Stock Analysis

Insurance Australia Group's (ASX:IAG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

ASX:IAG
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The board of Insurance Australia Group Limited (ASX:IAG) has announced that the dividend on 27th of March will be increased to A$0.10, which will be 67% higher than last year's payment of A$0.06 which covered the same period. This takes the annual payment to 2.4% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.

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Insurance Australia Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. Prior to this announcement, Insurance Australia Group's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 39.4%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 39% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

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ASX:IAG Historic Dividend February 20th 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of A$0.369 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of A$0.15. This works out to be a decline of approximately 8.6% per year over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

Insurance Australia Group May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. Although it's important to note that Insurance Australia Group's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time. The company has been growing at a pretty soft 1.4% per annum, and is paying out quite a lot of its earnings to shareholders. This could mean the dividend doesn't have the growth potential we look for going into the future.

Our Thoughts On Insurance Australia Group's Dividend

In summary, it's great to see that the company can raise the dividend and keep it in a sustainable range. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. The payment isn't stellar, but it could make a decent addition to a dividend portfolio.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Earnings growth generally bodes well for the future value of company dividend payments. See if the 12 Insurance Australia Group analysts we track are forecasting continued growth with our free report on analyst estimates for the company. Is Insurance Australia Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.