Stock Analysis

Is Resolute Mining (ASX:RSG) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

ASX:RSG
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Resolute Mining Limited (ASX:RSG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Resolute Mining

What Is Resolute Mining's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Resolute Mining had debt of US$266.9m at the end of June 2022, a reduction from US$310.2m over a year. However, it also had US$71.0m in cash, and so its net debt is US$195.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:RSG Debt to Equity History December 28th 2022

How Strong Is Resolute Mining's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Resolute Mining had liabilities of US$338.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$175.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$71.0m and US$66.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$376.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$296.2m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Resolute Mining's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Resolute Mining wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 5.5%, to US$606m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Resolute Mining produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$73m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$9.1m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Resolute Mining that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.