Exxaro Resources Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 1/6
Exxaro Resources's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -5%, while the Oil and Gas industry saw earnings growing at 7.3% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 5.9% per year. Exxaro Resources's return on equity is 13.8%, and it has net margins of 18.1%.
Key information
-4.96%
Earnings growth rate
-4.26%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas Industry Growth | 27.84% |
| Revenue growth rate | 5.90% |
| Return on equity | 13.84% |
| Net Margin | 18.11% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Dec 2025 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 03
EXX: Future Dividend Decision And P/E Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have raised their ZAR price target on Exxaro Resources from ZAR 195.00 to ZAR 217.00, citing updates to fair value assumptions, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E inputs in their models. What's in the News Exxaro Resources has scheduled a board meeting for March 17, 2026, to consider key corporate matters.
Narrative Update • May 19
EXX: Steady Outlook Will Highlight Proposed ZAR10 Final Dividend As Key Upside Driver
Analysts have kept their ZAR price target for Exxaro Resources broadly steady around ZAR256.40, with minor tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate and assumed future P/E, indicating only a small refinement to their valuation approach rather than a material shift in outlook. What's in the News The board plans to meet on March 17, 2026, to consider and approve a proposed gross final dividend of ZAR 10.00 per share for Exxaro Resources Limited (Key Developments).Narrative Update • May 03
EXX: Stable Outlook Will Highlight Proposed ZAR10 Final Dividend As Key Upside Catalyst
Analysts have kept their ZAR256.40 price target for Exxaro Resources unchanged, citing steady assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the basis for maintaining their view. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for 17 March 2026 to consider and approve a proposed gross final dividend of 1,000 cents per share for Exxaro Resources Limited (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 19
EXX: Higher Fair Value Will Reflect Pending ZAR10 Dividend Decision
Analysts now place Exxaro Resources' fair value at ZAR256.40, up from ZAR218.20, reflecting updated views on slightly higher long term revenue growth, profit margins, and a revised future P/E assumption. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 17, 2026, with an agenda item to approve a proposed gross final dividend of ZAR10.00 per share (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Apr 05
EXX: Higher Future P E And Dividend Outlook Will Support Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for Exxaro Resources from ZAR240.00 to ZAR260.00, citing updated assumptions that include adjusted revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 17, 2026, to consider the approval of a gross final dividend of ZAR 10.00 per share (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 21
EXX: Fair Value Will Reflect Higher Revenue Outlook And Pending Dividend Decision
Analysts have nudged their ZAR fair value estimate for Exxaro Resources slightly higher from ZAR215.67 to ZAR218.20, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a lower forward P/E multiple. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, to consider approval of a gross final dividend of ZAR10.00 per share.Narrative Update • Mar 07
EXX: Higher Margin Assumptions Will Likely Offset Lower Future P/E Multiple
Analysts have lifted their ZAR fair value estimate for Exxaro Resources from ZAR149.44 to ZAR195.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a lower forward P/E as key drivers of the higher price target. Valuation Changes Fair Value: ZAR149.44 updated to ZAR195.00, reflecting a higher assessed valuation for Exxaro Resources.Narrative Update • Feb 21
EXX: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Value Despite Lower Production Guidance
Analysts have inched up their ZAR 215.66 price target on Exxaro Resources to about ZAR 215.67, citing slightly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the key drivers behind the recalibration. What's in the News Exxaro Resources issued revised production guidance for fiscal year 2025, now expecting total production of 39,577,000 tonnes compared with previous guidance of 41,204,000 tonnes (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 07
EXX: Steady Fair Value And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Upside
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Exxaro Resources steady at R240.00, citing only modest tweaks to inputs such as a slightly lower discount rate, broadly similar revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a small adjustment to the future P/E multiple as the basis for this unchanged price target. What's in the News Exxaro Resources issued revised production guidance for fiscal 2025, with total production now expected at 39,577,000 tonnes, compared with previous guidance of 41,204,000 tonnes (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 23
EXX: Higher Margin Outlook Will Support A More Attractive Future P/E
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Exxaro Resources steady at R240.00, with the shift in assumptions, including slightly lower revenue growth and a higher profit margin alongside a reduced future P/E, used to fine tune rather than change their overall price target view. What's in the News Exxaro Resources issued revised production guidance for fiscal 2025, now expecting total production of 39,577,000 tonnes, compared with previous guidance of 41,204,000 tonnes (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Jan 12
There's No Escaping Exxaro Resources Limited's (JSE:EXX) Muted Earnings
Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.5x might make it look like a buy right...Narrative Update • Jan 09
EXX: Higher Margin Outlook Will Offset Revised Production Guidance
Analysts have lifted their price target on Exxaro Resources from R201.01 to R215.66, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, a slightly lower discount rate and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Exxaro Resources issued revised production guidance for fiscal 2025, now expecting total production of 39,577,000 tonnes, compared with previous guidance of 41,204,000 tonnes (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 26
EXX: Faster Revenue Outlook Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have raised their price target for Exxaro Resources from R230.00 to R240.00, citing expectations of faster revenue growth and a slightly lower discount rate that more than offset reduced margin and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Revised 2025 production guidance: Exxaro now expects total output of 39,577,000 tonnes versus the previous 41,204,000 tonnes, signaling a more conservative volume outlook (company guidance) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Increased slightly from ZAR 230.00 to ZAR 240.00 per share.Narrative Update • Dec 12
EXX: Future Profit Margin Pressure Will Likely Weigh On Share Price
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Exxaro Resources from R150.02 to R149.44. This reflects expectations of stronger revenue growth, somewhat lower profit margins, and a modestly higher future price to earnings multiple.Analysis Article • Nov 11
Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Could Easily Take On More Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Sep 18
Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ZAR8.43
Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) investors are due to receive a payment of ZAR8.43 per share on 6th of October...Narrative Update • Aug 27
Lephalale Solar Project Will Reduce Emissions And Operational Costs, But Internal Challenges May Affect Performance
Despite a notable reduction in consensus revenue growth forecasts, Exxaro Resources’ price target has been raised modestly to ZAR201.01, likely reflecting unchanged profitability margins. What's in the News Board approved a gross interim dividend of 843 cents per share.Analysis Article • Aug 24
Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Will Pay A Dividend Of ZAR8.43
Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) investors are due to receive a payment of ZAR8.43 per share on 6th of October...Analysis Article • Aug 22
Benign Growth For Exxaro Resources Limited (JSE:EXX) Underpins Its Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.6x Exxaro Resources Limited ( JSE:EXX ) may be sending bullish signals...Analysis Article • Jul 15
Exxaro Resources' (JSE:EXX) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • May 07
Improved Earnings Required Before Exxaro Resources Limited (JSE:EXX) Shares Find Their Feet
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.7x Exxaro Resources Limited ( JSE:EXX ) may be sending bullish signals...Analysis Article • Apr 08
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX)
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
New Narrative • Mar 16
Lephalale Solar Project Will Reduce Emissions And Operational Costs, But Internal Challenges May Affect Performance
Exxaro's advancements in coal exports, efficiency, and cost management are expected to boost revenue and net margins by accessing more markets and optimizing production.Analysis Article • Jan 08
Returns At Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Appear To Be Weighed Down
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world...Analysis Article • Dec 12
Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Nov 21
Exxaro Resources Limited (JSE:EXX) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.5x might make it look like a strong buy...Analysis Article • Sep 18
Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and...Analysis Article • Aug 23
Exxaro Resources' (JSE:EXX) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Investors were disappointed by Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) latest earnings release. We did some further...Analysis Article • Aug 04
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Exxaro Resources Limited's (JSE:EXX) Low P/E
When close to half the companies in South Africa have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may consider...Analysis Article • Apr 10
Investors Aren't Buying Exxaro Resources Limited's (JSE:EXX) Earnings
Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.8x might make it look like a strong buy...Analysis Article • Mar 15
We Think Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jan 17
Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • Dec 24
Exxaro Resources Limited's (JSE:EXX) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.2x might make it look like a strong buy...Analysis Article • Oct 10
Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analysis Article • Sep 14
Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jun 17
Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Is Very Good At Capital Allocation
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...Analysis Article • May 30
Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Exxaro Resources makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 41,771 | 7,564 | 13,138 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 42,047 | 7,871 | 12,827 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 42,323 | 8,177 | 12,515 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 41,524 | 7,951 | 12,306 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 40,725 | 7,724 | 12,097 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 39,731 | 8,399 | 11,471 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 38,736 | 9,073 | 10,844 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 38,717 | 10,183 | 10,300 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 38,698 | 11,292 | 9,756 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 40,840 | 11,387 | 12,382 | 1 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 42,982 | 11,481 | 15,008 | 1 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 44,676 | 12,654 | 14,765 | 1 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 46,369 | 13,826 | 14,522 | 1 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 43,163 | 13,260 | 15,931 | 3 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 39,957 | 12,693 | 12,810 | 2 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 36,364 | 11,948 | 12,823 | 2 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 32,771 | 11,202 | 12,836 | 2 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 31,381 | 10,399 | 10,494 | 2 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 29,990 | 9,595 | 12,682 | 4 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 29,457 | 8,332 | 12,743 | 4 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 28,924 | 7,069 | 12,804 | 4 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 28,384 | 7,380 | 16,270 | 6 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 27,843 | 7,581 | 12,863 | 4 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 26,785 | 7,640 | 12,545 | 4 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 25,726 | 7,699 | 12,226 | 4 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 25,459 | 7,856 | 6,381 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 25,192 | 8,123 | 7,407 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 25,342 | 7,523 | 7,301 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 25,491 | 6,923 | 7,194 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 24,337 | 2,747 | 5,601 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 23,575 | 2,737 | 4,928 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 22,813 | 2,726 | 4,254 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 21,871 | 7,292 | 2,231 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 21,384 | 6,430 | 1,159 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 20,897 | 5,568 | 86 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 20,333 | 2,963 | 4,207 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 19,768 | 784 | 8,413 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 19,049 | 686 | 8,413 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 18,330 | 588 | 8,413 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 17,822 | 1,678 | 8,783 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 17,313 | 2,768 | 9,152 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: EXX has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: EXX's current net profit margins (18.1%) are lower than last year (19%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: EXX's earnings have declined by 5% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: EXX's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: EXX had negative earnings growth (-2.1%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Oil and Gas industry average (6.8%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: EXX's Return on Equity (13.8%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/12 01:26 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/12 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Exxaro Resources Limited is covered by 14 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mpumelelo Mthembu | Absa Bank Limited |
| Wade Napier | Avior Capital Markets |
| Caroline Learmonth | Barclays |