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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
20
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
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Cadbury Nigeria
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Cadbury Nigeria Soars 21% Ahead of Q1 2025 Earnings Amid Signs of Operational Recovery
Cadbury Nigeria Plc saw its market value surge by 21% in the equities segment of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) over the past week, as investor sentiment turned optimistic in anticipation of the company’s Q1 2025 earnings release. The stock advanced from ₦22.00 to ₦26.60 , with over 1.34 million shares changing hands, amounting to ₦35.3 million in value.
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₦25.02
FV
183.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.59%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
AstraZeneca
UN
Unike
Community Contributor
Expect a future valuation of 22x as AstraZeneca bets on pipeline strength
Catalysts Most Immediate Catalyst (1–2 Years): Strong Oncology Portfolio Growth: AstraZeneca’s cancer drugs Tagrisso, Imfinzi, Enhertu, and Calquence continue gaining market share, driving double-digit revenue growth in oncology. Respiratory & Cardiovascular Expansion: New approvals and label expansions in Farxiga (diabetes/heart failure) and Tezspire (severe asthma) can drive meaningful sales upside.
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SEK 1.67k
FV
14.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
39
users have liked this narrative
6
users have commented on this narrative
116
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
Pandora
SW
swift11
Community Contributor
The accessible-luxury jewelry brand Pandora posted 8% same-store sales growth in the U.S. last year.
U.S. jewelry sales advanced a tepid 1.3% in 2024, driven primarily by price increases as the number of units sold dropped 1.6%, according to industry analyst Edahn Golan of Tenoris. Yet, while American consumers largely hit the pause button on new jewelry purchases, the accessible-luxury jewelry brand Pandora posted 8% same-store sales growth in the U.S. last year.
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DKK 1.60k
FV
33.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.37%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA
CH
Chris1
Community Contributor
Thyssenkrupp Nucera Will Achieve Double-Digit Profits by 2030 Boosted by Hydrogen Growth
EBIT-margin trajectory: Historical: 2.3 % → 3.6 % (FY 22/23) , down to – 2 % (FY 23/24) , back to 3 % in Q1 24/25 Forecast: Gradual recovery to 4–6 % by FY 25/26, reaching 6–8 % by FY 29/30 Revenue growth: Historical: + 70 % (FY 22/23) , + 30 % (FY 23/24) , + 27 % (Q1 24/25) Forecast: ~ 15 % CAGR over the next five years (FY 24/25–29/30) Five-year share-price goal: Current fair value: € 8.5–9.0 per share Five-year target: € 14–15 per share (≈ 1.9 bn EUR market cap) Enterprise value (EV) outlook (DCF-based): Revenues rising to ~ 1.8 bn EUR by FY 29/30 EBIT of ~ 145 m EUR (8 % margin) → NOPAT ~ 102 m EUR FCF margin ~ 5 % → ~ 90 m EUR FCF Terminal-value multiple: EV/FCF = 15 → TV ~ 1.35 bn EUR Discounted EV: ≈ 1.18 bn EUR + net cash 0.69 bn EUR → ≈ 1.87 bn EUR → ~ 14.8 EUR/share Top risks: execution delays, margin pressure from competition, raw-material cost swings, subsidy uncertainty, heavy capex needs Narrative Outlook Over the next five years, thyssenkrupp nucera is poised to leverage its unique position at the intersection of mature Chlor-Alkali expertise and rapid Green-Hydrogen adoption. After a transitional phase in FY 23/24 with negative margins driven by upfront investments, the company’s shift toward series-manufactured AWE modules and high-growth project backlog supports a steady margin recovery.
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€14.40
FV
24.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
15.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
21
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
Avino Silver & Gold Mines
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Avino a case for USD$20 per share within 5 years (assuming $3,500 gold, $100 silver and $4 copper).
Full disclosure. I am a shareholder at the time of writing this.
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CA$26.79
FV
82.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
78.01%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
17
users have liked this narrative
5
users have commented on this narrative
56
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
Vossloh
CH
Chris1
Community Contributor
Vossloh rides a €500 billion wave to boost growth and earnings in the next decade
Over the coming decade, two forces converge to transform Vossloh’s prospects: Germany’s unprecedented €500 billion infrastructure fund and the strategic bolt-on of Sateba, Europe’s leading concrete-sleeper maker. Together they unlock fresh markets, deepen Vossloh’s moat, and set the stage for multi-year revenue and earnings growth.
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€78.41
FV
12.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
15.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
Lycopodium
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Diversified Undervalued Engineering Company. Foundation stock for a diversified portfolio or dividend investor.
Catalysts Are there any products or services that could move sales or earnings meaningfully? Lycopodium (LYL) is an engineering consulting company whose core business is building and developing mines for its clients, including in growth areas such as battery minerals and Africa.
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AU$11.39
FV
0.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
15.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
Abbey Mortgage Bank
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Abbey Mortgage Bank Delivers Strong Q1 with 68.6% Earnings Surge Despite Slowing Lending
Abbey Mortgage Bank Plc kicked off 2025 on a strong note, posting a 68.64% jump in gross earnings to ₦3.77 billion in Q1 2025, compared to ₦2.24 billion in the same period last year. The impressive topline growth signals continued momentum in its income-generating activities, even as core lending activities showed signs of moderation.
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₦6.50
FV
10.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
32.39%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
7
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
Hexatronic Group
UN
Unike
Community Contributor
Hexatronic Group Will Surf the Fiber Wave to 8% Revenue Growth
Catalysts Most Immediate Catalysts (1–2 Years) Increased Demand for Fiber Networks: As broadband penetration and 5G rollout accelerate across Europe and the Nordics, operators are investing in fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) and backhaul infrastructure—directly benefiting Hexatronic’s product portfolio. Strategic Partnerships & Contracts: Recent contracts with major telecom operators and network integrators boost short-term revenue visibility and enhance Hexatronic’s market presence.
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SEK 33.80
FV
37.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
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