Stock Analysis

Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

JSE:EXX
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Exxaro Resources Limited (JSE:EXX) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Exxaro Resources

How Much Debt Does Exxaro Resources Carry?

As you can see below, Exxaro Resources had R8.99b of debt at June 2023, down from R9.76b a year prior. However, it does have R16.6b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of R7.63b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
JSE:EXX Debt to Equity History September 14th 2023

How Healthy Is Exxaro Resources' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Exxaro Resources had liabilities of R5.75b falling due within a year, and liabilities of R19.4b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of R16.6b and R4.65b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R3.89b.

Given Exxaro Resources has a market capitalization of R41.4b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Exxaro Resources also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

While Exxaro Resources doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Exxaro Resources's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Exxaro Resources has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Exxaro Resources produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 75% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Exxaro Resources has R7.63b in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 75% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in R11b. So is Exxaro Resources's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Exxaro Resources has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Exxaro Resources might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.