Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Put Medibank Private (ASX:MPL) On Your Watchlist?

ASX:MPL
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Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like Medibank Private (ASX:MPL). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Medibank Private with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Medibank Private

How Quickly Is Medibank Private Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price should eventually follow. So it makes sense that experienced investors pay close attention to company EPS when undertaking investment research. It certainly is nice to see that Medibank Private has managed to grow EPS by 24% per year over three years. If growth like this continues on into the future, then shareholders will have plenty to smile about.

It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. Medibank Private shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 6.8% to 12%, and revenue is growing. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in our book.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:MPL Earnings and Revenue History August 8th 2024

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of Medibank Private's forecast profits?

Are Medibank Private Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Insider interest in a company always sparks a bit of intrigue and many investors are on the lookout for companies where insiders are putting their money where their mouth is. Because often, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

It's nice to see that there have been no reports of any insiders selling shares in Medibank Private in the previous 12 months. So it's definitely nice that Independent Non-Executive Director Linda Nicholls bought AU$20k worth of shares at an average price of around AU$3.65. Purchases like this can help the investors understand the views of the management team; in which case they see some potential in Medibank Private.

Recent insider purchases of Medibank Private stock is not the only way management has kept the interests of the general public shareholders in mind. To be specific, the CEO is paid modestly when compared to company peers of the same size. Our analysis has discovered that the median total compensation for the CEOs of companies like Medibank Private with market caps between AU$6.1b and AU$18b is about AU$4.1m.

The Medibank Private CEO received AU$3.3m in compensation for the year ending June 2023. That seems pretty reasonable, especially given it's below the median for similar sized companies. While the level of CEO compensation shouldn't be the biggest factor in how the company is viewed, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. Generally, arguments can be made that reasonable pay levels attest to good decision-making.

Is Medibank Private Worth Keeping An Eye On?

If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into Medibank Private's strong EPS growth. And that's not the only positive either. We have both insider buying and reasonable and remuneration to consider. On balance the message seems to be that this stock is worth looking at, at least for a while. Even so, be aware that Medibank Private is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

Keen growth investors love to see insider activity. Thankfully, Medibank Private isn't the only one. You can see a a curated list of Australian companies which have exhibited consistent growth accompanied by high insider ownership.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.