Norfolk Southern Corporation

NYSE:NSC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$55.5b

Norfolk Southern Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Norfolk Southern is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11.9% and 4.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 13.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 29.2% in 3 years.

Key information

11.9%

Earnings growth rate

13.4%

EPS growth rate

Transportation earnings growth16.4%
Revenue growth rate4.2%
Future return on equity29.2%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated17 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Norfolk Southern Corporation Just Recorded A 13% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Jul 31
Norfolk Southern Corporation Just Recorded A 13% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Recent updates

Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Jan 20
Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC)?

Jan 06
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC)?

Norfolk Southern: It's Way More Expensive Than The S&P 500

Dec 31

Norfolk Southern: Moving Efficiently Into 2025

Dec 18

Here's Why Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Dec 11
Here's Why Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Norfolk Southern Corporation's (NYSE:NSC) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

Nov 05
Norfolk Southern Corporation's (NYSE:NSC) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

Norfolk Southern's (NYSE:NSC) Dividend Will Be $1.35

Oct 24
Norfolk Southern's (NYSE:NSC) Dividend Will Be $1.35

Norfolk Southern: Q3, Superb Profitability And Productivity Improvements

Oct 24

Selling Norfolk Southern Corporation

Oct 17

Is Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC) Trading At A 26% Discount?

Oct 08
Is Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC) Trading At A 26% Discount?

Norfolk Southern's Undeniable Potential: A Turnaround You Don't Want To Miss

Sep 25

Why Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC) Could Be Worth Watching

Sep 25
Why Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC) Could Be Worth Watching

Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC)

Sep 01
Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC)

Norfolk Southern Q2: This Freight Train Is On Track For Long-Term Returns

Aug 21

Norfolk Southern: Sit Back, Watch Buybacks Boost Shares

Aug 13

We Think You Can Look Beyond Norfolk Southern's (NYSE:NSC) Lackluster Earnings

Aug 07
We Think You Can Look Beyond Norfolk Southern's (NYSE:NSC) Lackluster Earnings

Norfolk Southern Corporation Just Recorded A 13% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Jul 31
Norfolk Southern Corporation Just Recorded A 13% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $1.35

Jul 26
Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $1.35

Investors Interested In Norfolk Southern Corporation's (NYSE:NSC) Earnings

Jul 11
Investors Interested In Norfolk Southern Corporation's (NYSE:NSC) Earnings

Norfolk Southern: Improving Volumes, Chugging Along For Now

Jul 08

Is Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) A Risky Investment?

Jun 27
Is Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) A Risky Investment?

Is There An Opportunity With Norfolk Southern Corporation's (NYSE:NSC) 27% Undervaluation?

Jun 15
Is There An Opportunity With Norfolk Southern Corporation's (NYSE:NSC) 27% Undervaluation?

At US$227, Is It Time To Put Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC) On Your Watch List?

May 27
At US$227, Is It Time To Put Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC) On Your Watch List?

Norfolk Southern: On Track For Long-Term Outperformance, But Shares Are Fairly Valued (Downgrade)

May 01

Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $1.35

Apr 29
Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $1.35

Returns On Capital At Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Paint A Concerning Picture

Apr 26
Returns On Capital At Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Paint A Concerning Picture

Norfolk Southern: A Dumpster Fire With Strong Annual Return Potential

Apr 24

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

Mar 30
Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC)

Mar 01
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC)

Activist Showdown: An Opportunity To Reassess Norfolk Southern's Trajectory

Mar 01

At US$254, Is It Time To Put Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC) On Your Watch List?

Feb 16
At US$254, Is It Time To Put Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC) On Your Watch List?

We Think You Can Look Beyond Norfolk Southern's (NYSE:NSC) Lackluster Earnings

Feb 02
We Think You Can Look Beyond Norfolk Southern's (NYSE:NSC) Lackluster Earnings

Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $1.35

Jan 28
Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $1.35

Norfolk Southern: Less Than Stellar 2024 Outlook

Jan 26

Building Wealth With Norfolk Southern: Why I'm Buying More In 2024

Dec 28

Norfolk Southern's Dichotomy: Great Vision Vs. Questionable Execution

Dec 21

Norfolk Southern: All Aboard This Superb Dividend Growth Stock

Nov 21

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:NSC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202713,9673,5943,0475,4394
12/31/202613,1913,2892,6894,92520
12/31/202512,5682,9652,4304,47021
12/31/202412,1402,5031,5344,06321
9/30/202412,1722,413-4283,774N/A
6/30/202412,0921,791-9613,208N/A
3/31/202412,0281,411-1,2752,845N/A
12/31/202312,1561,8248303,179N/A
9/30/202312,3202,0871,1423,304N/A
6/30/202312,6922,5681,9984,057N/A
3/31/202312,9623,0302,4144,401N/A
12/31/202212,7453,2682,2744,222N/A
9/30/202212,3603,2392,6394,366N/A
6/30/202211,8693,0332,4894,169N/A
3/31/202211,4183,0342,6404,234N/A
12/31/202111,1423,0032,7854,255N/A
9/30/202110,8632,9142,7174,183N/A
6/30/202110,5172,7292,5903,976N/A
3/31/20219,8032,3022,3043,697N/A
12/31/20209,7892,0102,1433,637N/A
9/30/20209,9062,0042,0843,662N/A
6/30/202010,2412,0931,9233,698N/A
3/31/202011,0812,4212,0483,966N/A
12/31/201911,2962,7171,8733,892N/A
9/30/201911,5022,7521,7203,839N/A
6/30/201911,6082,7961,7583,852N/A
3/31/201911,5812,7851,7563,791N/A
12/31/201811,4582,6601,7753,726N/A
9/30/201811,2315,9271,9383,672N/A
6/30/201810,9545,732N/A3,503N/A
3/31/201810,6935,519N/A3,223N/A
12/31/201710,5515,400N/A3,253N/A
9/30/201710,3721,849N/A3,187N/A
6/30/201710,2261,801N/A3,178N/A
3/31/201710,0431,709N/A3,001N/A
12/31/20169,8881,663N/A3,034N/A
9/30/20169,9161,607N/A3,012N/A
6/30/201610,1051,600N/A2,839N/A
3/31/201610,3641,628N/A3,156N/A
12/31/201510,5111,550N/A2,908N/A
9/30/201510,8631,700N/A2,714N/A
6/30/201511,1731,808N/A2,916N/A
3/31/201511,5021,936N/A2,895N/A
12/31/201411,6241,994N/A2,915N/A
9/30/201411,6351,995N/A3,020N/A
6/30/201411,4361,917N/A3,009N/A
3/31/201411,1961,821N/A2,943N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NSC's forecast earnings growth (11.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: NSC's earnings (11.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NSC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: NSC's revenue (4.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NSC's revenue (4.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NSC's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (29.2%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/21 07:07
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Norfolk Southern Corporation is covered by 49 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Oliver HolmesAtlantic Equities LLP
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research