Stock Analysis

California Water Service Group (NYSE:CWT) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

NYSE:CWT
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies California Water Service Group (NYSE:CWT) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for California Water Service Group

What Is California Water Service Group's Debt?

As you can see below, California Water Service Group had US$1.13b of debt at September 2022, down from US$1.18b a year prior. However, it does have US$90.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.04b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:CWT Debt to Equity History February 24th 2023

A Look At California Water Service Group's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that California Water Service Group had liabilities of US$322.5m due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.21b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$90.5m as well as receivables valued at US$160.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.28b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$3.24b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

California Water Service Group's debt is 4.2 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 2.8 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Another concern for investors might be that California Water Service Group's EBIT fell 14% in the last year. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if California Water Service Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, California Water Service Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Mulling over California Water Service Group's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. We should also note that Water Utilities industry companies like California Water Service Group commonly do use debt without problems. Overall, it seems to us that California Water Service Group's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for California Water Service Group (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.