Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Coronation Fund Managers' (JSE:CML) For Its Upcoming Dividend

JSE:CML
Source: Shutterstock

Coronation Fund Managers Limited (JSE:CML) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in three days. If you purchase the stock on or after the 9th of December, you won't be eligible to receive this dividend, when it is paid on the 14th of December.

Coronation Fund Managers's next dividend payment will be R2.05 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of R3.83 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Coronation Fund Managers has a trailing yield of 8.7% on the current share price of ZAR44.2. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Coronation Fund Managers

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Coronation Fund Managers paid out more than half (67%) of its earnings last year, which is a regular payout ratio for most companies.

When a company paid out less in dividends than it earned in profit, this generally suggests its dividend is affordable. The lower the % of its profit that it pays out, the greater the margin of safety for the dividend if the business enters a downturn.

Click here to see how much of its profit Coronation Fund Managers paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
JSE:CML Historic Dividend December 5th 2020

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Coronation Fund Managers's 5.1% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Since the start of our data, 10 years ago, Coronation Fund Managers has lifted its dividend by approximately 16% a year on average. Growing the dividend payout ratio while earnings are declining can deliver nice returns for a while, but it's always worth checking for when the company can't increase the payout ratio any more - because then the music stops.

To Sum It Up

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Coronation Fund Managers? Earnings per share have been declining and the company is paying out more than half its profits to shareholders; not an enticing combination. This is not an overtly appealing combination of characteristics, and we're just not that interested in this company's dividend.

So if you're still interested in Coronation Fund Managers despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Coronation Fund Managers you should know about.

If you're in the market for dividend stocks, we recommend checking our list of top dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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