Overview Our analysis indicates that Karoon Energy (ASX: KAR) is generating exceptionally strong free cash flow (FCF), with an FCF margin of ~45%—well above industry averages. Supported by a $65 per BOE base case, stable production growth (+3.8% annually), and a well-structured CAPEX program ($120M p.a.), Karoon is positioned to generate ~$293M USD in annual free cash flow.

--- [Narrative update per Investor announcement 24-Mar-2025] --- The analysis below was written ahead of Opthea’s Phase 3 results. As stated, the thesis was highly dependent on trial success.