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The "Porsche" of Internet Switches

TO
TokyoInvested
Community Contributor

Published

July 14 2024

Updated

December 16 2024

Narratives are currently in beta

My main narrative for ANET:

  • Young company (founded 2004, IPO 2014), disrupting CISCO in the High Speed Switch Market (for Datacenter, Cloud and AI)
  • Very successful introduction of Fast Internet Switches for Brokerage (High Speed Trading)
  • Internet Speed will continuously increase to meet “tactile internet” capabilities (control robots or vehicles over distance (through internet) with nearly no delay)
  • Perfect fit of Arista HW and Arista SW, as known from Apple devices, leads to high customer satisfaction and customer binding

I focus also on:

  • More equity than debt. Ratio is at 0%. So debt free company!
  • A ROE of about 20%. Past 29%, future 24%. Also fine.

Actually it is at fair value (FV $76 from SWS), but keep in mind the underlaying FCF

  • 2024: $2.135m
  • 2027: $4.470m So ANET need to grow FCF by about 2x in next 3y.

I think that’s sporty but still realistic.

 

A debt-free company with a high ROE - my money is well invested.

Update 16.12.24: Tipo: FV $375 corrected to $76.

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Disclaimer

The user Tokyo has a position in NYSE:ANET. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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Fair Value
US$127.1
14.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
Tokyo's Fair Value
Future estimation in
PastFuture02b4b6b8b10b12b20132016201920222024202520282029Revenue US$12.7bEarnings US$4.8b
% p.a.
Decrease
Increase
Current revenue growth rate
16.01%
Communications revenue growth rate
0.38%