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US$21.48
FV
15.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
50.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
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11 days ago author updated this narrative

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CH
Community Contributor

Thyssenkrupp Nucera Will Achieve Double-Digit Profits by 2030 Boosted by Hydrogen Growth

EBIT-margin trajectory: Historical: 2.3 % → 3.6 % (FY 22/23) ​, down to – 2 % (FY 23/24) ​, back to 3 % in Q1 24/25 ​ Forecast: Gradual recovery to 4–6 % by FY 25/26, reaching 6–8 % by FY 29/30 Revenue growth: Historical: + 70 % (FY 22/23) ​, + 30 % (FY 23/24) ​, + 27 % (Q1 24/25) ​ Forecast: ~ 15 % CAGR over the next five years (FY 24/25–29/30) Five-year share-price goal: Current fair value: € 8.5–9.0 per share Five-year target: € 14–15 per share (≈ 1.9 bn EUR market cap) Enterprise value (EV) outlook (DCF-based): Revenues rising to ~ 1.8 bn EUR by FY 29/30 EBIT of ~ 145 m EUR (8 % margin) → NOPAT ~ 102 m EUR FCF margin ~ 5 % → ~ 90 m EUR FCF Terminal-value multiple: EV/FCF = 15 → TV ~ 1.35 bn EUR Discounted EV: ≈ 1.18 bn EUR + net cash 0.69 bn EUR → ≈ 1.87 bn EUR → ~ 14.8 EUR/share Top risks: execution delays, margin pressure from competition, raw-material cost swings, subsidy uncertainty, heavy capex needs Narrative Outlook Over the next five years, thyssenkrupp nucera is poised to leverage its unique position at the intersection of mature Chlor-Alkali expertise and rapid Green-Hydrogen adoption. After a transitional phase in FY 23/24 with negative margins driven by upfront investments, the company’s shift toward series-manufactured AWE modules and high-growth project backlog supports a steady margin recovery.
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€14.40
FV
28.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
15.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
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3 months ago author updated this narrative
CA$26.79
FV
81.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
78.01%
Revenue growth p.a.
17users have liked this narrative
5users have commented on this narrative
56users have followed this narrative
3 months ago author updated this narrative