XPO (XPO) Stock Overview
Provides freight transportation services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 0/6 |
| Future Growth | 4/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
XPO Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
XPO, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$202.92 |
| 52 Week High | US$231.46 |
| 52 Week Low | US$110.78 |
| Beta | 1.67 |
| 1 Month Change | -9.28% |
| 3 Month Change | -0.79% |
| 1 Year Change | 73.44% |
| 3 Year Change | 319.69% |
| 5 Year Change | 38.11% |
| Change since IPO | 6,241.25% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 16
XPO: Freight Network Resilience And LTL Execution Are Expected To Reprice Shares
Analysts have lifted the XPO fair value estimate to $275 from $250, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E that are broadly consistent with the recent wave of higher Street price targets across the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned constructive on XPO, with a series of higher price targets, especially during the first quarter of 2026.Seeking Alpha • May 14
XPO: Overvaluation In Sync With Bearish Signals, Justifies Its Downward Path
Summary XPO, Inc. remains fundamentally sound but is severely overvalued, with a P/E of 68.14x and significant downside risk. Recent Q1 2026 results showed robust 7.3% YoY revenue growth and margin expansion, benefiting from LTL market undercapacity and higher demand. Despite operational resilience and ample liquidity, intensifying inflation, rising fuel costs, and market uncertainties threaten future demand and profitability. I maintain a sell rating as technicals confirm bearish momentum and the current price far exceeds reasonable valuation targets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 02
XPO: LTL Execution And HALO Assets Will Guide 2026 Risk Balance
Analysts have lifted XPO's fair value estimate from $207.04 to $219.61, reflecting a series of higher Street price targets tied to expectations for slightly stronger revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a steady forward P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around XPO clusters around higher price targets and refreshed models, with a mix of upbeat and more cautious voices feeding into the updated fair value estimate.Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 16
XPO: Freight Network Resilience And LTL Execution Are Expected To Reprice Shares
Analysts have lifted the XPO fair value estimate to $275 from $250, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E that are broadly consistent with the recent wave of higher Street price targets across the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned constructive on XPO, with a series of higher price targets, especially during the first quarter of 2026.Seeking Alpha • May 14
XPO: Overvaluation In Sync With Bearish Signals, Justifies Its Downward Path
Summary XPO, Inc. remains fundamentally sound but is severely overvalued, with a P/E of 68.14x and significant downside risk. Recent Q1 2026 results showed robust 7.3% YoY revenue growth and margin expansion, benefiting from LTL market undercapacity and higher demand. Despite operational resilience and ample liquidity, intensifying inflation, rising fuel costs, and market uncertainties threaten future demand and profitability. I maintain a sell rating as technicals confirm bearish momentum and the current price far exceeds reasonable valuation targets. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • May 02
XPO: LTL Execution And HALO Assets Will Guide 2026 Risk Balance
Analysts have lifted XPO's fair value estimate from $207.04 to $219.61, reflecting a series of higher Street price targets tied to expectations for slightly stronger revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a steady forward P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around XPO clusters around higher price targets and refreshed models, with a mix of upbeat and more cautious voices feeding into the updated fair value estimate.Narrative Update • Apr 17
XPO: LTL Execution And HALO Network Assets Will Shape 2026 Risk Reward
XPO's updated analyst price target edges up by about $3 to $207, with analysts pointing to steady tonnage and shipment trends, ongoing yield and cost efficiency work, and renewed interest in transportation networks as long lived infrastructure assets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPO shows a mix of optimism on execution and infrastructure value, alongside a few pockets of caution.
Narrative Update • Apr 03
XPO: Elevated P/E Levels Will Face Ongoing Freight Cycle Weakness
The updated analyst price target for XPO edges slightly lower by about $0.10 to $134.77 as analysts balance a modestly lower assumed future P/E multiple with slightly higher revenue growth and profit margin inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent research on XPO shows a mix of higher price targets from several firms and a growing pocket of caution as some Bearish analysts question how much upside is left after the stock's prior rally.Narrative Update • Mar 20
XPO: Freight Cycle Weakness Will Test Lofty Earnings Expectations
The analyst price target for XPO has been raised from $105.46 to $134.88, reflecting analysts' updated views on faster revenue growth, higher profit margins, and more supportive sector research commentary around less than truckload carriers and transportation networks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around XPO shows a clear split between more optimistic views tied to less than truckload fundamentals and efficiency initiatives, and a growing pocket of caution around valuation, earnings risk, and the freight cycle.Narrative Update • Mar 06
XPO: LTL Margin Efficiency And Physical Network Resilience Will Shape 2026 Risk Reward
Analysts have lifted their blended XPO price target from about $156 to about $204. They point to stronger less than truckload operating trends, yield and cost efficiency efforts, and the perceived value of its physical transport network as key supports for higher fair value assumptions and a richer future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Feb 19
XPO: Freight Cycle Recovery And Margin Expansion Are Expected To Reprice Shares
The analyst fair value estimate for XPO has been raised from $180 to $250. This increase reflects higher Street price targets across several firms as analysts factor in stronger revenue growth, improving margins, a richer assumed future P/E, and a slightly lower discount rate in their models.Narrative Update • Feb 05
XPO: AI Productivity And Margin Expansion Versus Cyclical Freight And Multiple Risk
The analyst price target on XPO has increased by $35, reflecting updated views on slightly stronger revenue growth, modestly improved profit margins, and a small adjustment to the assumed discount rate and future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPO reflects a wide range of opinions, with several firms revising price targets and ratings as they reassess earnings power, valuation multiples, and sector positioning into 2026 and beyond.Narrative Update • Jan 22
XPO: Margin Efficiency And AI Productivity Will Shape Mixed 2026 Risk Reward Profile
The analyst price target for XPO increased slightly to US$156.08 from US$151.24, as analysts point to continued margin efficiency, modestly adjusted revenue expectations, and a slightly higher assumed future P/E multiple in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on XPO reflects a mixed but engaged analyst community, with several firms revisiting their price targets and ratings as they reassess the company’s execution, margin profile, and exposure to trucking and less than truckload markets.Narrative Update • Jan 08
XPO: AI Productivity And Margin Expansion Will Drive Next Freight Upcycle Outperformance
Analysts have modestly lifted their price targets on XPO, with a roughly $7 to $16 range of increases across recent reports. They highlight improving margins, better than expected tonnage trends, and potential for further productivity gains, even as some now see a more challenging path for trucking stocks overall.Narrative Update • Dec 25
XPO Margins Will Expand As Productivity Gains Drive Next Freight Upcycle Outperformance
Analysts have raised their XPO fair value estimate to $180 from $156, reflecting increased confidence in the company’s margin expansion, revenue growth potential, and ability to capture share in the next freight upcycle despite a still challenging demand backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on XPO continue to skew positive, with multiple bullish analysts revising price targets higher and reiterating favorable ratings.Narrative Update • Dec 11
XPO: Margin Gains And AI Productivity Will Support Future Cycle Upside Amid Uncertainty
The analyst price target for XPO has inched higher from about $150 to roughly $151 per share, as analysts point to continued margin expansion, improving operating ratios, and XPO's positioning to capture market share in the next freight upcycle, despite a still muted demand backdrop. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are broadly constructive on XPO's execution, highlighting the company's ability to expand margins and improve operating ratios despite a freight environment that remains soft and visibility that is still limited.Narrative Update • Nov 27
XPO: Margin Improvement And Productivity Will Support Performance As Demand Uncertainty Persists
The analyst price target for XPO has risen slightly from $148.63 to $149.67. Analysts highlight the company’s ongoing margin improvement and outperformance relative to peers as primary drivers of this upward adjustment.Narrative Update • Nov 11
XPO: Margin Gains And Productivity Will Balance Industry Risks Ahead
Analysts have increased their price target for XPO from $141.52 to $148.63 per share. They cite strong margin outperformance, improvements in yield and productivity, and management’s confidence in continued earnings growth despite a challenging freight environment.Narrative Update • Oct 27
Cost Discipline And Efficiency Initiatives Will Support Future Network Resilience
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for XPO to $141.52 from $140.80. They cite gradual improvements in the freight market and maintain a cautious but constructive outlook on cost discipline and network efficiency.Narrative Update • Oct 13
AI Optimization And Fleet Modernization Will Transform LTL Operations
Analysts have modestly increased XPO’s fair value estimate from $139.38 to $140.80. They cite mixed updates in trucking demand, terminal expansion, and ongoing uncertainty around freight volumes and pricing.Narrative Update • Sep 11
AI Optimization And Fleet Modernization Will Transform LTL Operations
Analysts have modestly raised XPO’s price target to $139.38, citing ongoing terminal expansion, margin improvement, and cost efficiencies that offset freight market softness, though near-term upside is limited by valuation and mixed sector demand trends. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see XPO's terminal expansion and continued growth in local accounts as offsetting domestic freight weakness, supporting stable volumes and core pricing despite choppy demand.Analysis Article • Jul 26
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And XPO (NYSE:XPO) Passed With Ease
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Analysis Article • Jul 11
Calculating The Fair Value Of XPO, Inc. (NYSE:XPO)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, XPO fair value estimate is US$146 Current share price of...Analysis Article • Jun 10
Is There Now An Opportunity In XPO, Inc. (NYSE:XPO)?
Let's talk about the popular XPO, Inc. ( NYSE:XPO ). The company's shares saw a significant share price rise of 31% in...Seeking Alpha • Feb 11
XPO: Full Speed Ahead On Margin Improvement, But The Stock Might Be Out Of Gas
Summary XPO delivered strong Q4'24 results, with EPS beating estimates and significant LTL margin expansion, despite a slight revenue decline. Full-year 2024 saw XPO achieve 4% revenue growth and a 27% increase in adjusted EBITDA, driven by operational discipline and network investments. Despite a positive outlook and further margin expansion potential, XPO's current valuation appears high, trading at a premium to historical and peer multiples. Given the cyclical nature and current valuation, I recommend waiting for a better entry point closer to historical EV/EBITDA multiples around 12.0x. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 28
XPO: Valuation Has Hit A Speed Bump (Rating Downgrade)
Summary XPO's shares have risen 73% since my initial 'buy' recommendation, but current valuation levels suggest limited upside potential, prompting a downgrade to 'hold'. Q3'24 results showed strong performance, with a 20% increase in adjusted EBITDA and a 200bps improvement in LTL adjusted operating ratio. Despite solid execution, macroeconomic headwinds and softness in the freight market pose risks to XPO's future growth and pricing power. Elevated valuation multiples indicate that now may be a good time to take profits and reassess at lower levels. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 23
XPO: Capitalizing On Opportunities Amidst Market Challenges
Summary XPO's Q2'24 results were strong, driven by growth in North American LTL revenues and effective execution of the 'LTL 2.0' strategy. Despite macro challenges, XPO capitalized on Yellow Corp's bankruptcy, enhancing market share and operational efficiencies, with a focus on margin improvement and cost management. XPO's valuation remains attractive, with a lower EV/EBITDA multiple and strong EBITDA growth prospects, making it a compelling investment even after strong share price returns year to date. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 22
Revamping Freight Operations Sparks Revenue Surge And Outshines Industry Averages
Focused strategy on service improvement, including reducing damage claims and enhancing on-time performance, strengthens revenue growth and customer loyalty.Seeking Alpha • Aug 14
XPO: Company-Specific Initiatives Should Continue To Drive Outperformance
Summary XPO Inc. is positioned for future growth through strategic initiatives like increased pricing and focus on high-margin services and local channels. Despite tough Y/Y comparisons, XPO's revenue continues to increase due to improved service quality, premium offerings, and increased accessorial revenues. XPO's margin outlook remains strong with improved operating ratio, increased network capacity, and focus on high-margin services and efficiency. Valuation suggests it remains an attractive buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 01
XPO: Focus On Being A Premium Service Organisation
Summary XPO's historical financial results show consistent revenue growth, although 2023's growth was modest due to a soft freight transportation environment. Furthermore, profit margins have expanded year-over-year as well. Its strong market positioning in the North American LTL industry, investment in network capacity, and focus on high service quality are expected to bolster its outlook. XPO's strategic initiatives are bearing fruit, as its gross revenue per hundredweight has been consistently increasing while its damage claims are consistently contracting. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 27
XPO: Fairly Priced And Poised For More Growth
Summary XPO, Inc. is a Quant star and a Strong Buy based on its own strength and comparison with other trucking companies. It is a less-than-truckload transportation company that now focuses on its asset-heavy operations, an industry that is often capacity-constrained. XPO is expected to continue rewarding shareholders in the coming years based on its estimated earnings growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| XPO | US Transportation | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 1.2% | -1.6% | 1.1% |
| 1Y | 73.4% | 12.4% | 28.7% |
Return vs Industry: XPO exceeded the US Transportation industry which returned 12.4% over the past year.
Return vs Market: XPO exceeded the US Market which returned 28.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| XPO volatility | |
|---|---|
| XPO Average Weekly Movement | 6.2% |
| Transportation Industry Average Movement | 6.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.4% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: XPO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: XPO's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 37,000 | Mario Harik | www.xpo.com |
XPO, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. The company operates in two segments, North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment provides shippers with geographic density and day-definite domestic and cross-border services to the U.S., Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean.
XPO, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| XPO fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$23.82b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$348.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$8.30b |
68.5x
P/E Ratio2.9x
P/S RatioIs XPO overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| XPO income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$8.30b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$6.76b |
| Gross Profit | US$1.54b |
| Other Expenses | US$1.19b |
| Earnings | US$348.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 2.96 |
| Gross Margin | 18.56% |
| Net Profit Margin | 4.19% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 166.9% |
How did XPO perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/25 19:41 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
XPO, Inc. is covered by 33 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Eric Morgan | Barclays |
| Christopher Kuhn | Benchmark Company |
| Kevin Sterling | Benchmark Company |