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Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Essential Utilities, Inc. (NYSE:WTRG)
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Essential Utilities, Inc. (NYSE:WTRG) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 21.6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Recent times have been pleasing for Essential Utilities as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Essential Utilities
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Essential Utilities.Is There Enough Growth For Essential Utilities?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Essential Utilities would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Although pleasingly EPS has lifted 73% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.3% per year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 12% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Essential Utilities' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Essential Utilities' P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Essential Utilities currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Essential Utilities (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Essential Utilities might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:WTRG
Essential Utilities
Through its subsidiaries, operates regulated utilities that provide water, wastewater, or natural gas services in the United States.
Average dividend payer and fair value.