Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Yellow (NASDAQ:YELL), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Yellow:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.039 = US$66m ÷ (US$2.5b - US$763m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).
Thus, Yellow has an ROCE of 3.9%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Transportation industry average of 12%.
See our latest analysis for Yellow
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Yellow compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Yellow.
The Trend Of ROCE
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Yellow doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 6.6% over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Yellow is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. These growth trends haven't led to growth returns though, since the stock has fallen 20% over the last five years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with Yellow (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
While Yellow may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OTCPK:YELL.Q
Moderate and slightly overvalued.
