Stock Analysis

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Mader Group Limited (ASX:MAD)

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Mader Group Limited (ASX:MAD) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 37.7x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Mader Group has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Mader Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:MAD Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think Mader Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Mader Group's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Mader Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 38% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 120% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 22% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 17% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Mader Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Mader Group's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Mader Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Mader Group that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:

Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.

Explore how this launch could reshape portfolios

Sponsored Content

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:MAD

Mader Group

A contracting company, provides specialist technical services in the mining, energy, and industrial sectors in Australia, North America, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.

Weekly Picks

WO
MGPI logo
woodworthfund on MGP Ingredients ·

THE KINGDOM OF BROWN GOODS: WHY MGPI IS BEING CRUSHED BY INVENTORY & PRIMED FOR RESURRECTION

Fair Value:US$4035.0% undervalued
26 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative
DO
Double_Bubbler
EVTL logo
Double_Bubbler on Vertical Aerospace ·

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Fair Value:US$6090.4% undervalued
25 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
TI
TickerTickle
ORCL logo
TickerTickle on Oracle ·

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

Fair Value:US$389.8151.3% undervalued
48 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

KA
CHA logo
kaladorm on Chagee Holdings ·

Cheap if able to sustain revenue, and a potential bargain if able to turn store openings into revenue growth

Fair Value:US$2340.7% undervalued
17 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
GA
BUKS logo
GaryB on Butler National ·

Butler National (Buks) outperforms.

Fair Value:US$3.4419.8% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
OS
oscargarcia
AVGO logo
oscargarcia on Broadcom ·

A tech powerhouse quietly powering the world’s AI infrastructure.

Fair Value:US$48025.0% undervalued
15 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
120 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8683.7% undervalued
78 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3930.1% undervalued
967 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative