Rivian Automotive Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Rivian Automotive is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.7% and 30.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -47.6% in 3 years.
Key information
9.7%
Earnings growth rate
16.1%
EPS growth rate
| Auto earnings growth | 26.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 30.6% |
| Future return on equity | -47.6% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 08 May 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Rivian's Liberation Day Is Already Here - Execution Remains Promising
May 08Rivian: All Eyes On Gross Margin For Upcoming Earnings
Apr 14Rivian And Its Broken Risk-To-Reward
Apr 05Rivian: A Quiet Turnaround With The Software Segment In The Driver's Seat
Mar 31Rivian Automotive Plays Second Fiddle In The EV Space
Mar 24Rivian: Cash & Investments Account For 61% Of Market Value
Mar 06Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) Just Released Its Full-Year Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
Feb 26
Rivian Stock Could Show A Big Boost As Tesla's Brand Image Suffers
Feb 25Rivian Q4 Earnings Preview: What's At Stake
Feb 19
R2 Program's Cost Advantages And Volkswagen Partnership Will Drive Future Success
Feb 09 The R1 and R2 platforms' significant cost reductions are poised to boost future profit margins and profitability as production increases.Rivian: Trump's EV Headwinds Are Intensifying
Feb 07Rivian: Volkswagen Bull Case Is Getting Stronger (Rating Upgrade)
Jan 20Is Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) A Risky Investment?
Jan 13Rivian: My Best Investment Idea For 2025
Jan 05Rivian: Cost Cuts Could Deliver Good Results In 2025
Dec 18Putting Rivian Automotive's Latest Surge In Perspective
Dec 10Rivian Automotive, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RIVN) 34% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Dec 07Rivian: EV Subsidies Are Ending (Rating Downgrade)
Nov 29Tax Credit Cut, A Spontaneous Tesla Boycott, And Why The Rivian Selloff Is Unjustified
Nov 19Rivian: It May Get Worse Before It Gets Better
Nov 12Rivian Q3 Preview: Big Quarter With Big Implications (Rating Downgrade)
Nov 05Rivian: I Was Early And Wrong (Rating Downgrade)
Oct 24Rivian Readies For Profitability With R1 Gen 2
Oct 13Bad News For Rivian (Rating Downgrade)
Oct 07The Price Is Right For Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) Even After Diving 26%
Oct 02Is Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) Using Debt Sensibly?
Sep 17Rivian Automotive: Selling Hope
Sep 09Rivian: 2025 May Be A Painful Transition Year
Aug 24Rivian Automotive, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RIVN) 26% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues
Aug 13Rivian: Thank You, Volkswagen!
Aug 12Rivian Q2 Preview: Dark Horse Software Play With Volkswagen
Aug 04Rivian: Worth Navigating Risks For High Rewards (Rating Upgrade)
Jul 18Rivian: A Limited Road Ahead
Jul 01Rivian Automotive, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RIVN) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 41% Share Price Bounce
Jun 27Rivian: Upside Potential Worth The Risks
Jun 24Is Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) Using Too Much Debt?
Jun 13Rivian's Equivalent Of A Model 3 Moment Is Around The Corner
Jun 04Rivian: Turning The Corner
May 19Rivian Is A Key Part Of Amazon's Future
May 13Rivian: Earnings Preview And The Financial Metric I'll Be Watching
May 06Rivian Shows Silver Linings Before Earnings
Apr 29Rivian: Accelerating Into The Big Leagues
Apr 12Rivian: Why I'm Not Impressed
Apr 05Rivian: After A Crash From $179 To $10, I'm Buying
Mar 28Why Long Tesla And Short Rivian Makes Sense
Mar 20Rivian: Sell The R2 Hype (Downgrade)
Mar 11Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 11,452 | -2,833 | -2,573 | -601 | 16 |
| 12/31/2026 | 7,269 | -3,337 | -3,279 | -936 | 26 |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,233 | -3,361 | -3,129 | -937 | 25 |
| 3/31/2025 | 5,006 | -3,846 | -1,860 | -635 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,970 | -4,747 | -2,857 | -1,716 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,551 | -5,524 | -5,118 | -4,006 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 5,014 | -5,791 | -5,032 | -4,007 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,977 | -5,529 | -5,611 | -4,614 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,434 | -5,432 | -5,892 | -4,866 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,782 | -5,634 | -6,227 | -5,205 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,981 | -5,991 | -6,826 | -5,696 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 2,224 | -6,508 | -6,773 | -5,539 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,658 | -6,752 | -6,421 | -5,052 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,049 | -7,490 | -6,223 | -4,692 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 514 | -6,999 | -5,709 | -4,009 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 150 | -5,867 | -5,066 | -3,294 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 55 | -4,688 | -4,416 | -2,622 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 1 | -2,581 | -3,448 | -1,804 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | N/A | -1,636 | -2,731 | -1,347 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | N/A | -1,244 | -2,187 | -1,034 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | N/A | -1,019 | -1,762 | -848 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: RIVN is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: RIVN is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: RIVN is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: RIVN's revenue (30.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: RIVN's revenue (30.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: RIVN is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/05/09 22:39 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/05/09 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Rivian Automotive, Inc. is covered by 38 analysts. 26 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| George Gianarikas | Baird |
| Benjamin Kallo | Baird |
| Dan Levy | Barclays |