Softlogic Life Insurance PLC (AAIC) – Strong Buy Recommendation Softlogic Life (AAIC) is a classic Fast Grower in Sri Lanka’s underpenetrated life insurance market. Gross Written Premiums (GWP) have grown 10x in the last decade , with a 29% YoY increase in 1H 2025 , far outpacing the industry.Read more

Overseas Realty (Ceylon) PLC (OSEA) – Buy ⭐⭐⭐ Current Price: Rs. 38.10 P/E Ratio: ~6.3× (below peer and sector averages) PEG Ratio: ~0.28 (signals undervaluation) Dividend Yield: ~3.7% Investment Thesis OSEA is an undervalued asset play anchored by two landmark Colombo properties — the World Trade Center and Havelock City. With the Havelock City Mall now 94% occupied and Mireka Tower steadily leasing (~42% as of end-2024), rental income is ramping sharply.Read more

Intrinsic Value per Share (DCF-based): Rs. 40.00 Current Market Price (CMP): Rs. 80.00 ⚠️ Overvaluation: CMP is 100% above intrinsic value! Key Concerns and Valuation Risks Overpriced Relative to Intrinsic Value Even under an optimistic growth scenario (10% FCF growth), the stock’s intrinsic value only reaches Rs. 57.Read more

Sampath Bank PLC, one of Sri Lanka’s leading commercial banks, appears to be significantly undervalued based on intrinsic valuation models. Our analysis, incorporating the Dividend Discount Model (DDM), Excess Capital Model, and Adjusted Book Value + ROE Growth, suggests a weighted intrinsic value of Rs. 176.35 per share compared to its current market price of Rs. 121.5. This indicates a 31.1% margin of safety , signaling a compelling investment opportunity.Read more

Intrinsic Value per Share (DCF-based): Rs. 1,561.93 Current Market Price (CMP): Rs. 295 Undervaluation: CMP is 81% below intrinsic value! Key Strengths and Growth Potential 🟢 Strong Profitability & Cash Flow Net Profit Margin: 23.58% (higher than industry average) Free Cash Flow Yield: 52.13% (indicates strong cash generation) Earnings Yield: 24% (suggests high return potential) 🟢 Exceptional Financial Health Debt-to-Equity: 0.00% (No debt burden, reducing financial risk) Current Ratio: 7.49 (indicating strong short-term liquidity) Cash per Share: Rs. 29.72 (high cash reserves provide safety) 🟢 Attractive Valuation Metrics Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: 4.4 (well below the market average) Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: 0.78 (trading below book value) PEG Ratio: 0.37 (suggests strong earnings growth at a cheap price) 🟢 Robust Growth and Shareholder Returns Compounded NAVPS Growth (10 years): 19.94% (23.03% if dividends reinvested) Sustainable Growth Rate: 11% (supports long-term expansion) Dividend Yield: 9.1% (solid passive income potential) Dividend Payout Ratio: 42% (balanced between growth & shareholder returns) DCF-Based Valuation Breakdown Base FCF: Rs. 2,258.66 Mn (strong cash flow foundation) Discount Rate: 12% (reflecting conservative risk assumptions) Terminal Growth Rate: 2% (aligned with economic conditions) Projected FCF Growth: CAGR 11.49% (consistent growth trajectory) Final Verdict: STRONG BUY Intrinsic Value (Rs. 1,561.93) is over 5x the CMP (Rs. 295) , making this stock a deep value opportunity.Read more

⛔️ Overvalued Alert: This Stock is a Strong Sell ⛔️ Intrinsic Value per Share (DCF-based): Rs. 14.25 Current Market Price (CMP): Rs. 37.4 Overvaluation: CMP exceeds intrinsic value by 162% Key Risks and Red Flags Chronic Negative Free Cash Flow 7 out of the last 11 years show negative Free Cash Flow (FCF). Cumulative FCF: -Rs. 29,823 Mn over the past decade.Read more

After conducting a detailed analysis, I’ve determined that CIC.X is currently undervalued, with the current market price at Rs. 67.90. Using multiple valuation methods, I calculated the following intrinsic values: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Rs. 76.99 Graham’s Valuation: Rs. 207.17 EPS-Based Valuation: Rs. 347.00 DPS-Based Valuation: Rs. 198.00 By consolidating these methods, the intrinsic value I arrived at is Rs. 172.43, significantly higher than the current price.Read more