Stock Analysis

WEC Energy Group (WEC) Valuation After 2026 Guidance Update and Planned Dividend Increase

WEC Energy Group (WEC) just paired fresh 2026 earnings guidance with plans for a higher 2026 dividend, sending a clear signal about management’s confidence in both cash flow durability and long term growth.

See our latest analysis for WEC Energy Group.

The guidance and dividend news land after a choppy stretch, with a negative 30 day share price return but an 11.99% year to date share price return and resilient 5 year total shareholder return of 39.05%, suggesting steady compounding rather than breakaway momentum.

If this kind of dependable utility profile has you rethinking your portfolio’s mix, it could be a good moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for bolder growth ideas.

Yet with WEC trading near 32 times current earnings while sitting about 15% below consensus price targets, the real puzzle is whether investors are being handed a rare entry point or if the market already sees that growth coming.

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 14.1% Undervalued

With WEC Energy Group last closing at $105.26 versus a narrative fair value of $122.50, the valuation case leans toward patient upside, not quick speculation.

The rapid expansion of data centers (not yet fully included in current forecasts) and continued investments by large customers like Microsoft and Vantage are set to meaningfully increase regional power demand, which should drive above average revenue and rate base growth for WEC over time.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how steady, regulated earnings turn into a double digit discount to fair value? The narrative leans on persistent revenue growth and richer profit margins. Want to see which long term earnings and multiple assumptions pull that $122.50 target back to today using a 6.96% discount rate? Read on to unpack the full roadmap behind this valuation.

Result: Fair Value of $122.50 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, heavy capital spending needs and uncertain regulatory outcomes could squeeze returns, challenge earnings growth, and force a rethink of that double digit discount.

Find out about the key risks to this WEC Energy Group narrative.

Build Your Own WEC Energy Group Narrative

If you see the story differently or prefer to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalized view in just minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your WEC Energy Group research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if WEC Energy Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About NYSE:WEC

WEC Energy Group

Through its subsidiaries, provides regulated natural gas and electricity, and renewable and nonregulated renewable energy services in the United States.

Solid track record average dividend payer.

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