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Karoon Energy Ltd – Fundamental Analysis Company Overview Karoon Energy Ltd is an ASX-listed international oil and gas exploration and production company with assets in: Brazil : Baúna Project (100% interest) USA : Who Dat, Dome Patrol, Abilene (various interests) Australia : Exploration assets Financial Performance 2024 Full-Year Highlights Revenue : US$776.5 million (+14% YoY) Underlying NPAT : US$214.0 million (+3% YoY) Statutory NPAT : US$127.5 million (↓39% YoY due to non-cash tax adjustments and exploration write-offs) Operating Cash Flow : US$434.6 million Free Cash Flow : US$176.6 million Net Debt : US$8.8 million (↓from US$103.7 million in 2023) Capital Returns : US$85.7 million (dividends + buybacks) Q2 2025 Performance Production (NRI) : 2.94 MMboe (↑25% QoQ) Sales Revenue : US$159.7 million (↑7% QoQ) Capex : US$102.9 million (includes Baúna FPSO acquisition) Net Debt : US$237.9 million (↑due to FPSO acquisition and buybacks) ⚙️ Operational Performance Baúna Project (Brazil) 2024 Production : 7.5 MMbbl FPSO Efficiency : 84.5% in 2024; targeted 88–92% in 2025 FPSO Acquisition : Completed April 2025; expected to reduce opex by US$4–6/bbl from 2026 SPS-92 ESP Issue : Temporary production drop; intervention planned for Q2 2026 Who Dat (USA) 2024 Production : 2.9 MMboe (NRI) 2025 Guidance : 2.3–2.8 MMboe Development : Sidetrack drilling and tieback studies underway; FID for East/South expected by early 2026 ️ Reserves & Resources 2P Reserves (2024) : 67.9 MMboe (↓from 77.5 MMboe due to production) 2C Contingent Resources : 121.4 MMboe (↑17% YoY) Includes Neon (Brazil) and Who Dat East/South (USA) Sustainability & ESG Carbon Neutral (Scope 1 & 2) : Achieved since FY21 Net Zero Target : By 2050 or sooner Social Projects : 21 planned for 2025; aligned with UN SDGs 2025 Guidance (as of August 2025) MetricGuidance Total Production9.7–10.5 MMboeUnit Production Cost (NWI)US$12.5–17.5/boeCapexUS$99–117 millionFinance CostsUS$50–60 millionPetrobras PaymentUS$88 million Investment Considerations ✅ Strengths Diversified production base (Brazil + USA) Strong cash generation and liquidity Strategic FPSO acquisition to improve efficiency Mature development pipeline (Neon, Who Dat East/South) Active capital return policy (dividends + buybacks) ⚠️ Risks Operational reliability issues (e.g., ESP failure at Baúna) High capex and net debt increase in 2025 Commodity price volatility Regulatory and environmental risks in Brazil and USA Conclusion Karoon Energy is fundamentally strong with solid financials, a diversified asset base, and a clear strategy for growth and shareholder returns. However, operational execution and commodity price stability will be key to sustaining performance.Read more

Despite its somewhat cringe worthy name—ironically the kind Peter Lynch often sought in his hunt for undervaluation—Boss Energy has emerged as a key player in Australia's uranium sector. With macroeconomic trends pointing towards a global pivot away from fossil fuels over coming decades, uranium is well-positioned to benefit.Read more

Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on Brazilian offshore assets and Baúna exposes Karoon to regulatory, operational, and maintenance risks impacting profitability and margins. Accelerating energy transition, rising ESG pressures, and stricter environmental policies threaten long-term growth, access to capital, and asset values.Read more

Catalysts About Bannerman Energy Bannerman Energy is developing the Etango uranium project in Namibia with the goal of supplying uranium to global utilities. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Read more

Catalysts About Boss Energy Boss Energy produces uranium from its Honeymoon project in South Australia and holds a 30% interest in the Alta Mesa uranium project in the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Read more

Key Takeaways Accelerated production growth and strong long-term LNG contracts position Santos for stable revenue, improved margins, and earnings resilience amid rising energy demand. Advancements in carbon capture and efficiency drive ESG improvements and cost reductions, unlocking new revenue streams and boosting free cash flow potential.Read more

Key Takeaways Structural underinvestment and tightening regulations may drive a lasting shift in coal pricing, benefitting New Hope's margins as a low-cost operator. Southeast Asian and Indian demand growth, plus infrastructure upgrades, could significantly expand export share and boost profitability.Read more

Key Takeaways Operational improvements and expansion opportunities at core assets may boost revenue growth and profitability beyond what current forecasts and consensus expect. Strong market demand, strategic partnerships, and long-term premium contracts position the company to achieve improved earnings visibility and sustained margin expansion.Read more

Key Takeaways Tightening local gas markets and integrated gas-to-power strategy position the company for higher margins and improved pricing power in a shifting energy landscape. Strategic funding, reserve growth catalysts, and supportive energy policies enhance long-term revenue prospects and operational flexibility.Read more