Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.

NYSE:KNX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.1b

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Valuation

Is KNX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KNX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KNX ($56.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($131.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KNX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KNX?

Key metric: As KNX is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for KNX. This is calculated by dividing KNX's market cap by their current revenue.
What is KNX's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.2x
SalesUS$7.48b
Market CapUS$9.15b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does KNX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for KNX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.8x
R Ryder System
0.5x7.8%US$6.7b
UHAL U-Haul Holding
2.3xn/aUS$12.0b
SAIA Saia
4.4x8.3%US$13.7b
YMM Full Truck Alliance
7.7x17.9%US$9.0b
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings
1.2x5.6%US$9.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: KNX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the peer average (3.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does KNX's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Transportation Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CAR Avis Budget Group
0.3x2.1%US$3.52b
HTZ Hertz Global Holdings
0.1x2.4%US$1.23b
DSKE Daseke
0.2xn/aUS$391.76m
USX U.S. Xpress Enterprises
0.2x3.1%US$322.82m
KNX 1.2xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies11PS01.63.24.86.48+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: KNX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the US Transportation industry average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KNX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KNX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.2x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: KNX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KNX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$56.01
US$56.96
+1.7%
11.0%US$70.00US$45.00n/a19
Nov ’25US$52.93
US$56.33
+6.4%
9.9%US$70.00US$45.00n/a19
Oct ’25US$52.74
US$57.12
+8.3%
10.3%US$72.00US$47.00n/a19
Sep ’25US$52.38
US$56.91
+8.6%
10.9%US$72.00US$45.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$52.47
US$56.26
+7.2%
11.3%US$72.00US$45.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$50.16
US$55.60
+10.8%
12.0%US$72.00US$45.00n/a20
Jun ’25US$48.25
US$56.28
+16.6%
11.5%US$72.00US$47.00n/a18
May ’25US$46.90
US$56.83
+21.2%
12.2%US$72.00US$47.00n/a18
Apr ’25US$54.78
US$63.12
+15.2%
7.6%US$75.00US$55.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$55.20
US$63.89
+15.7%
7.3%US$75.00US$55.00n/a18
Feb ’25US$57.86
US$64.16
+10.9%
7.5%US$75.00US$54.00n/a19
Jan ’25US$57.65
US$60.53
+5.0%
9.9%US$75.00US$48.00n/a19
Dec ’24US$56.00
US$60.53
+8.1%
9.9%US$75.00US$48.00n/a19
Nov ’24US$48.48
US$59.95
+23.7%
9.6%US$75.00US$48.00US$52.9319
Oct ’24US$50.15
US$61.37
+22.4%
9.4%US$72.00US$51.00US$52.7419
Sep ’24US$55.24
US$61.62
+11.5%
9.1%US$72.00US$51.00US$52.3821
Aug ’24US$59.73
US$61.62
+3.2%
9.1%US$72.00US$51.00US$52.4721
Jul ’24US$55.56
US$63.90
+15.0%
10.8%US$80.00US$50.00US$50.1621
Jun ’24US$55.77
US$64.29
+15.3%
10.2%US$80.00US$50.00US$48.2521
May ’24US$57.30
US$64.20
+12.0%
10.4%US$80.00US$50.00US$46.9020
Apr ’24US$56.58
US$65.26
+15.3%
13.6%US$88.00US$48.00US$54.7819
Mar ’24US$56.59
US$65.60
+15.9%
13.4%US$88.00US$48.00US$55.2020
Feb ’24US$61.04
US$64.70
+6.0%
13.2%US$88.00US$48.00US$57.8620
Jan ’24US$52.41
US$59.70
+13.9%
13.9%US$85.00US$46.00US$57.6520
Dec ’23US$56.35
US$59.80
+6.1%
13.8%US$85.00US$46.00US$56.0020
Nov ’23US$48.79
US$59.40
+21.7%
13.4%US$85.00US$46.00US$48.4820

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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