Alcoa (AA) Aandelenoverzicht
Alcoa Corporation is, samen met haar dochterondernemingen, actief in de bauxietwinning, aluminiumraffinage, aluminiumproductie en energieopwekking in Australië, Brazilië, Canada, IJsland, Noorwegen, Spanje en de Verenigde Staten. Meer informatie
| Sneeuwvlok Score | |
|---|---|
| Waardering | 4/6 |
| Toekomstige groei | 1/6 |
| Prestaties in het verleden | 4/6 |
| Financiële gezondheid | 5/6 |
| Dividenden | 0/6 |
Beloningen
Risicoanalyse
Geen risico's gedetecteerd voor AA uit onze risicocontroles.
AA Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Alcoa Corporation Concurrenten
Prijsgeschiedenis en prestaties
| Historische aandelenkoersen | |
|---|---|
| Huidige aandelenkoers | US$77.64 |
| 52 Week Hoogtepunt | US$77.72 |
| 52 Week Laag | US$25.83 |
| Bèta | 1.51 |
| 1 maand verandering | 23.97% |
| 3 maanden verandering | 21.62% |
| 1 Jaar Verandering | 191.88% |
| 3 jaar verandering | 129.84% |
| 5 jaar verandering | 105.72% |
| Verandering sinds IPO | 245.07% |
Recent nieuws en updates
Seeking Alpha • May 29
Alcoa: I Remain Bullish After The Massive Rally
Summary Alcoa Corporation remains a 'Buy' with ~21% upside potential, supported by structural demand and portfolio streamlining. AA benefits from global aluminum supply disruptions, higher regional premiums, and a strong alternative energy portfolio amid new EU carbon regulations. San Ciprián smelter's turnaround and asset marketing to hyperscalers could unlock $500–1,000 million in incremental value and boost FY2027 EBITDA. Valuation is compelling: forward EV/EBITDA at 6.2x with catalysts for multiple expansion, though risks remain if supply normalizes and prices fall. While geopolitical normalization could cool pricing, forward EBITDA still appears too low relative to business improvements, leaving additional upside if current conditions persist for longer. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate • May 13
AA: Production Stability And Higher Margins Will Support Stronger Long Term Outlook
Analysts have raised Alcoa's fair value estimate from $58.00 to $92.00, citing updated assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as the main factors supporting the higher price target. What's in the News Alcoa reported first quarter 2026 production results, with Bauxite at 9.1 mdmt compared with 9.5 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina at 2,355 kmt in line with the prior year, and Aluminum at 607 kmt compared with 564 kmt a year earlier (Key Developments).Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 29
Alcoa: I Remain Bullish After The Massive Rally
Summary Alcoa Corporation remains a 'Buy' with ~21% upside potential, supported by structural demand and portfolio streamlining. AA benefits from global aluminum supply disruptions, higher regional premiums, and a strong alternative energy portfolio amid new EU carbon regulations. San Ciprián smelter's turnaround and asset marketing to hyperscalers could unlock $500–1,000 million in incremental value and boost FY2027 EBITDA. Valuation is compelling: forward EV/EBITDA at 6.2x with catalysts for multiple expansion, though risks remain if supply normalizes and prices fall. While geopolitical normalization could cool pricing, forward EBITDA still appears too low relative to business improvements, leaving additional upside if current conditions persist for longer. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarratiefupdate • May 13
AA: Production Stability And Higher Margins Will Support Stronger Long Term Outlook
Analysts have raised Alcoa's fair value estimate from $58.00 to $92.00, citing updated assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as the main factors supporting the higher price target. What's in the News Alcoa reported first quarter 2026 production results, with Bauxite at 9.1 mdmt compared with 9.5 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina at 2,355 kmt in line with the prior year, and Aluminum at 607 kmt compared with 564 kmt a year earlier (Key Developments).
Narratiefupdate • Apr 29
AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Production Plans Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target for Alcoa to $73.87 from $72.48, reflecting updated expectations around potential revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa reported first quarter 2026 production results, with Bauxite output of 9.1 mdmt compared with 9.5 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina production of 2,355 kmt in line with the prior year, and Aluminum production of 607 kmt compared with 564 kmt a year ago (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Apr 15
AA: Updated Output Plans And Margins Will Shape Measured Future Returns
Analysts have revised their price target for Alcoa to approximately $72, up from about $67, citing updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa reported fourth quarter 2025 production with Bauxite at 9.4 mdmt versus 9.3 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina at 2,481 kmt versus 2,390 kmt, and Aluminum at 604 kmt versus 571 kmt (Announcement of Operating Results).
Narratiefupdate • Mar 31
AA: Higher Output And Trading Volumes Will Likely Still Fail To Justify Pricing
Analysts now place Alcoa's price target at about $46.37, compared with the prior $38.00. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and future P/E levels.Narratiefupdate • Mar 17
AA: Production Plans And Margin Expectations Will Guide Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Alcoa to $66.92 from $61.42, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2026, targeting total Alumina segment production between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons, with shipments between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the role of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina in meeting customer contracts (company guidance).Narratiefupdate • Mar 03
AA: Production Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their Alcoa price target slightly higher to $61.42 from $61.08, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued 2026 production guidance for its Alumina segment, with expected production between 9.7 million and 9.9 million metric tons and shipments between 11.8 million and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the use of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (Corporate guidance).Narratiefupdate • Feb 16
AA: Higher Margins And Production Will Still Likely Fail To Justify Pricing
Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from $33.00 to $38.00, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth expectations, profit margin outlook, and a revised future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2025 and outlined expectations for 2026, with the Alumina segment projected to produce between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons in 2026, and shipments expected between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting a mix of internal production, trading volumes, and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (company guidance).Narratiefupdate • Feb 02
AA: Low Carbon Smelting And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from US$45.42 to US$61.08. They cite updates in their models that reflect revised assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples.Narratiefupdate • Jan 19
AA: Future Decarbonization Benefits Will Likely Fail To Justify Current Pricing
Analysts have lifted their price target on Alcoa from US$27.00 to US$33.00, pointing to updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and a lower future P/E as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball Corporation and Unilever announced the first use of ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in consumer personal and home care packaging, using aluminum that eliminates direct smelting greenhouse gas emissions and generates oxygen instead of CO2 (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Jan 05
AA: Carbon Free Smelting And Energy Moves Will Support Balanced Long Term Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately $42 to $58 per share, citing expectations for faster revenue growth, significantly higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Together, these factors support a meaningfully higher fair value estimate.Analyseartikel • Dec 30
Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Despite an already strong run, Alcoa Corporation ( NYSE:AA ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the...Narratiefupdate • Dec 20
AA: Low Carbon Smelting Shift Will Likely Pressure Future Returns
Narrative Update on Alcoa Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa by approximately 10 percent to around 45 dollars per share, citing expectations for modestly stronger revenue growth, materially improved profit margins, and a more attractive forward earnings multiple. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology, combining low carbon primary aluminum with recycled content to create one of the lowest footprint aerosol cans on the market (company announcement).Narratiefupdate • Dec 06
AA: Low Carbon Initiatives And Portfolio Reshaping Will Define Future Performance
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately 39.54 dollars to 41.29 dollars, citing higher long term revenue growth expectations and a richer future earnings multiple, despite a lower projected profit margin and slightly higher discount rate. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in low carbon aerosol cans ahead of COP30, highlighting a major step toward decarbonized aluminum supply chains (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Nov 22
AA: Measured Shifts in Operations and Partnerships Will Shape Future Performance
Narrative Update on Alcoa: Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Alcoa, revising the price target from $39.63 to $39.54 per share. This change reflects modest adjustments to outlooks on discount rate and growth assumptions.Narratiefupdate • Nov 05
AA: Future Investments and Facility Upgrades Will Drive Shareholder Value
Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa slightly. The new target is $39.63, up from $39.21.Narratiefupdate • Oct 22
Analysts Raise Alcoa Price Target as New Partnerships and Plant Closure Drive Valuation Upward
Alcoa's analyst price target has increased from $36.64 to $39.21. This change reflects improved revenue growth and profit margin projections according to analysts.Narratiefupdate • Oct 08
Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins
Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa from $34.09 to $36.64. They cite improved forecast profit margins and lower expected future price-to-earnings ratios as key factors in their updated outlook.Narratiefupdate • Sep 24
Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins
Despite a notable downgrade in revenue growth expectations, an improved net profit margin has offset this impact, resulting in a slight increase in Alcoa's analyst price target from $33.55 to $34.09. What's in the News Held Analyst/Investor Day event.
Nieuw narratief • Apr 24
Australia Refinancing And San Ciprián Restart Will Support Stable Operations
Strategic refinancing and joint ventures are expected to enhance cash flow, reduce interest expenses, and stabilize revenue.Seeking Alpha • Apr 18
Alcoa's Q1 2025 Review: Tariff Hurts, But Game Isn't Over
Summary Alcoa's stock is down ~75% from its ATH. Tariff wars and economic uncertainty added fuel to the fire, but Q1 2025 results show strong net income and adjusted EBITDA growth. Despite a 3% QoQ revenue dip, net income more than doubled to $548 million, with adjusted net income beating Street estimates at $568 million. Alcoa refinanced $1 billion in debt, extending maturities and lowering interest expenses, aiming for an adjusted net debt range of $1-1.5 billion. Tariffs on Canadian aluminum imports will significantly impact Alcoa's costs, with a projected unfavorable impact of ~$90 million in Q2 2025. Because current tariffs hinder construction accessibility and will likely be revised (perhaps favorably for Alcoa), the present undervaluation of AA stock provides significant upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 30
Alcoa And The Aluminum Market: A Point Of Tension And Growth
Summary Alcoa's financial results have been volatile, with losses in 2022-2023 and profits in 2024 due to aluminum price recovery and strategic asset restructuring. The company focuses on high-quality assets, vertical integration, and technological advancements, aiming for efficiency and sustainability without aggressive expansion. Despite positive developments, Alcoa remains vulnerable to raw material price fluctuations and high energy costs, impacting its financial stability. Alcoa shares are fairly valued at $34; I recommend considering a purchase closer to $25, assigning a "Hold" rating due to limited upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 11
The 'Trump Factor' In Action: Why I'm Bullish On Alcoa
Summary Alcoa's vertical integration and strong aluminum demand outside China position it well amid tariffs, supply chain shifts, and economic growth trends. Tariffs could disrupt operations, but Alcoa's flexibility and improved balance sheet offer resilience and potential for significant upside. Valuation is attractive, with potential for over 30% stock price upside if economic growth accelerates and tariff risks are mitigated. Alcoa is highly cyclical and volatile, making it suitable for investors with patience and risk tolerance, despite trade policy and market risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
Alcoa: The Tides Have Shifted To A Bullish Market
Summary Alcoa Corporation closed FY24 with a strong macroeconomic backdrop, realizing revenue and margin growth resulting from strong aluminum and alumina pricing and volumes shipped. AA stock is well-positioned to benefit from potential trade restrictions and tariffs, with a strong global presence and flexible operational routes. Risks include potential negative impacts from trade wars and economic recoveries in China and Europe, which may affect pricing and shipment routes. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 06
Alcoa: Learn How To Trade A Sentiment-Based Stock (Technical Analysis)
Summary Our methodology combines sentiment and non-linear analysis, focusing on human behavior patterns to trade stocks like Alcoa Corporation effectively. Traditional technical analysis is insufficient; our approach identifies high-probability setups with specific risk parameters, as illustrated here with AA stock. Recent analysis projected a pullback in Alcoa, presenting a bullish opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio. We provide reliable, actionable insights for traders and investors, emphasizing capital preservation and strategic risk management. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 31
Alcoa Corporation: Bearish Market, And Tariff Uncertainty Blur Positive Signals, Hold
Summary I rate Alcoa Corporation a hold due to operational headwinds impacting financial performance despite a strong balance sheet. Alcoa's financials show weak revenue growth and profitability, with high expenses and low net income compared to peers, signaling operational inefficiencies. The Dow Jones US Aluminum Index's downtrend and potential tariff hikes by President Trump suggest short-term weakness but a promising long-term outlook for AA. Alcoa's vast global presence, vertical integration, and potential benefits from proposed tariffs position it well to capitalize on projected market growth and aluminum demand. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 22
Alcoa's Financial Position Is Improving: Upgraded To A Buy Rating
Summary Alcoa's strong Q2'24 performance was driven by favorable aluminum prices and cost-cutting, leading to improved margins despite lower volumes. Positive macroeconomic factors, including tariffs on Chinese imports and expected aluminum demand growth, create favorable conditions for Alcoa. Alcoa's financial position strengthened by inventory reductions and strategic asset sales. I believe management will use the raised cash to deleverage the balance sheet and enhance shareholder value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRendement voor aandeelhouders
| AA | US Metals and Mining | US Markt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| 1Y | 191.9% | 89.2% | 28.2% |
Rendement versus industrie: AA overtrof de US Metals and Mining industrie, die het afgelopen jaar een rendement 89.2 % opleverde.
Rendement versus markt: AA overtrof de US markt, die het afgelopen jaar een rendement opleverde van 28.2 %.
Prijsvolatiliteit
| AA volatility | |
|---|---|
| AA Average Weekly Movement | 7.8% |
| Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement | 10.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.0% |
Stabiele aandelenkoers: AA heeft de afgelopen 3 maanden geen significante prijsvolatiliteit gekend vergeleken met de US markt.
Volatiliteit in de loop van de tijd: De wekelijkse volatiliteit ( 8% ) van AA is het afgelopen jaar stabiel geweest.
Over het bedrijf
| Opgericht | Werknemers | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1886 | 14,900 | Bill Oplinger | www.alcoa.com |
Alcoa Corporation is, samen met haar dochterondernemingen, actief in de bauxietwinning, aluminiumraffinage, aluminiumproductie en energieopwekking in Australië, Brazilië, Canada, IJsland, Noorwegen, Spanje en de Verenigde Staten. Het bedrijf opereert via twee segmenten: Aluminiumoxide en Aluminium. Het bedrijf ontgint bauxiet en andere aluminiumhoudende ertsen en verwerkt bauxiet tot aluminiumoxide voor verkoop aan klanten van aluminiumsmelterijen en klanten die het verwerken tot industriële chemische producten via leveringscontracten aan derden, evenals aluminiumsmelterijen en -gieterijen.
Alcoa Corporation Samenvatting
| AA fundamentele statistieken | |
|---|---|
| Marktkapitalisatie | US$20.49b |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | US$1.03b |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | US$12.66b |
19.9x
Koers/Winstverhouding1.6x
P/S-verhoudingIs AA overgewaardeerd?
Zie Reële waarde en waarderingsanalyseInkomsten en omzet
| AA resultatenrekening (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Inkomsten | US$12.66b |
| Kosten van inkomsten | US$10.60b |
| Brutowinst | US$2.06b |
| Overige uitgaven | US$1.03b |
| Inkomsten | US$1.03b |
Laatst gerapporteerde inkomsten
Mar 31, 2026
Volgende inkomensdatum
n.v.t.
| Winst per aandeel (EPS) | 3.89 |
| Brutomarge | 16.25% |
| Nettowinstmarge | 8.12% |
| Schuld/Eigen Vermogen Verhouding | 37.0% |
Hoe presteerde AA op de lange termijn?
Bekijk historische prestaties en vergelijkingDividenden
0.5%
Huidig dividendrendement10%
UitbetalingsratioBetaalt AA een betrouwbaar dividend?
Zie AA dividendgeschiedenis en benchmarks| Alcoa dividenddata | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Datum | May 19 2026 |
| Betaaldatum dividend | Jun 05 2026 |
| Dagen tot Ex-dividend | 14 days |
| Dagen tot dividendbetaaldatum | 3 days |
Betaalt AA een betrouwbaar dividend?
Zie AA dividendgeschiedenis en benchmarksBedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/06/01 16:22 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/29 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Alcoa Corporation wordt gevolgd door 29 analisten. 12 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| David Coleman | Argus Research Company |
| Dale Koenders | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Paretosh Misra | Berenberg |