2016-12-31	2,120.20	912.10	347.70
2016-09-30	2,108.25	1,093.35	334.20
2016-06-30	2,096.30	1,274.60	320.70
2016-03-31	1,979.80	1,444.60	309.40
2015-12-31	1,863.30	1,614.60	298.10
2015-09-30	1,720.25	1,411.30	285.60
2015-06-30	1,577.20	1,208.00	273.10
2015-03-31	1,593.50	1,108.80	266.00
2014-12-31	1,609.80	1,009.60	258.90
2014-09-30	1,549.80	833.45	250.80
2014-06-30	1,489.80	657.30	242.70
2014-03-31	1,393.35	412.05	229.90
2013-12-31	1,296.90	166.80	217.10
2013-09-30	1,198.50	163.90	204.75
2013-06-30	1,100.10	161.00	192.40
2013-03-31	1,005.10	261.95	187.75
2012-12-31	910.10	362.90	183.10
2012-09-30	857.95	385.60	177.90
2012-06-30	805.80	408.30	172.70

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance last year

We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available funds, assets and capital.

Goodman Group has not efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity less than 20%).
Goodman Group used its assets more efficiently than the AU REITs industry average last year based on Return on Assets.
Goodman Group has improved its use of capital last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed).

Show me more strong past performing companies in the REITs industry

Past performance checks

We assess Goodman Group's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:

Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the REITs industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)

The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
Goodman Group has a total score of 5/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.

Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

GMG Health

How is Goodman Group's financial health and their level of debt?

A company's financial position is much like your own financial position, it includes everything you own (assets) and owe (liabilities).

The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up Goodman Group's finances.

The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.

Net Worth

Goodman Group is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
Goodman Group's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.

Balance sheet

This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of Goodman Group's finances. If any of them are yellow this indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the checks below.

Assets

Liabilities and shares

The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.

Low level of unsold assets.
Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 1x debt.

Historical Debt

Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t bad, however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest on its debts this may have impacts in the future.

The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.

If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.

Raw Data

All data from Goodman Group Company Filings, last reported 4 months ago.

ASX:GMG Past Debt and Equity Data
Date (Data in AUD Millions)	Total Equity	Total Debt	Cash & Short Term Investments
2018-12-31	10,007.10	2,958.50	2,062.60
2018-09-30	10,007.10	2,958.50	2,062.60
2018-06-30	9,173.70	3,081.50	2,406.80
2018-03-31	9,173.70	3,081.50	2,406.80
2017-12-31	8,672.30	3,130.60	2,343.80
2017-09-30	8,672.30	3,130.60	2,343.80
2017-06-30	8,622.20	2,878.30	2,095.10
2017-03-31	8,622.20	2,878.30	2,095.10
2016-12-31	8,680.90	2,902.90	1,709.50
2016-09-30	8,680.90	2,902.90	1,709.50
2016-06-30	8,393.30	2,865.20	1,337.00
2016-03-31	8,393.30	2,865.20	1,337.00
2015-12-31	8,216.70	2,848.80	844.70
2015-09-30	8,216.70	2,848.80	844.70
2015-06-30	7,376.10	2,772.30	746.50
2015-03-31	7,376.10	2,772.30	746.50
2014-12-31	6,783.90	2,583.20	480.00
2014-09-30	6,783.90	2,583.20	480.00
2014-06-30	6,230.40	2,235.20	359.90
2014-03-31	6,230.40	2,235.20	359.90
2013-12-31	5,997.80	2,309.60	565.70
2013-09-30	5,997.80	2,309.60	565.70
2013-06-30	5,835.70	2,276.50	645.40
2013-03-31	5,835.70	2,276.50	645.40
2012-12-31	5,649.50	2,153.10	378.10
2012-09-30	5,649.50	2,153.10	378.10
2012-06-30	5,174.60	2,347.50	310.80

Goodman Group's level of debt (29.6%) compared to net worth is satisfactory (less than 40%).
The level of debt compared to net worth has been reduced over the past 5 years (38.5% vs 29.6% today).
Debt is well covered by operating cash flow (30.9%, greater than 20% of total debt).
Interest payments on debt are well covered by earnings (EBIT is 25.4x coverage).

Show me more healthy companies in the REITs industry

Financial health checks

We assess Goodman Group's financial health by checking for:

Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest at all)? (1 check)

For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:

Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)

Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

GMG Dividends

What is Goodman Group's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a bank paying you interest on a savings account.

Annual Dividend Income

2.19%

Current annual income from Goodman Group dividends. Estimated to be 2.28% next year.

If you bought A$2,000 of Goodman Group shares you are expected to receive A$44 in your first year as a dividend.

Dividend Amount

Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you can get in a savings account? It is up there with the best dividend paying companies?

Goodman Group's pays a lower dividend yield than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in Australia (2.65%).
Goodman Group's dividend is below the markets top 25% of dividend payers in Australia (5.83%).

Annualized Historical and Future Dividends

It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate to count toward your assessment of the stock.

We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.

Raw Data

ASX:GMG Annualized Past and Future Dividends
Data Point	Source	Value
Past Annualized Dividend Yield	S&P Global Market Data	See Below
Past Dividends per Share	Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments	See Below
Future Dividends per Share Estimates	Average of up to 11 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global)	See Below
Australia REITs Industry Average Dividend Yield	Market Cap Weighted Average of 40 Stocks	4.6%
Australia Market Average Dividend Yield	Market Cap Weighted Average of 415 Stocks	4.3%
Australia Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield	10th Percentile	1.5%
Australia Bottom 25% Dividend Yield	25th Percentile	2.6%
Australia Top 25% Dividend Yield	75th Percentile	5.8%

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.

ASX:GMG Future Dividends Estimate Data
Date (Data in A$)	Dividend per Share (annual)	Avg. No. Analysts
2022-06-30	0.36	1.00
2021-06-30	0.33	10.00
2020-06-30	0.31	12.00
2019-06-30	0.30	12.00

ASX:GMG Past Annualized Dividends Data
Date (Data in A$)	Dividend per share (annual)	Avg. Yield (%)
2018-12-19	0.300	2.410
2018-08-17	0.285	2.725
2017-12-20	0.275	3.104
2017-08-21	0.264	3.137
2016-12-14	0.254	3.273
2016-08-10	0.242	3.455
2016-02-10	0.238	3.427
2016-02-01	0.230	3.806
2015-08-13	0.222	3.688
2015-08-12	0.222	3.518
2015-02-10	0.215	3.386
2014-08-21	0.207	3.692
2014-02-20	0.207	4.129
2013-06-24	0.194	4.040
2013-02-25	0.187	3.753
2012-08-09	0.180	4.150
2011-08-17	0.175	5.337
2011-02-28	0.170	4.854
2010-08-19	0.190	5.842
2010-02-24	0.150	4.656
2009-08-28	0.000	0.000

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

Whilst dividend payments have been stable, Goodman Group has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years.
Dividend payments have increased, but Goodman Group only paid a dividend in the past 9 years.

Current Payout to shareholders

What portion of Goodman Group's earnings are paid to the shareholders as a dividend.

Dividends paid are covered by earnings (1.8x coverage).

Future Payout to shareholders

Dividends after 3 years are expected to be thoroughly covered by earnings (3571.4x coverage).

Income/ dividend checks

We assess Goodman Group's dividend by checking for:

Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 1.5%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
How sustainable is the dividend, can Goodman Group afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks)

Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

GMG Management

What is the CEO of Goodman Group's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have been around for and insider trading.

CEO

Greg Goodman

COMPENSATION	A$10,721,202
AGE	55
TENURE AS CEO	20.8 years

CEO Bio

Mr. Gregory Leith Goodman, also known as Greg, serves as Chief Executive Officer of Goodman Logistics (HK) Limited. Mr. Goodman has been the Chief Executive Officer of Goodman Limited since July 1995. Mr. Goodman has been Group Chief Executive Officer of Goodman Funds Management Limited, a Responsible Entity of Goodman plus Trust since August 07, 1998. He has been Chief Executive Officer of Goodman Group since January 17, 1995. Mr. Goodman has been Director of Goodman Logistics (HK) Ltd since November 16, 2017. He is responsible for the overall management and operations of the Group. He also Co-Founded Goodman Industrial Trust (alternate name, Macquarie Goodman Industrial Trust) and served as its Chief Executive Officer since July 1995. He serves as the Chief Executive Officer at Macquarie Goodman Management Limited. He served as an Executive Director at Goodman Logistics (HK) Limited until September 20, 2016. Mr. Goodman served as the Chief Executive Officer of Macquarie Goodman Funds Management Limited at Macquarie Goodman Capital Trust since January 17, 1995 and was responsible for its overall management and operations. He has 30 years of experience in the property industry with significant expertise in the industrial property arena as well as mergers, acquisitions and initial public offers. He was a Co-Founder at Goodman, playing an integral role in establishing its specialist global position in the property market through various corporate transactions, including takeovers, mergers and acquisitions. He served as the Deputy Chairman at Ascendas Funds Management (S) Limited. He served as Deputy Chairman of Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust from April 15, 2005 to March 26, 2008 and served as its Director from February 21, 2002 to March 26, 2008. He has been a Director of Goodman (NZ) Limited, Macquarie Goodman Asia Limited and Goodman Japan Limited since June 2007. Mr. Goodman has been a Director of Goodman Australia Finance Pty Limited since October 11, 2007. He has been an Executive Director of Goodman plus Trust since January 17, 1995. He has been an Executive Director of Goodman Group, Goodman Limited and Macquarie Goodman Management Limited since August 7, 1998. He serves as a Non-Executive Director of GMT Bond Issuer Limited and Goodman (NZ) Limited. He has been a Director of Macquarie Goodman Funds Management Limited since January 17, 1995. He has been a Director of Goodman HK Finance and GAIF Bond Issuer Pty Ltd. since February 11, 2011. He served as Director of Overall Management & Operations at Goodman Group. Mr. Goodman served as a Director of Goodman Industrial Trust since January 17, 1995. He serves as Non-executive Director at Goodman Property Trust since, December 23, 2003.

CEO Compensation

Greg's compensation has increased by more than 20% in the past year.
Greg's remuneration is higher than average for companies of similar size in Australia.

Management Team Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Goodman Group management team in years:

10.8

Average Tenure

Average Age

The average tenure for the Goodman Group management team is over 5 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced team.

Management Team

Greg Goodman

TITLE

Group CEO & Director

COMPENSATION

A$11M

AGE

55

TENURE

20.8 yrs

Nick Vrondas

43

TENURE

11.3 yrs

Anthony Rozic

2.1 yrs

Michelle Chaperon

TITLE

Head of Group Corporate Communications

Alison Brink

TITLE

Group General Manager of Marketing & Communications

AGE

49

TENURE

13.3 yrs

Board of Directors Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Goodman Group board of directors in years:

6.7

Average Tenure

Average Age

The tenure for the Goodman Group board of directors is about average.

TITLE

Independent Director

Who owns this company?

Recent Insider Trading

Goodman Group insiders have sold more shares than they have bought in the past 3 months.

Recent Insider Transactions

Announced	Type	Name	Entity	Start	End	Shares	Max Price (A$)	Value (A$)
29. Mar 19	Buy	David Collins	Individual	22. Mar 19	22. Mar 19	5,000	A$13.40	A$66,999
21. Mar 19	Buy	Rebecca McGrath	Individual	19. Mar 19	19. Mar 19	1,778	A$13.36	A$23,759
21. Mar 19	Buy	Ian Ferrier	Individual	19. Mar 19	19. Mar 19	3,687	A$13.36	A$49,269
25. Feb 19	Sell	Gregory Goodman	Individual	21. Feb 19	21. Feb 19	-400,000	A$12.68	A$-5,072,000
22. Feb 19	Sell	Daniel Cornelius Peeters	Individual	19. Feb 19	22. Feb 19	-650,000	A$12.77	A$-8,298,320
31. Jan 19	Buy	State Street Global Advisors, Inc.	Company	28. Sep 18	29. Jan 19	9,104,709	A$11.97	A$108,833,387
23. Dec 18	Sell	The Vanguard Group, Inc.	Company	19. Dec 16	19. Dec 18	-28,600,895	A$10.98	A$-313,438,072
23. Dec 18	Buy	The Vanguard Group, Inc.	Company	19. Dec 16	20. Dec 18	48,896,617	A$11.15	A$541,968,247
27. Nov 18	Sell	Anthony Rozic	Individual	21. Nov 18	26. Nov 18	-442,146	A$10.65	A$-4,707,878
05. Nov 18	Sell	Anthony Rozic	Individual	30. Oct 18	30. Oct 18	-66,482	A$10.52	A$-699,494
07. Sep 18	Sell	Gregory Goodman	Individual	05. Sep 18	05. Sep 18	-900,000	A$10.59	A$-9,531,000
07. Sep 18	Buy	Stephen Johns	Individual	05. Sep 18	05. Sep 18	10,000	A$10.60	A$106,003
30. Aug 18	Buy	Rebecca McGrath	Individual	27. Aug 18	27. Aug 18	1,571	A$10.43	A$16,386
30. Aug 18	Buy	James Sloman	Individual	27. Aug 18	27. Aug 18	1,491	A$10.43	A$15,551
30. Aug 18	Buy	Ian Ferrier	Individual	27. Aug 18	27. Aug 18	3,261	A$10.43	A$34,012

Management checks

We assess Goodman Group's management by checking for:

Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap? (1 check)
Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check)

Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.

Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions .

Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

GMG News

Simply Wall St News

Should You Be Pleased About The CEO Pay At Goodman Group's (ASX:GMG)

In 1998 Greg Goodman was appointed CEO of Goodman Group (ASX:GMG). … First, this article will compare CEO compensation with compensation at other large companies. … How Does Greg Goodman's Compensation Compare With Similar Sized Companies?

Simply Wall St - 1 week ago – Full article

Is Goodman Group (ASX:GMG) A Great Dividend Stock?

Dividend paying stocks like Goodman Group (ASX:GMG) tend to be popular with investors, and for good reason - some research shows that a significant amount of all stock market returns come from reinvested dividends. … Yet sometimes, investors buy a stock for its dividend and lose money because the share price falls by more than they earned in dividend payments. … While Goodman Group's 2.4% dividend yield is not the highest, we think its lengthy payment history is quite interesting.

Simply Wall St - 3 weeks ago – Full article

Need To Know: Goodman Group (ASX:GMG) Insiders Have Been Selling Shares

So shareholders might well want to know whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in Goodman Group (ASX:GMG). … Over the last year, we can see that the biggest insider sale was by Group CEO & Director Gregory Goodman for AU$9.5m worth of shares, at about AU$10.59 per share. … Over the last year we saw more insider selling of Goodman Group shares, than buying

Simply Wall St - 1 month ago – Full article

Do Institutions Own Goodman Group (ASX:GMG) Shares?

Every investor in Goodman Group (ASX:GMG) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. … Taking a look at our data on the ownership groups (below), it's seems that. … We can zoom in on the different ownership groups, to learn more about GMG

Simply Wall St - 1 month ago – Full article

Should You Invest In Goodman Group (ASX:GMG)?

real estate investment trust (REIT) based in Sydney, Australia. … REITs are basically a portfolio of income-producing real estate investments, which are owned and operated by management of that trust company. … They have to meet certain requirements in order to become a REIT, meaning they should be analyzed a different way.

Simply Wall St - 2 months ago – Full article

Did Business Growth Power Goodman Group's Share Price Gain of 166%?

For example, the Goodman Group (ASX:GMG) share price has soared 166% in the last half decade. … One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS). … Over half a decade, Goodman Group managed to grow its earnings per share at 54% a year.

Simply Wall St - 2 months ago – Full article

Goodman Group (ASX:GMG) Has A ROE Of 12%

We'll use ROE to examine Goodman Group (ASX:GMG), by way of a worked example. … Another way to think of that is that for every A$1 worth of equity in the company, it was able to earn A$0.12. … Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders' Equity

Simply Wall St - 3 months ago – Full article

Is Goodman Group (ASX:GMG) Excessively Paying Its CEO?

Greg Goodman has been the CEO of Goodman Group (ASX:GMG) since 1998. … This analysis aims first to contrast CEO compensation with other large companies. … How Does Greg Goodman's Compensation Compare With Similar Sized Companies?

Simply Wall St - 3 months ago – Full article

Why Goodman Group (ASX:GMG) Could Have A Place In Your Portfolio

Goodman Group (ASX:GMG) is a company with exceptional fundamental characteristics. … Upon building up an investment case for a stock, we should look at various aspects. … is a company with great financial health as well as a.

Simply Wall St - 4 months ago – Full article

Goodman Group (ASX:GMG): What Are The Future Prospects?

Goodman Group's (ASX:GMG) announced its latest earnings update in June 2018, whicha … showed

Simply Wall St - 5 months ago – Full article

GMG Company Info

Description

Goodman Group is an integrated property group with operations throughout Australia, New Zealand, Asia, Europe, the United Kingdom, North America and Brazil. Goodman Group, comprised of the stapled entities Goodman Limited, Goodman Industrial Trust and Goodman Logistics (HK) Limited, is the largest industrial property group listed on the Australian Securities Exchange and one of the largest listed specialist investment managers of industrial property and business space globally. Goodman’s global property expertise, integrated own+develop+managecustomer service offering and significant investment management platform ensures it creates innovative property solutions that meet the individual requirements of its customers, while seeking to deliver long-term returns for investors.

Details

Name:	Goodman Group
Ticker:	GMG
Exchange:	ASX
Founded:	2001
Market Cap:	A$24,868,322,151
Shares outstanding:	1,813,881,995
Website:	http://www.goodman.com
Address:	Goodman Group 60 Castlereagh Street, Level 17, Sydney, New South Wales, 2000, Australia

Listings

Exchange Symbol	Ticker Symbol	Security	Exchange	Country	Currency	Listed on
ASX	GMG	Stapled Securities	Australian Securities Exchange	AU	AUD	02. Feb 2005
OTCPK	GMGS.F	Stapled Securities	Pink Sheets LLC	US	USD	02. Feb 2005
DB	MY4	Stapled Securities	Deutsche Boerse AG	DE	EUR	02. Feb 2005
CHIA	GMG	Stapled Securities	Chi-X Australia	AU	AUD	02. Feb 2005

Number of employees

Current staff

Goodman Group employees.

Industry

Industry:	Industrial REITs
Sector:	Real Estate

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Area	Date (UTC time)
Company Analysis updated:	2019/05/19 10:32
End of day share price update:	2019/05/17 00:00
Last estimates confirmation:	2019/05/16
Last earnings filing:	2019/02/13
Last earnings reported:	2018/12/31
Last annual earnings reported:	2018/06/30

All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.

Copyright © 2019, Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC. Reproduction of S&P Capital IQ in any form is prohibited except with the prior written permission of S&P. S&P does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, completeness or availability of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions, regardless of the cause or for the results obtained from the use of such information. S&P DISCLAIMS ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE. In no event shall S&P be liable for any direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including lost income or lost profit and opportunity costs) in connection with subscriber’s or others’ use of S&P Capital IQ. (2019)