African Rainbow Minerals' (JSE:ARI) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern African Rainbow Minerals Limited's (JSE:ARI) shareholders over the last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

See our latest analysis for African Rainbow Minerals

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

To properly understand African Rainbow Minerals' profit results, we need to consider the R3.3b expense attributed to unusual items. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. African Rainbow Minerals took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On African Rainbow Minerals' Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think the significant unusual expense will make African Rainbow Minerals' statutory profit lower than it would otherwise have been. Because of this, we think African Rainbow Minerals' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of African Rainbow Minerals.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of African Rainbow Minerals' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.