XPO, Inc.

NYSE:XPO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$22.2b

XPO Valuation

Is XPO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of XPO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: XPO ($195.33) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value ($176.9)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: XPO is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XPO?

Key metric: As XPO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for XPO. This is calculated by dividing XPO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is XPO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio72.4x
EarningsUS$316.00m
Market CapUS$22.24b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does XPO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for XPO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average65.3x
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services
35.1x10.86%US$20.7b
ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line
39.5x9.96%US$38.8b
SAIA Saia
40.1x16.73%US$10.1b
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings
146.6x41.83%US$9.7b
XPO XPO
72.4x24.32%US$22.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: XPO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (72.4x) compared to the peer average (65.3x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does XPO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Transportation Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LYFT Lyft
1.9x-55.87%US$5.20b
HXHX Haoxin Holdings
2.3xn/aUS$7.43m
No more companies available in this PE range
XPO 72.4xIndustry Avg. 36.9xNo. of Companies3PE020406080100+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: XPO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (72.4x) compared to the US Transportation industry average (36.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XPO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XPO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio72.4x
Fair PE Ratio25.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: XPO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (72.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XPO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$195.33
US$196.04
+0.36%
16.35%US$250.00US$95.00n/a24
Feb ’27US$148.11
US$156.08
+5.38%
12.53%US$180.00US$90.00n/a24
Jan ’27US$135.91
US$153.16
+12.69%
12.21%US$180.00US$90.00n/a25
Dec ’26US$143.43
US$150.24
+4.75%
12.16%US$168.00US$83.00n/a25
Nov ’26US$143.87
US$147.72
+2.68%
12.73%US$166.00US$83.00n/a25
Oct ’26US$126.93
US$139.71
+10.07%
12.04%US$156.00US$84.00n/a24
Sep ’26US$129.70
US$138.38
+6.69%
11.91%US$156.00US$84.00n/a24
Aug ’26US$118.79
US$137.88
+16.07%
12.60%US$156.00US$84.00n/a25
Jul ’26US$129.46
US$127.85
-1.25%
12.58%US$152.00US$85.00n/a26
Jun ’26US$113.83
US$124.54
+9.41%
12.29%US$152.00US$85.00n/a26
May ’26US$103.94
US$124.20
+19.49%
13.46%US$160.00US$85.00n/a26
Apr ’26US$109.18
US$144.47
+32.32%
16.85%US$176.00US$85.00n/a26
Mar ’26US$122.96
US$154.84
+25.93%
17.90%US$180.00US$85.00n/a24
Feb ’26US$133.67
US$150.83
+12.84%
18.67%US$181.00US$85.00US$148.1123
Jan ’26US$131.15
US$150.49
+14.74%
19.70%US$181.00US$85.00US$135.9123
Dec ’25US$152.41
US$146.43
-3.92%
16.45%US$179.00US$85.00US$143.4323
Nov ’25US$130.19
US$142.13
+9.17%
14.27%US$162.00US$85.00US$143.8723
Oct ’25US$106.37
US$129.48
+21.72%
14.04%US$160.00US$82.00US$126.9323
Sep ’25US$114.62
US$130.65
+13.99%
13.51%US$150.00US$82.00US$129.7023
Aug ’25US$115.79
US$129.19
+11.57%
14.50%US$147.00US$82.00US$118.7921
Jul ’25US$105.37
US$129.48
+22.88%
14.07%US$150.00US$82.00US$129.4623
Jun ’25US$106.98
US$132.09
+23.47%
14.86%US$160.00US$82.00US$113.8322
May ’25US$106.38
US$131.57
+23.68%
15.40%US$155.00US$80.00US$103.9421
Apr ’25US$121.85
US$126.20
+3.57%
16.57%US$155.00US$75.00US$109.1820
Mar ’25US$120.60
US$123.57
+2.46%
15.12%US$145.00US$75.00US$122.9621
Feb ’25US$87.88
US$95.09
+8.21%
11.21%US$110.00US$61.00US$133.6722
US$196.04
Fair Value
0.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/13 12:33
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/13 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

XPO, Inc. is covered by 33 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Eric MorganBarclays
Christopher KuhnBenchmark Company
Kevin SterlingBenchmark Company