Stock Analysis

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.'s (NYSE:YMM) 40% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

NYSE:YMM
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Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (NYSE:YMM) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 40% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 72% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider Full Truck Alliance as a stock to avoid entirely with its 30.1x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Full Truck Alliance certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Full Truck Alliance

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:YMM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 10th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Full Truck Alliance will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Full Truck Alliance?

Full Truck Alliance's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 73% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 33% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Full Truck Alliance's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has got Full Truck Alliance's P/E rushing to great heights as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Full Truck Alliance's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Full Truck Alliance with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Full Truck Alliance, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.