Stock Analysis

Investors ignore increasing losses at Calix (ASX:CXL) as stock jumps 21% this past week

ASX:CXL
Source: Shutterstock

Some Calix Limited (ASX:CXL) shareholders are probably rather concerned to see the share price fall 30% over the last three months. But that does not change the realty that the stock's performance has been terrific, over five years. In that time, the share price has soared some 316% higher! So we don't think the recent decline in the share price means its story is a sad one. Of course what matters most is whether the business can improve itself sustainably, thus justifying a higher price.

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Calix investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.

View our latest analysis for Calix

Because Calix made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

In the last 5 years Calix saw its revenue grow at 29% per year. Even measured against other revenue-focussed companies, that's a good result. Fortunately, the market has not missed this, and has pushed the share price up by 33% per year in that time. It's never too late to start following a top notch stock like Calix, since some long term winners go on winning for decades. So we'd recommend you take a closer look at this one, but keep in mind the market seems optimistic.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:CXL Earnings and Revenue Growth October 17th 2023

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Calix

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A Different Perspective

Investors in Calix had a tough year, with a total loss of 38%, against a market gain of about 8.2%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 33%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Calix .

Calix is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:CXL

Calix

An environmental technology company, provides industrial solutions to address global decarbonisation and sustainability challenges in Australia, Europe, the United States, and Southeast Asia.

Flawless balance sheet slight.

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