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BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
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narrative
Alphabet
RY
rynetmaxwell
Community Contributor
Google Search Continues to Dominate + Google Cloud Grows
Meaning During the tech bubble of the late 90’s, Larry Page and Sergey Brin founded Google which later went public in 2004. Larry and Sergey’s founding motto, “Google is not a conventional company.
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US$199.59
FV
4.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
10.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
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2
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12
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11 months ago
author updated this narrative
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US$189.95
18.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
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602b
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Revenue US$602.0b
Earnings US$187.3b
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