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MGPI logo
MGP Ingredients

THE KINGDOM OF BROWN GOODS: WHY MGPI IS BEING CRUSHED BY INVENTORY & PRIMED FOR RESURRECTION

Originally Posted Dec 5 on the Woodworth Contrarian News Page Brought to you by Quinn Millegan & The Woodworth Contrarian Fund A Deep Dive Into Why the Market Is Pricing MGPI for Permanent Decline When Cyclical Recovery Is Lurking in Plain Sight MGP Ingredient’s factories in Atchison, KS & Lawrenceburg, IN - MGP Ingredients Corporate THE SETUP: MEET THE STOCK THAT FELL 75% AND NOBODY NOTICED MGP Ingredients closed at $24.70 yesterday (with a 3–6% increase intraday today). Two years ago—December 4, 2023—it traded at $91.53.
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US$40
FV
35.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
1.36%
Revenue growth p.a.
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26users have followed this narrative
EVTL logo
Vertical Aerospace

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Once again, I boldly foretell a future possibility for the years ahead. Some reading this may scoff, or may laugh and move on.
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US$60
FV
90.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
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25users have followed this narrative
ORCL logo
Oracle

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

The story of Oracle’s transformation is a narrative of strategic repositioning that has culminated in the company emerging as an indispensable infrastructure partner for the world’s most demanding Artificial Intelligence (AI) workloads. This strategic shift, defined by massive infrastructure investment, a landmark partnership with OpenAI, and the rise of colossal superclusters, has driven an unprecedented surge in its contract backlog, fundamentally reshaping Oracle’s long-term growth trajectory and competitive landscape.
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US$389.81
FV
51.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
28.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
9users have liked this narrative
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48users have followed this narrative
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CIC Holdings

Predicting CIC Holdings' Bright Future with a 13.18% Profit Margin Boost

After conducting a detailed analysis, I’ve determined that CIC.X is currently undervalued, with the current market price at Rs. 67.90. Using multiple valuation methods, I calculated the following intrinsic values: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Rs. 76.99 Graham’s Valuation: Rs. 207.17 EPS-Based Valuation: Rs. 347.00 DPS-Based Valuation: Rs. 198.00 By consolidating these methods, the intrinsic value I arrived at is Rs. 172.43, significantly higher than the current price.Read more

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LK₨172
84.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
kalindu's Fair Value
Revenue
2.06% p.a.
Profit Margin
13.18%
Future PE
15x
Price in 2029
LK₨464.87
OGI logo
Organigram Global

Pre-Market Explosion

Organigram Holdings Inc. has seen some significant developments in the past four months: ✓ Acquisition of Motif Labs: In December 2024, Organigram acquired Motif Labs, a Canadian cannabis company, for C$90 million upfront.Read more

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CA$6.74
60.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
DailyInvestors's Fair Value
Revenue
17% p.a.
Profit Margin
14.76%
Future PE
23.1x
Price in 2029
CA$13.74
PEP logo
PepsiCo

Fair - Optimistic

Future Efforts: Digitalization: Automation of the supply chain. Investment in data, enabling large-scale digitalization across the entire value chain (from procurement to factory management, including transportation and market placement).Read more

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US$160.43
6.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
Serpentaire's Fair Value
Revenue
2% p.a.
Profit Margin
10.63%
Future PE
26x
Price in 2027
US$197.74
TFPM logo
Triple Flag Precious Metals

Triple Flag Precious Metals Overview and Stock Price Projection (at $4,000/oz Gold, $100/oz Silver)

Key Financials: Royalties: 236 (32 producing). 2024 Guidance: 100k–115k GEOs. 2024–2028 Average Production: 140k GEOs/year.Read more

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US$50.19
30.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
RockeTeller's Fair Value
Revenue
102.64% p.a.
Profit Margin
9.52%
Future PE
17.87x
Price in 2029
US$70.5

If gold reaches $4,000/oz

Key Assumptions : Havieron Production : Annual Production: 450,000 oz/year. AISC: $1,150/oz.Read more

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1.8
91.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
RockeTeller's Fair Value
Profit Margin
9.52%
Future PE
17.87x
Price in 2030
0
LUCA logo
Luca Mining

If gold reaches $4,000/oz and silver reaches $100/oz

Key Assumptions : Production Guidance for 2025 : Total Production: 100,000 oz AUEQ. Metal Contribution: 50% from gold and silver, 50% from base metals.Read more

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CA$1.1
26.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
RockeTeller's Fair Value
Revenue
65.96% p.a.
Profit Margin
1.33%
Future PE
96.34x
Price in 2029
CA$1.83
SSL logo
Sandstorm Gold

Sandstorm Gold Overview and Stock Price Projection (at $4,000/oz Gold)

Key Financials: 2024 Forecast: 80,000 oz production; $160M cash flow. 2029 Forecast: 155,000 oz production; $250M cash flow.Read more

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CA$20
17.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
RockeTeller's Fair Value
Revenue
28.25% p.a.
Profit Margin
20.46%
Future PE
47.03x
Price in 2029
CA$28.26

Eagle Royalties Best Scenario

Eagle Royalties Stock Price Calculation Assumptions: Gold price: $4,000/oz Silver price: $100/oz FCF multiple: 20x Shares outstanding: 30 million (estimate) NSR portfolio production: Gold: 100,000 oz/year at 1% NSR Silver: 500,000 oz/year at 1% NSR FCF margin: 85% Step 1: NSR Revenue Calculation Gold Revenue: 100,000 oz × $4,000/oz × 1% = $4,000,000 Silver Revenue: 500,000 oz × $100/oz × 1% = $500,000 Total Revenue: $4,000,000 + $500,000 = $4,500,000 Step 2: Free Cash Flow (FCF) FCF: $4,500,000 × 85% = $3,825,000 Step 3: Market Cap Calculation Market Cap: $3,825,000 × 20 = $76,500,000 Step 4: Stock Price Calculation Stock Price: $76,500,000 ÷ 30,000,000 = $2.55/share Conclusion: If gold reaches $4,000/oz and silver hits $100/oz , the estimated stock price for Eagle Royalties would be $2.55/share , assuming the above revenue and production scenario.Read more

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2.55
94.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
RockeTeller's Fair Value
Profit Margin
9.52%
Future PE
17.87x
Price in 2030
0
SAND logo
Sandstorm Gold

Sandstorm Gold Overview and Stock Price Projection (at $4,000/oz Gold)

Key Financials: 2024 Forecast: 80,000 oz production; $160M cash flow. 2029 Forecast: 155,000 oz production; $250M cash flow.Read more

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US$20
39.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
RockeTeller's Fair Value
Revenue
38.1% p.a.
Profit Margin
20.46%
Future PE
47x
Price in 2029
US$28.72