Moderna（MRNA）株式概要
バイオテクノロジー企業であるModerna, Inc.は、メッセンジャーRNA医薬品を米国、欧州、および国際的に提供している。 詳細
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Moderna
17.7% 割安 内在価値ディスカウント
MODERNA (MRNA): WALLSTREET THREW IT OUT - I’LL PICK IT UP AND CASH THE CHECK
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Updated 1 May 2025
Moderna, Inc. 競合他社
価格と性能
| 過去の株価 | |
|---|---|
| 現在の株価 | US$143.97 |
| 52週高値 | US$176.66 |
| 52週安値 | US$22.28 |
| ベータ | 1.11 |
| 1ヶ月の変化 | 127.37% |
| 3ヶ月変化 | 176.17% |
| 1年変化 | 512.38% |
| 3年間の変化 | 25.64% |
| 5年間の変化 | -66.52% |
| IPOからの変化 | 674.03% |
最新ニュース
ナラティブ更新 • Sep 08
MRNA: Melanoma Vaccine Euphoria Will Likely Outrun Realistic Commercial Uptake
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Moderna from $25 to $45 as they factor in higher assumed revenue growth, slightly richer profit margins, and a materially higher future P/E following the positive Phase 3 intismeran melanoma data and the associated wave of higher Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Street commentary around Moderna has shifted sharply following the positive intismeran melanoma data, but it is far from one way.Seeking Alpha • Sep 03
Moderna: Massive Asymmetry About What The mRNA Is!
Summary Moderna receives a speculative Strong Buy rating after phase 3 melanoma data strengthens its oncology platform thesis. MRNA’s upside hinges on Intismeran’s ability to scale across multiple tumor types, not just melanoma. The 50/50 partnership with Merck provides both distribution strength and shared economics for Intismeran. Valuation is highly asymmetric: limited to melanoma, MRNA is overvalued; as a broad platform, upside could be enormous. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
ナラティブ更新 • Sep 08
MRNA: Melanoma Vaccine Euphoria Will Likely Outrun Realistic Commercial Uptake
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Moderna from $25 to $45 as they factor in higher assumed revenue growth, slightly richer profit margins, and a materially higher future P/E following the positive Phase 3 intismeran melanoma data and the associated wave of higher Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Street commentary around Moderna has shifted sharply following the positive intismeran melanoma data, but it is far from one way.Seeking Alpha • Sep 03
Moderna: Massive Asymmetry About What The mRNA Is!
Summary Moderna receives a speculative Strong Buy rating after phase 3 melanoma data strengthens its oncology platform thesis. MRNA’s upside hinges on Intismeran’s ability to scale across multiple tumor types, not just melanoma. The 50/50 partnership with Merck provides both distribution strength and shared economics for Intismeran. Valuation is highly asymmetric: limited to melanoma, MRNA is overvalued; as a broad platform, upside could be enormous. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 • Aug 25
MRNA: Future Upside Will Hinge On Melanoma Cancer Vaccine Breakthrough
Moderna's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $78.89 to $170.00, with analysts pointing to the recent melanoma intismeran data and a broadened oncology outlook as key reasons for the higher long term price target assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Moderna highlights a sharp reset in expectations following the positive melanoma intismeran data, with many bullish analysts reframing the company as a broader oncology and vaccine platform rather than a single product story tied to COVID.ナラティブ更新 • Aug 10
MRNA: Future Upside Will Hinge On New Flu Vaccine Rollout
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Moderna stock from about $66.29 to roughly $78.89. This reflects updated models that incorporate higher assumed revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, modestly lower profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple in line with recent increases in Street price targets across major research firms.ナラティブ更新 • Jul 27
MRNA: Flu Revenue Delays And Regulatory Timing Will Constrain Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Moderna stock from $22.00 to $25.00, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profitability, and future P/E multiples in light of a series of higher Street price targets and supportive commentary on the company's vaccine pipeline. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage of Moderna shows a mix of optimism around the vaccine portfolio and caution around execution, timing of revenues, and valuation.ナラティブ更新 • Jul 13
MRNA: Flu Approval Uncertainty And Delayed Vaccine Revenues Will Restrain Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Moderna to $22.00, citing a series of recently higher Street price targets that reflect increased attention on upcoming vaccine catalysts, sector momentum, and company specific earnings drivers. Analyst Commentary Street research on Moderna reflects a mix of optimism around the vaccine pipeline and caution around execution, earnings visibility, and valuation.
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 29
MRNA: Flu Approval Progress Will Still Limit Long Term Upside
Moderna's updated analyst price target framework reflects a modest fair value adjustment to about $44.25 per share, along with higher modeled revenue growth and profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple, as analysts factor in supportive regulatory commentary on the mRNA flu program and incremental optimism around the broader vaccine pipeline. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Moderna highlights a mix of optimism tied to the mRNA flu and broader vaccine pipeline, and caution around timing, clinical data gaps, and execution risk.分析記事 • Jun 21
Moderna (MRNA) Stock Could Be 39% Overvalued After FDA Flu Vaccine Backing
Moderna (MRNA) is back in focus after a unanimous FDA advisory panel vote that its investigational mRNA flu vaccine, mFlusiva, has a favorable benefit risk profile in adults 50 and older. See our latest analysis for Moderna. Moderna’s recent regulatory win has arrived after a sharp rebound in the stock, with a 1-year total shareholder return of 146.95% and a year to date share price return of 107.26%, while the 3 and 5 year total shareholder returns remain significantly lower. This suggests...ナラティブ更新 • Jun 15
MRNA: Flu Review And Pipeline Execution Risk Are Expected To Restrain Upside
Moderna's updated analyst price target edges higher, with the model fair value moving from $21.00 to about $21.09 as analysts factor in slightly stronger revenue growth expectations and potential upside from norovirus vaccine penetration. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Moderna clusters around cautious optimism, with several firms adjusting price targets while still highlighting meaningful risks tied to execution and future growth drivers, especially in vaccines beyond Covid.ナラティブ更新 • Jun 01
MRNA: Flu Review And Litigation Overhang Will Continue To Restrain Upside
Analysts raised Moderna’s fair value estimate from $12.00 to $21.00, citing a series of higher Street price targets and updated assumptions for margins, litigation risk, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Moderna has centered on two themes: valuation reset after the litigation settlement and differing views on how much residual legal and execution risk still matters for the stock.ナラティブ更新 • May 13
MRNA: Future Upside Will Depend On Upcoming Flu Vaccine Authorization Outcome
Narrative Update on Moderna Analysts have collectively raised their Moderna price targets by low to mid single digit dollar amounts, citing updated models that reflect recent litigation settlements, FDA progress on the flu vaccine, and oncology pipeline developments. Together, these factors support a lower fair value estimate of $66.29, a slightly higher discount rate of 7.21%, adjusted revenue growth expectations of 52.59%, a profit margin of 4.12%, and a future P/E assumption of 107.40x.ナラティブ更新 • Apr 27
MRNA: Litigation Tail And Uncertain Flu Path Will Limit Long-Term Upside
Analysts have lifted the implied fair value estimate for Moderna shares by about $7, citing a reset in litigation risk following the Arbutus and Genevant settlement and refreshed expectations for the flu and broader vaccine pipeline that flow through to higher modeled revenue growth and a richer future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Street research on Moderna has been active, with several firms revisiting their models after the Arbutus and Genevant settlement, the Q4 earnings update, and the FDA's decision to review the mRNA-1010 flu vaccine.ナラティブ更新 • Apr 13
MRNA: Flu Review Uncertainty And Legal Tail Risk Will Constrain Upside
Analysts have nudged Moderna's average price target higher by $5, reflecting a mix of renewed confidence in the company's vaccine pipeline after the FDA's reconsideration of its flu shot application and reduced litigation overhang following recent settlement developments. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Moderna clusters around two main themes for you to watch closely: valuation reset around the vaccine pipeline and lingering legal and execution risks tied to the COVID and flu franchises.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 30
MRNA: Litigation Deal And Flu Review Path Will Limit Future Upside
Analyst price targets for Moderna have generally shifted higher, with several firms moving into a $30 to $69 range as they factor in the recent Arbutus settlement, the FDA’s renewed review of the mRNA-1010 flu vaccine with an August 5 PDUFA date, and updated product and oncology pipeline assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research on Moderna currently reflects a mixed but generally cautious stance, even as litigation and regulatory headlines have reduced some overhangs.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 16
MRNA: Litigation Settlement And Flu Setback Will Constrain Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed Moderna's implied fair value from $15.00 to $12.00 as they factor in a higher discount rate, more moderate profit margins and updated views on revenue growth following recent litigation settlements and regulatory updates. Analyst Commentary Street research around Moderna centers on two themes that matter for you as an investor: the clean-up of legal overhangs and how much confidence to place in the broader vaccine and oncology pipeline.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 02
MRNA: Future Upside Will Hinge On Upcoming Flu Vaccine Approval Decision
Our fair value estimate for Moderna has inched up by about $1.65 per share to $91.97 as analysts update their models around higher projected product sales, a more constructive FDA review path for the mRNA-1010 flu vaccine with an August 5 PDUFA date, and refreshed views on the broader late stage pipeline including oncology. Analyst Commentary Street research on Moderna has leaned more constructive around the updated regulatory path for flu vaccine mRNA-1010, the broader late stage pipeline, and recent quarterly disclosures.分析記事 • Feb 17
Moderna, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRNA) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To US$40.90
As you might know, Moderna, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRNA ) just kicked off its latest annual results with some very strong...ナラティブ更新 • Feb 16
MRNA: Future Upside Will Depend On Vaccine Pipeline Execution Outcomes
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Moderna higher by about $3, reflecting updated views on long term revenue potential, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple following recent research on COVID demand, the broader vaccine pipeline and legal outcomes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Moderna highlights a mix of caution and growing optimism, with several bullish analysts adjusting their models after company updates, legal developments and new financing disclosures.分析記事 • Feb 02
Moderna, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MRNA) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 43%
Despite an already strong run, Moderna, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRNA ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 43% in the...ナラティブ更新 • Feb 01
MRNA: Cancer Vaccine Risk And Vaccine Backlash Will Restrain Long-Term Upside
The analyst price target for Moderna has increased by about $2 to $38.80, as analysts incorporate updated assumptions for slightly stronger revenue growth, modestly better profit margins, a marginally lower discount rate, and a slightly reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Moderna shows a mix of cautious optimism and ongoing concern.ナラティブ更新 • Jan 18
MRNA: Late Stage Vaccine Outcomes Will Define Future Upside Potential
Narrative update We trim our analyst price target for Moderna from about US$121 to roughly US$87 as analysts factor in lower profit margin expectations, a higher discount rate, cautious views on COVID-related revenue visibility, and a more binary risk profile around key late stage vaccine data, even as some models reflect higher revenue growth assumptions and updated financing terms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Moderna points to a mixed backdrop, with several firms reaffirming cautious stances while still recognizing specific areas where execution and funding choices could support long term value creation.ナラティブ更新 • Jan 04
MRNA: Oncology Progress Will Drive Long-Term Upside Despite Debt And Litigation
Analysts have modestly lifted their price targets on Moderna, with recent revisions such as $15 to $18, $16 to $17, and $32 to $30. These changes collectively reflect slightly improved conviction in the company’s long term revenue growth, gross margin expansion, and strengthened liquidity following new Ares financing, despite ongoing profitability and litigation risks.ナラティブ更新 • Dec 21
MRNA: Oncology Advances And Buyout Optionality Will Offset Debt And Litigation Risks
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Moderna to align with a slightly higher fair value estimate of about $36.75, citing incremental improvements in long term revenue growth and profitability assumptions supported by recent Investor and Analyst Day updates, revised 2026 to 2028 guidance, and Ares financing. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a cautious but incrementally more constructive stance toward Moderna, with several firms refining their models following Investor and Analyst Day presentations and the announcement of new financing.分析記事 • Dec 19
There's No Escaping Moderna, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MRNA) Muted Revenues Despite A 28% Share Price Rise
Moderna, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRNA ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last...ナラティブ更新 • Dec 07
MRNA: Oncology Pipeline Progress Will Drive Long Term Upside Despite Litigation Risk
Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on Moderna to about $35.78 from $37.32 per share, reflecting slightly softer long term growth and valuation assumptions. This comes even as recent Investor and Analyst Day updates, new debt financing and evolving oncology data support a more stable cash outlook and gradual margin improvement.ナラティブ更新 • Nov 23
MRNA: Oncology Pipeline Advances Will Drive Renewed Optimism Despite Regulatory Shifts
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Moderna down from approximately $40.30 to $37.32. They cited the company’s updated revenue growth projections and cost outlook, despite improvements in profit margins and continued progress across its commercial and research pipelines.ナラティブ更新 • Nov 07
MRNA: Oncology Progress Will Drive Renewed Optimism Amid Regulatory Uncertainties
Moderna's analyst price target was reduced from $18 to $15, as analysts pointed to lower US vaccination trends and ongoing regulatory uncertainties that are impacting the outlook for its vaccine franchises. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst notes have reflected both cautious and optimistic perspectives on Moderna's outlook.ナラティブ更新 • Oct 23
Oncology Advancements And Evolving Policy Will Shape Recovery Amid Regulatory Shifts
Moderna’s analyst price target has been revised downward from $44.25 to $40.30. Analysts cite lower projected revenue growth along with persistent regulatory and profitability challenges, which have been reflected in recent industry commentary.ナラティブ更新 • Sep 04
Pipeline Diversification And Regulatory Momentum Will Unlock Future Potential
Moderna’s consensus price target was held at $44.25 as analysts cited declining US vaccine demand, increased regulatory hurdles for flu/COVID combinations, delayed UK deliveries impacting 2025 guidance, and persistent uncertainty around mRNA vaccine approvals. Analyst Commentary Lowered US vaccination trends for both COVID and flu are reducing addressable market expectations for Moderna’s vaccines.新しいナラティブ • May 02
MODERNA (MRNA): WALLSTREET THREW IT OUT - I’LL PICK IT UP AND CASH THE CHECK
Despite the defunding of US governmental research and health services, Moderna remains in a commanding fundamental position. The company that made its name during the COVID-19 pandemic developing andSeeking Alpha • Apr 22
More Downside For Moderna Before The Breakthrough
Summary Moderna's respiratory vaccine sales are not encouraging, and competition is strong, making it difficult to gain market share and sustain revenue. The product pipeline is promising but requires investor patience, with key vaccines in Phase 3 trials but regulatory approvals potentially years away. Financials are sound enough to support long term research, with a significant cash buffer, but oncology research faces regulatory and technical challenges. Shares are likely to go down before any uptrend (2-3 years horizon). Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 31
FDA Shake-Up Rocks Moderna Stock As Regulatory Risks Mount (Downgrade)
Summary Moderna's stock dropped over 10% after the FDA's Dr. Peter Marks resigned, signaling potential increased regulatory scrutiny on vaccines. Moderna's financial health remains strong, with ~$9 billion in cash and investments, but the stock is down 65% since my August rating downgrade. Despite pipeline progress, regulatory uncertainty and intense competition from Pfizer and GSK pose significant risks to Moderna's revenue outlook. Given the negative public perception of mRNA technology and regulatory risks, I downgrade MRNA to "Hold" until more clarity emerges. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 06
Moderna: Patent Litigation Win Masks Underperformance, Unlikely To Pay Out
Summary Moderna, Inc.'s stock surged 16% yesterday after a German court ruled Pfizer and BioNTech may have violated Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine patent, potentially leading to compensation. Despite the ruling, Pfizer and BioNTech will appeal, while previous court decisions have invalidated related patents, complicating Moderna's legal victory. MRNA's business struggles post-pandemic, with declining revenues and few new products, have made litigation a potentially critical revenue source, which I'd call a red flag. The ongoing legal battles resemble other prolonged patent disputes, highlighting the challenges in monetizing groundbreaking technologies like mRNA and CRISPR. If Moderna had released ten products since 2022, instead of one, it's unlikely yesterday's news would have moved its share price, but this reflects the new reality of messenger-RNA, a technology that hasn't lived up to the hype — yet. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha株主還元
| MRNA | US Biotechs | US 市場 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -1.1% | -5.2% | -0.9% |
| 1Y | 512.4% | 37.6% | 14.2% |
業界別リターン: MRNA過去 1 年間で37.6 % の収益を上げたUS Biotechs業界を上回りました。
リターン対市場: MRNA過去 1 年間で14.2 % の収益を上げたUS市場を上回りました。
価格変動
| MRNA volatility | |
|---|---|
| MRNA Average Weekly Movement | 52.0% |
| Biotechs Industry Average Movement | 9.5% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.9% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.9% |
安定した株価: MRNAの株価は、 US市場と比較して過去 3 か月間で変動しています。
時間の経過による変動: MRNAの 週次ボラティリティ は、過去 1 年間で27%から52%に増加しました。
会社概要
| 設立 | 従業員 | CEO（最高経営責任者 | ウェブサイト |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 4,700 | Stéphane Bancel | www.modernatx.com |
バイオテクノロジー企業であるModerna, Inc.は、メッセンジャーRNA医薬品を米国、欧州、および国際的に提供している。同社の呼吸器系ワクチンには、spikevax、mNEXSPIKE、mRESVIA、COVID、RSV、季節性インフルエンザワクチン、混合ワクチン、パンデミックインフルエンザワクチンなどがあり、潜伏系ワクチンにはサイトメガロウイルスワクチン、エプスタイン・バーウイルスワクチン、ヒト免疫不全ウイルスワクチンなどがあり、腸管系ウイルスにはノロウイルスなどがあり、公衆衛生ワクチンにはジカ熱ワクチン、ニパワクチン、Mpoxワクチンなどがあり、細菌性疾患ワクチンにはライムワクチンなどがある。また、intismeran autogene、がん抗原療法、t-cell engager、細胞療法エンハンサーなどのがん治療薬や、プロピオン酸血症、メチルマロン酸血症、嚢胞性線維症などの希少疾患治療薬も提供しています。メルク社、バーテックス・ファーマシューティカルズ・インコーポレーテッド、バーテックス・ファーマシューティカルズ（ヨーロッパ）リミテッド、イマティックスN V.、国防高等研究計画局、バイオメディカル・アドバンスド・リサーチ・アンド・ディベロップメント・オーソリティ、インスティテュート・フォー・ライフ・チェンジング・メディシンズ、ビル＆メリンダ・ゲイツ財団、オープンAIなどと戦略的提携や共同研究を行っている。同社は以前はModerna Therapeutics, Inc.として知られていたが、2018年8月に社名をModerna, Inc.に変更した。Moderna, Inc.は2010年に設立され、マサチューセッツ州ケンブリッジに本社を置いている。
Moderna, Inc. 基礎のまとめ
| MRNA 基礎統計学 | |
|---|---|
| 時価総額 | US$57.48b |
| 収益（TTM） | -US$3.15b |
| 売上高(TTM) | US$2.23b |
25.8x
P/Sレシオ-18.2x
PER（株価収益率MRNA は割高か？
公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入
| MRNA 損益計算書（TTM） | |
|---|---|
| 収益 | US$2.23b |
| 売上原価 | US$3.70b |
| 売上総利益 | -US$1.47b |
| その他の費用 | US$1.68b |
| 収益 | -US$3.15b |
直近の収益報告
Jun 30, 2026
次回決算日
該当なし
| 一株当たり利益（EPS） | -7.89 |
| グロス・マージン | -66.02% |
| 純利益率 | -141.43% |
| 有利子負債／自己資本比率 | 8.7% |
MRNA の長期的なパフォーマンスは？
過去の実績と比較を見る企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/09/13 02:00 |
| 終値 | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/06/30 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した ご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Moderna, Inc. 20 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。42
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Eliana Merle | Barclays |
| Huidong Wang | Barclays |