Stock Analysis

Norfolk Southern Corporation's (NYSE:NSC) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

NYSE:NSC
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 23.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been pleasing for Norfolk Southern as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Norfolk Southern

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:NSC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 5th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Norfolk Southern will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Norfolk Southern?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Norfolk Southern would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 8.6% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Norfolk Southern is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Norfolk Southern's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Norfolk Southern maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Norfolk Southern that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Norfolk Southern. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Norfolk Southern might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.