Alcoa Corporation

NYSE:AA Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie: US$16.8b

Alcoa Toekomstige groei

Future criteriumcontroles 1/6

Alcoa zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 8.9% en 2.5% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 5.3% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 18.2% zijn.

Belangrijke informatie

8.9%

Groei van de winst

5.30%

Groei van de winst per aandeel

Metals and Mining winstgroei14.1%
Inkomstengroei2.5%
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen18.24%
Dekking van analisten

Good

Laatst bijgewerkt30 Apr 2026

Recente toekomstige groei-updates

Recent updates

AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Production Plans Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target for Alcoa to $73.87 from $72.48, reflecting updated expectations around potential revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa reported first quarter 2026 production results, with Bauxite output of 9.1 mdmt compared with 9.5 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina production of 2,355 kmt in line with the prior year, and Aluminum production of 607 kmt compared with 564 kmt a year ago (Key Developments).

AA: Updated Output Plans And Margins Will Shape Measured Future Returns

Analysts have revised their price target for Alcoa to approximately $72, up from about $67, citing updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa reported fourth quarter 2025 production with Bauxite at 9.4 mdmt versus 9.3 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina at 2,481 kmt versus 2,390 kmt, and Aluminum at 604 kmt versus 571 kmt (Announcement of Operating Results).

Alcoa Can See Tailwinds Driven By Geopolitical Risk

Apr 08

AA: Higher Output And Trading Volumes Will Likely Still Fail To Justify Pricing

Analysts now place Alcoa's price target at about $46.37, compared with the prior $38.00. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and future P/E levels.

AA: Production Plans And Margin Expectations Will Guide Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Alcoa to $66.92 from $61.42, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2026, targeting total Alumina segment production between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons, with shipments between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the role of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina in meeting customer contracts (company guidance).

AA: Production Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have nudged their Alcoa price target slightly higher to $61.42 from $61.08, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued 2026 production guidance for its Alumina segment, with expected production between 9.7 million and 9.9 million metric tons and shipments between 11.8 million and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the use of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (Corporate guidance).

AA: Higher Margins And Production Will Still Likely Fail To Justify Pricing

Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from $33.00 to $38.00, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth expectations, profit margin outlook, and a revised future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2025 and outlined expectations for 2026, with the Alumina segment projected to produce between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons in 2026, and shipments expected between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting a mix of internal production, trading volumes, and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (company guidance).

AA: Low Carbon Smelting And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from US$45.42 to US$61.08. They cite updates in their models that reflect revised assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples.

AA: Future Decarbonization Benefits Will Likely Fail To Justify Current Pricing

Analysts have lifted their price target on Alcoa from US$27.00 to US$33.00, pointing to updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and a lower future P/E as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball Corporation and Unilever announced the first use of ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in consumer personal and home care packaging, using aluminum that eliminates direct smelting greenhouse gas emissions and generates oxygen instead of CO2 (Key Developments).

AA: Carbon Free Smelting And Energy Moves Will Support Balanced Long Term Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately $42 to $58 per share, citing expectations for faster revenue growth, significantly higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Together, these factors support a meaningfully higher fair value estimate.

Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Dec 30
Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

AA: Low Carbon Smelting Shift Will Likely Pressure Future Returns

Narrative Update on Alcoa Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa by approximately 10 percent to around 45 dollars per share, citing expectations for modestly stronger revenue growth, materially improved profit margins, and a more attractive forward earnings multiple. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology, combining low carbon primary aluminum with recycled content to create one of the lowest footprint aerosol cans on the market (company announcement).

AA: Low Carbon Initiatives And Portfolio Reshaping Will Define Future Performance

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately 39.54 dollars to 41.29 dollars, citing higher long term revenue growth expectations and a richer future earnings multiple, despite a lower projected profit margin and slightly higher discount rate. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in low carbon aerosol cans ahead of COP30, highlighting a major step toward decarbonized aluminum supply chains (Key Developments).

AA: Measured Shifts in Operations and Partnerships Will Shape Future Performance

Narrative Update on Alcoa: Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Alcoa, revising the price target from $39.63 to $39.54 per share. This change reflects modest adjustments to outlooks on discount rate and growth assumptions.

AA: Future Investments and Facility Upgrades Will Drive Shareholder Value

Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa slightly. The new target is $39.63, up from $39.21.

Analysts Raise Alcoa Price Target as New Partnerships and Plant Closure Drive Valuation Upward

Alcoa's analyst price target has increased from $36.64 to $39.21. This change reflects improved revenue growth and profit margin projections according to analysts.

Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins

Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa from $34.09 to $36.64. They cite improved forecast profit margins and lower expected future price-to-earnings ratios as key factors in their updated outlook.

Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins

Despite a notable downgrade in revenue growth expectations, an improved net profit margin has offset this impact, resulting in a slight increase in Alcoa's analyst price target from $33.55 to $34.09. What's in the News Held Analyst/Investor Day event.
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Australia Refinancing And San Ciprián Restart Will Support Stable Operations

Strategic refinancing and joint ventures are expected to enhance cash flow, reduce interest expenses, and stabilize revenue.

Alcoa's Q1 2025 Review: Tariff Hurts, But Game Isn't Over

Apr 18

Alcoa And The Aluminum Market: A Point Of Tension And Growth

Mar 30

The 'Trump Factor' In Action: Why I'm Bullish On Alcoa

Feb 11

Alcoa: The Tides Have Shifted To A Bullish Market

Jan 30

Alcoa: Learn How To Trade A Sentiment-Based Stock (Technical Analysis)

Jan 06

Alcoa Corporation: Bearish Market, And Tariff Uncertainty Blur Positive Signals, Hold

Dec 31

Alcoa's Financial Position Is Improving: Upgraded To A Buy Rating

Sep 22

Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses

NYSE:AA - Toekomstschattingen van analisten en financiële gegevens uit het verleden (USD Millions )
DatumInkomstenInkomstenVrije kasstroomGeldmiddelen uit operationele activiteitenGem. Aantal analisten
12/31/202814,9362,0761,7892,34910
12/31/202715,0291,8011,3191,98913
12/31/202614,8291,8628401,45713
3/31/202612,6551,027287931N/A
12/31/202512,8311,1415671,185N/A
9/30/202512,8681,1295191,063N/A
6/30/202512,7779895821,121N/A
3/31/202512,665847348920N/A
12/31/202411,8955642622N/A
9/30/202411,004-293-194405N/A
6/30/202410,702-550-267331N/A
3/31/202410,480-672-51831N/A
12/31/202310,551-651-44091N/A
9/30/202310,619-896-50311N/A
6/30/202310,868-1,474-42176N/A
3/31/202311,828-823136625N/A
12/31/202212,451-123342822N/A
9/30/202213,128-1208071,269N/A
6/30/202213,3869631,1531,570N/A
3/31/202212,575723559948N/A
12/31/202112,152429530920N/A
9/30/202111,20481745393N/A
6/30/202110,460431-223116N/A
3/31/20219,775-75153490N/A
12/31/20209,286-17041394N/A
9/30/20209,330-469242618N/A
6/30/20209,532-641245634N/A
3/31/202010,095-84627428N/A
12/31/201910,433-1,125N/A686N/A
9/30/201911,341-771N/A959N/A
6/30/201912,164-556N/A1,073N/A
3/31/201913,032-144N/A561N/A
12/31/201813,403250N/A448N/A
9/30/201813,2333N/A368N/A
6/30/201812,807122N/A464N/A
3/31/201812,087187N/A1,205N/A
12/31/201711,652279N/A1,224N/A
9/30/201711,015288N/A1,008N/A
6/30/201710,380165N/A515N/A
3/31/20179,84435N/A122N/A
12/31/20169,318-400N/A-311N/A
9/30/20169,232-1,101N/A-497N/A
6/30/20169,582-1,215N/A-77N/A
3/31/201610,223-1,239N/A254N/A
12/31/201511,199-863N/A875N/A

Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten

Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei AA ( 8.9% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 3.4% ).

Winst versus markt: De winst van AA ( 8.9% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 15.8% per jaar).

Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van AA zal naar verwachting groeien, maar niet aanzienlijk.

Omzet versus markt: De omzet van AA ( 2.5% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 11.1% per jaar).

Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van AA ( 2.5% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.

Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel

Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen

Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen AA zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 18.2 %).

Ontdek groeibedrijven

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens

GegevensLaatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd)
Bedrijfsanalyse2026/05/01 06:55
Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag2026/05/01 00:00
Inkomsten2026/03/31
Jaarlijkse inkomsten2025/12/31

Gegevensbronnen

De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.

PakketGegevensTijdframeVoorbeeld Amerikaanse bron *
Financiële gegevens bedrijf10 jaar
  • Resultatenrekening
  • Kasstroomoverzicht
  • Balans
Consensus schattingen analisten+3 jaar
  • Financiële prognoses
  • Koersdoelen analisten
Marktprijzen30 jaar
  • Aandelenprijzen
  • Dividenden, splitsingen en acties
Eigendom10 jaar
  • Top aandeelhouders
  • Handel met voorkennis
Beheer10 jaar
  • Leiderschapsteam
  • Raad van bestuur
Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen10 jaar
  • Bedrijfsaankondigingen

* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.

Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.

Analysemodel en Snowflake

Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.

Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.

Industrie en sector

Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.

Bronnen van analisten

Alcoa Corporation wordt gevolgd door 29 analisten. 13 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.

AnalistInstelling
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Paretosh MisraBerenberg