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Weekly Picks
MicroStrategy
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
MicroStrategy: Volatile Gamble or Golden Opportunity?
Company Overview MicroStrategy, originally an enterprise analytics software provider, underwent a seismic transformation under the leadership of Michael Saylor. Once competing with industry giants like IBM and Oracle, its core software business faded in relevance long before the company embraced a bold and unconventional strategy: Bitcoin acquisition.
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US$663.00
FV
36.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
49.27%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
29
users have liked this narrative
15
users have commented on this narrative
163
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Bath & Body Works
ZW
Zwfis
Community Contributor
Emerging Markets and Debt Reduction Will Propel Bath & Body Works Forward
Bath and Body Works is an interesting company to try and project for since it has so many irregular attributes that make it trickier to predict future growth because of. The biggest reason it becomes hard to value is because of the spin off from L brands back in 2021 when Bath and Body works and Victoria Secret went ahead in becoming two separate companies.
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US$40.73
FV
22.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
QuantumScape
DA
davidlsander
Community Contributor
An amazing opportunity to potentially get a 100 bagger
QuantumScape: From Ambitious Science to the Cusp of a Battery Revolution Links to my detailed research videos https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLTxyzjHIS6phTvuEN20Iv5uA1g9qLcmc5 QuantumScape (QS) , a company that for years was often dismissed as a mere "science project" by skeptics, has definitively transformed into a formidable business on the verge of real-world impact1.... Having chosen the "Hard Path" to tackle fundamental battery challenges, QuantumScape's journey, spanning over a decade and fueled by approximately $1.5 billion in funding (with roughly $300 million strategically deployed to date), is now poised for commercial success3....
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US$10.00
FV
46.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
13
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
48
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
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LegalZoom.com
NA
NateF
Community Contributor
LZ Market Outlook
LegalZoom is an online legal technology and services company that helps consumers and small businesses with their legal, compliance, and business management needs. Their services include: Business formation products Intellectual property products Tax services Consumer, estate planning, and other services Subscriptions services LegalZoom was founded in July 1999 by Brian P.
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US$9.88
FV
10.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.09%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
8
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Afya
NA
NateF
Community Contributor
AFYA Market Outlook
Afya Limited (NASDAQ: AFYA) is a Brazilian company specializing in medical education and digital health services. Sector: Education Industry: Medical Education Market Capitalization: $1.4b (small cap) Major Competitors: Afya Limited (NASDAQ: AFYA) is a prominent player in Brazil's medical education sector.
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US$14.86
FV
2.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Harmonic
NA
NateF
Community Contributor
HLIT Market Outlook
Harmonic Inc. (NASDAQ: HLIT) is a company in the communications equipment industry, with a market capitalization of approximately $1.5 billion as of December 31, 2024.
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US$12.10
FV
23.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.03%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
TaskUs
NA
NateF
Community Contributor
TASK Market Outlook
Digital outsourcing company that provides next-generation customer experience and back-office support for innovative and disruptive technology Sector: Technology Industry: Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) Market Capitalization: $1.5b (Small-cap) Major Competitors: Its competitors range from large, diversified BPO providers to smaller, niche players specializing in customer experience (CX), back-office support, and digital transformation. Below are TaskUs’s major and direct competitors: Teleperformance: A global leader in outsourced CX management and back-office services.
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US$18.93
FV
9.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.80%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Global Payments
MA
Maxell
Community Contributor
Global Payments will reach new heights with a 34% upside potential
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 12-Month Price Target: $142 Current Price: $105.71 Implied Upside: 34.3% Rating: STRONG BUY Risk Assessment: MODERATE INVESTMENT THESIS Global Payments (GPN) presents a compelling investment opportunity at current levels, with three key catalysts driving potential outperformance in 2025: Q4 2024 momentum in Merchant Solutions with strong POS adoption (added ~3,000 new locations) Strategic sale of AdvancedMD for $1.125 billion at attractive multiple with $700M earmarked for shareholder returns Successful integration of EVO Payments enhancing B2B capabilities and geographic reach VALUATION METHODOLOGY Our $142 price target reflects: Forward P/E multiple of 13x (below historical average, reflecting current market dynamics) applied to our 2025 EPS estimate of $10.92 EV/EBITDA multiple of 11x on projected 2025 EBITDA, reflecting recent sector compression DCF analysis using 9.5% WACC (adjusted for higher rate environment) and 3% terminal growth KEY GROWTH DRIVERS Recent Performance Highlights Q3 2024 adjusted net revenue increased 6% to $2.36 billion Adjusted operating margin expanded 40 basis points to 46.1% Added 92 new software partners in Q3, up 60% year-over-year Macro Environment U.S. GDP growth projected at 2.4% for 2025, supporting payment volumes Fed funds rate expected to decrease to 3.88%, reducing funding costs Resilient high-income consumer spending evidenced by recent holiday data RISK FACTORS Near-term margin pressure from technology investments and compensation costs Integration execution risk from recent acquisitions Increasing competition in digital payments space Potential policy changes under new administration FINANCIAL METRICS Key Financial Metrics for Q4 2024E: Revenue Growth: 5-6% Operating Margin: 46.1% EPS Growth: 11-12% Free Cash Flow Conversion: 92% Projected Metrics for 2025E: Revenue Growth: 8-9% Operating Margin: 46.6% EPS Growth: 13-14% Free Cash Flow Conversion: 93% STRATEGIC POSITIONING Recent developments reinforce GPN's leadership in: Integrated payments with strong new partner acquisition B2B payments expansion through EVO integration Software-driven solutions with continued innovation International market penetration RECOMMENDATION RATIONALE Our STRONG BUY recommendation at current price of $105.71 is based on: Current valuation represents significant discount to intrinsic value Strong Q3 2024 execution with improving operating leverage Strategic initiatives creating clearer growth path Robust free cash flow generation supporting shareholder returns
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US$142.00
FV
42.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Oddity Tech
NA
NateF
Community Contributor
ODD Market Outlook
Consumer technology platform specializing in beauty and wellness products, leveraging artificial intelligence to offer personalized solutions through brands like Il Makiage and SpoiledChild. Operates in the beauty and personal care industry, focusing on direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales with a strong emphasis on technology and personalization.
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US$58.79
FV
18.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
16.90%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
ASML Holding
YI
yiannisz
Community Contributor
Why ASML Dominates the Chip Market
ASML Holding NV (ASML) isn’t a company; it’s the linchpin in the supply chain that global semiconductors need. Due to the uniqueness of supplying extreme ultraviolet, or EUV, lithography systems, the company enjoys a monopolistic position in its market.
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€864.91
FV
26.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.65%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
5
users have commented on this narrative
53
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Fluence Energy
NA
NateF
Community Contributor
FLNC Market Outlook
Fluence Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ: FLNC) is a global leader in energy storage solutions, operating within a rapidly expanding sector driven by the global shift towards renewable energy.
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US$17.75
FV
49.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.07%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Evolution
SU
SuEric
Community Contributor
King of the Live Casino
Evolution Gaming - King of the Live Casino Evolution Gaming is the leading B2B provider of live casino solutions. They power the online games you love!
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SEK 1.96k
FV
57.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
20.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
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