Exxaro Resources Limited

JSE:EXX Stock Report

Market Cap: R50.6b

Exxaro Resources Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 4/6

Exxaro Resources is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 8.69% that is well covered by earnings.

Key information

8.5%

Dividend yield

2.8%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield11.3%
Future Dividend Yield9.0%
Dividend Growth13.4%
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ratio58%

Recent dividend and buyback updates

Analysis Article Sep 18

Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ZAR8.43

Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) investors are due to receive a payment of ZAR8.43 per share on 6th of October...
Analysis Article Aug 24

Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Will Pay A Dividend Of ZAR8.43

Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) investors are due to receive a payment of ZAR8.43 per share on 6th of October...

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 03

EXX: Future Dividend Decision And P/E Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have raised their ZAR price target on Exxaro Resources from ZAR 195.00 to ZAR 217.00, citing updates to fair value assumptions, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E inputs in their models. What's in the News Exxaro Resources has scheduled a board meeting for March 17, 2026, to consider key corporate matters.
Narrative Update May 19

EXX: Steady Outlook Will Highlight Proposed ZAR10 Final Dividend As Key Upside Driver

Analysts have kept their ZAR price target for Exxaro Resources broadly steady around ZAR256.40, with minor tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate and assumed future P/E, indicating only a small refinement to their valuation approach rather than a material shift in outlook. What's in the News The board plans to meet on March 17, 2026, to consider and approve a proposed gross final dividend of ZAR 10.00 per share for Exxaro Resources Limited (Key Developments).
Narrative Update May 03

EXX: Stable Outlook Will Highlight Proposed ZAR10 Final Dividend As Key Upside Catalyst

Analysts have kept their ZAR256.40 price target for Exxaro Resources unchanged, citing steady assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the basis for maintaining their view. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for 17 March 2026 to consider and approve a proposed gross final dividend of 1,000 cents per share for Exxaro Resources Limited (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Apr 19

EXX: Higher Fair Value Will Reflect Pending ZAR10 Dividend Decision

Analysts now place Exxaro Resources' fair value at ZAR256.40, up from ZAR218.20, reflecting updated views on slightly higher long term revenue growth, profit margins, and a revised future P/E assumption. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 17, 2026, with an agenda item to approve a proposed gross final dividend of ZAR10.00 per share (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Apr 05

EXX: Higher Future P E And Dividend Outlook Will Support Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Exxaro Resources from ZAR240.00 to ZAR260.00, citing updated assumptions that include adjusted revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 17, 2026, to consider the approval of a gross final dividend of ZAR 10.00 per share (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 21

EXX: Fair Value Will Reflect Higher Revenue Outlook And Pending Dividend Decision

Analysts have nudged their ZAR fair value estimate for Exxaro Resources slightly higher from ZAR215.67 to ZAR218.20, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a lower forward P/E multiple. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, to consider approval of a gross final dividend of ZAR10.00 per share.
Narrative Update Mar 07

EXX: Higher Margin Assumptions Will Likely Offset Lower Future P/E Multiple

Analysts have lifted their ZAR fair value estimate for Exxaro Resources from ZAR149.44 to ZAR195.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a lower forward P/E as key drivers of the higher price target. Valuation Changes Fair Value: ZAR149.44 updated to ZAR195.00, reflecting a higher assessed valuation for Exxaro Resources.
Narrative Update Feb 21

EXX: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Value Despite Lower Production Guidance

Analysts have inched up their ZAR 215.66 price target on Exxaro Resources to about ZAR 215.67, citing slightly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the key drivers behind the recalibration. What's in the News Exxaro Resources issued revised production guidance for fiscal year 2025, now expecting total production of 39,577,000 tonnes compared with previous guidance of 41,204,000 tonnes (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Feb 07

EXX: Steady Fair Value And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Upside

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Exxaro Resources steady at R240.00, citing only modest tweaks to inputs such as a slightly lower discount rate, broadly similar revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a small adjustment to the future P/E multiple as the basis for this unchanged price target. What's in the News Exxaro Resources issued revised production guidance for fiscal 2025, with total production now expected at 39,577,000 tonnes, compared with previous guidance of 41,204,000 tonnes (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 23

EXX: Higher Margin Outlook Will Support A More Attractive Future P/E

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Exxaro Resources steady at R240.00, with the shift in assumptions, including slightly lower revenue growth and a higher profit margin alongside a reduced future P/E, used to fine tune rather than change their overall price target view. What's in the News Exxaro Resources issued revised production guidance for fiscal 2025, now expecting total production of 39,577,000 tonnes, compared with previous guidance of 41,204,000 tonnes (Key Developments).
Analysis Article Jan 12

There's No Escaping Exxaro Resources Limited's (JSE:EXX) Muted Earnings

Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.5x might make it look like a buy right...
Narrative Update Jan 09

EXX: Higher Margin Outlook Will Offset Revised Production Guidance

Analysts have lifted their price target on Exxaro Resources from R201.01 to R215.66, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, a slightly lower discount rate and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Exxaro Resources issued revised production guidance for fiscal 2025, now expecting total production of 39,577,000 tonnes, compared with previous guidance of 41,204,000 tonnes (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Dec 26

EXX: Faster Revenue Outlook Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have raised their price target for Exxaro Resources from R230.00 to R240.00, citing expectations of faster revenue growth and a slightly lower discount rate that more than offset reduced margin and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Revised 2025 production guidance: Exxaro now expects total output of 39,577,000 tonnes versus the previous 41,204,000 tonnes, signaling a more conservative volume outlook (company guidance) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Increased slightly from ZAR 230.00 to ZAR 240.00 per share.
Narrative Update Dec 12

EXX: Future Profit Margin Pressure Will Likely Weigh On Share Price

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Exxaro Resources from R150.02 to R149.44. This reflects expectations of stronger revenue growth, somewhat lower profit margins, and a modestly higher future price to earnings multiple.
Analysis Article Nov 11

Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Could Easily Take On More Debt

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Sep 18

Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ZAR8.43

Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) investors are due to receive a payment of ZAR8.43 per share on 6th of October...
Narrative Update Aug 27

Lephalale Solar Project Will Reduce Emissions And Operational Costs, But Internal Challenges May Affect Performance

Despite a notable reduction in consensus revenue growth forecasts, Exxaro Resources’ price target has been raised modestly to ZAR201.01, likely reflecting unchanged profitability margins. What's in the News Board approved a gross interim dividend of 843 cents per share.
Analysis Article Aug 24

Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Will Pay A Dividend Of ZAR8.43

Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) investors are due to receive a payment of ZAR8.43 per share on 6th of October...
Analysis Article Aug 22

Benign Growth For Exxaro Resources Limited (JSE:EXX) Underpins Its Share Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.6x Exxaro Resources Limited ( JSE:EXX ) may be sending bullish signals...
Analysis Article Jul 15

Exxaro Resources' (JSE:EXX) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Analysis Article May 07

Improved Earnings Required Before Exxaro Resources Limited (JSE:EXX) Shares Find Their Feet

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.7x Exxaro Resources Limited ( JSE:EXX ) may be sending bullish signals...
Analysis Article Apr 08

Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX)

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
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New Narrative Mar 16

Lephalale Solar Project Will Reduce Emissions And Operational Costs, But Internal Challenges May Affect Performance

Exxaro's advancements in coal exports, efficiency, and cost management are expected to boost revenue and net margins by accessing more markets and optimizing production.
Analysis Article Jan 08

Returns At Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world...
Analysis Article Dec 12

Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Nov 21

Exxaro Resources Limited (JSE:EXX) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.5x might make it look like a strong buy...
Analysis Article Sep 18

Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and...
Analysis Article Aug 23

Exxaro Resources' (JSE:EXX) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Investors were disappointed by Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) latest earnings release. We did some further...
Analysis Article Aug 04

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Exxaro Resources Limited's (JSE:EXX) Low P/E

When close to half the companies in South Africa have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Apr 10

Investors Aren't Buying Exxaro Resources Limited's (JSE:EXX) Earnings

Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.8x might make it look like a strong buy...
Analysis Article Mar 15

We Think Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Jan 17

Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Analysis Article Dec 24

Exxaro Resources Limited's (JSE:EXX) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Exxaro Resources Limited's ( JSE:EXX ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.2x might make it look like a strong buy...
Analysis Article Oct 10

Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Analysis Article Sep 14

Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Jun 17

Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Is Very Good At Capital Allocation

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...
Analysis Article May 30

Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: EXX's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: EXX's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Exxaro Resources Dividend Yield vs Market
How does EXX dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (EXX)8.5%
Market Bottom 25% (ZA)3.2%
Market Top 25% (ZA)7.7%
Industry Average (Oil and Gas)4.2%
Analyst forecast (EXX) (up to 3 years)9.0%

Notable Dividend: EXX's dividend (8.69%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the ZA market (3.24%).

High Dividend: EXX's dividend (8.69%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the ZA market (7.72%)


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its reasonable payout ratio (58%), EXX's dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: With its high cash payout ratio (132.9%), EXX's dividend payments are not well covered by cash flows.


Discover strong dividend paying companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/10 12:07
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/09 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Exxaro Resources Limited is covered by 14 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mpumelelo MthembuAbsa Bank Limited
Wade NapierAvior Capital Markets
Caroline LearmonthBarclays