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Updated 5h ago
MPL logo

Medibank Private LimitedASX:MPL Stock Report

Market Cap AU$12.9b
Updated 5h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y-4.7%
7D1.5%
1D-1.5%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Medibank Private Limited

ASX:MPL Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$12.9b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Medibank Private (MPL) Stock Overview

Provides private health insurance in Australia. More details

MPL fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance6/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends4/6

Rewards

Trading at 34.9% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 5.54% per year

Earnings grew by 27.5% over the past year

Risk Analysis

Dividend of 4.16% is not well covered by free cash flows


MPL Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 51 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
8.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•3mo ago

Expanding Digital Health In Australia Will Build Future Success

182
0
30

Top Community Narratives

MPL logo
Medibank Private
21.6% overvalued intrinsic discount

Medibank Private Limited. Quality Business With No Margin Of Safety!

View narrative
AN
ANTONI0
ANTONI0
Published 6 Jul
Read Narrative

Top Community Narratives

MPL logo
Medibank Private
21.6% overvalued intrinsic discount

Medibank Private Limited. Quality Business With No Margin Of Safety!

View narrative
AN
ANTONI0
ANTONI0
Published 6 Jul
Read Narrative

Top Analyst Narratives

MPL logo
Medibank Private
8.2% undervalued intrinsic discount

Expanding Digital Health In Australia Will Build Future Success

View narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AnalystConsensusTarget
Updated 12 Jun
Read Narrative
View all narratives

Medibank Private Limited Competitors

nib holdings

Symbol: ASX:NHF
Market cap: AU$3.2b

Generation Development Group

Symbol: ASX:GDG
Market cap: AU$1.2b

Insurance Australia Group

Symbol: ASX:IAG
Market cap: AU$18.7b

Suncorp Group

Symbol: ASX:SUN
Market cap: AU$20.3b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Medibank Private
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceAU$4.62
52 Week HighAU$5.31
52 Week LowAU$4.06
Beta0.046
1 Month Change-8.51%
3 Month Change-5.71%
1 Year Change-4.74%
3 Year Change32.76%
5 Year Change31.25%
Change since IPO115.89%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
New Narrative • Jul 06

Medibank Private Limited. Quality Business With No Margin Of Safety!

Price A$5.00 · Mkt cap ~A$13.8bn · as of 6 Jul 2026 · FY ends 30 June · 52-wk A$4.10–5.26 · AUD Franchise Score: 15 / 22 Rating: High-B Deep-value (operative): WATCH Compounder: WATCH Operative call: WATCH at A$5.00 — a genuinely high-quality, net-cash, #1-share regulated oligopolist, but priced for its quality (≈22× forward underlying EPS, ~30× statutory, 5.9× book, 7.5× tangible book) with no margin of safety and negligible asset floor. The compounder lens also reads WATCH (flat-multiple owner return ~8% cash / ~10% grossed-up, below the 12–15% hurdle).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 12

MPL: Future Margins And P/E Assumptions Point To Fairly Balanced Outlook

Analysts have slightly reduced their Medibank Private price target to A$5.03, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping the overall narrative broadly unchanged. What's in the News There are currently no recent Medibank Private specific news items provided in the source set, so price target changes are being assessed primarily against internal analyst assumptions rather than new company announcements.

Recent updates

User avatar
New Narrative • Jul 06

Medibank Private Limited. Quality Business With No Margin Of Safety!

Price A$5.00 · Mkt cap ~A$13.8bn · as of 6 Jul 2026 · FY ends 30 June · 52-wk A$4.10–5.26 · AUD Franchise Score: 15 / 22 Rating: High-B Deep-value (operative): WATCH Compounder: WATCH Operative call: WATCH at A$5.00 — a genuinely high-quality, net-cash, #1-share regulated oligopolist, but priced for its quality (≈22× forward underlying EPS, ~30× statutory, 5.9× book, 7.5× tangible book) with no margin of safety and negligible asset floor. The compounder lens also reads WATCH (flat-multiple owner return ~8% cash / ~10% grossed-up, below the 12–15% hurdle).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 12

MPL: Future Margins And P/E Assumptions Point To Fairly Balanced Outlook

Analysts have slightly reduced their Medibank Private price target to A$5.03, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping the overall narrative broadly unchanged. What's in the News There are currently no recent Medibank Private specific news items provided in the source set, so price target changes are being assessed primarily against internal analyst assumptions rather than new company announcements.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 08

MPL: Fair Value Update Balances Margin Resilience With Digital Health Risks

Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their Medibank Private fair value estimate higher to A$5.16 from A$5.08. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly stronger revenue growth and profit margins, partly balanced by a higher discount rate and a modestly lower future P/E multiple.
Analysis Article • Jan 02

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Medibank Private Limited's (ASX:MPL) P/E Ratio

Medibank Private Limited's ( ASX:MPL ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.5x might make it look like a sell right...
Analysis Article • Sep 25

Earnings Not Telling The Story For Medibank Private Limited (ASX:MPL)

Medibank Private Limited's ( ASX:MPL ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.2x might make it look like a sell right...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 29

Will Invest Up To $250 Million In Healthcare Acquisitions To Augment Market Presence

The consensus analyst price target for Medibank Private has increased to A$5.05, primarily reflecting improved revenue growth forecasts despite a slight decline in net profit margin. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Medibank Private The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from A$4.95 to A$5.05.
User avatar
New Narrative • Feb 09

Myhealth Expansion Will Drive Future Customer Retention

Expansion in primary care and strategic investments are set to drive long-term revenue and profit growth.

Shareholder Returns

MPLAU InsuranceAU Market
7D1.5%3.5%-2.9%
1Y-4.7%-2.2%-3.7%

Return vs Industry: MPL underperformed the Australian Insurance industry which returned -2.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MPL underperformed the Australian Market which returned -3.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is MPL's price volatile compared to industry and market?
MPL volatility
MPL Average Weekly Movement3.2%
Insurance Industry Average Movement3.8%
Market Average Movement9.5%
10% most volatile stocks in AU Market16.5%
10% least volatile stocks in AU Market3.8%

Stable Share Price: MPL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.

Volatility Over Time: MPL's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19765,001David Koczkarwww.medibank.com.au

Medibank Private Limited provides private health insurance in Australia. The company operates in two segments, Health Insurance and Medibank Health. The Health Insurance segment provides private health insurance products, including hospital cover that offers members with health cover for hospital treatments; and ancillary cover, which provides members with health cover for healthcare services comprising dental, optical, and physiotherapy, as well as offers health insurance products to overseas visitors and students.

Medibank Private Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Medibank Private's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
MPL fundamental statistics
Market capAU$12.92b
Earnings (TTM)AU$638.70m
Revenue (TTM)AU$9.30b
19.9x
P/E Ratio
1.4x
P/S Ratio

Is MPL overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
MPL income statement (TTM)
RevenueAU$9.30b
Cost of RevenueAU$7.03b
Gross ProfitAU$2.26b
Other ExpensesAU$1.62b
EarningsAU$638.70m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)0.23
Gross Margin24.34%
Net Profit Margin6.87%
Debt/Equity Ratio1.5%

How did MPL perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

4.2%
Current Dividend Yield
83%
Payout Ratio

Does MPL pay a reliable dividends?

See MPL dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy MPL by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Medibank Private dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateSep 02 2026
Dividend Pay DateOct 08 2026
Days until Ex dividend15 days
Days until Dividend pay date21 days

Does MPL pay a reliable dividends?

See MPL dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/16 16:22
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/16 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2026/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Medibank Private Limited is covered by 17 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew AdamsBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
John HesterBell Potter
Freya KongBofA Global Research

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