Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.

NYSE:KNX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.7b

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Valuation

Is KNX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KNX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KNX ($52.57) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($132.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KNX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KNX?

Key metric: As KNX is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for KNX. This is calculated by dividing KNX's market cap by their current revenue.
What is KNX's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.2x
SalesUS$7.48b
Market CapUS$8.68b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does KNX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for KNX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.2x
R Ryder System
0.5x7.8%US$6.7b
SAIA Saia
3.8x8.2%US$12.6b
UHAL U-Haul Holding
2.4x2.9%US$12.7b
XPO XPO
1.9x5.1%US$15.4b
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings
1.1x5.6%US$8.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: KNX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (2.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does KNX's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Transportation Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CAR Avis Budget Group
0.2x1.6%US$2.84b
HTZ Hertz Global Holdings
0.1x1.5%US$1.11b
DSKE Daseke
0.2xn/aUS$391.76m
USX U.S. Xpress Enterprises
0.2x3.1%US$322.82m
KNX 1.2xIndustry Avg. 1.4xNo. of Companies9PS01.22.43.64.86+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: KNX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Transportation industry average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KNX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KNX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.2x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: KNX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KNX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$52.57
US$57.91
+10.2%
10.4%US$70.00US$48.00n/a19
Dec ’25US$59.36
US$56.96
-4.0%
11.0%US$70.00US$45.00n/a19
Nov ’25US$52.93
US$56.33
+6.4%
9.9%US$70.00US$45.00n/a19
Oct ’25US$52.74
US$57.12
+8.3%
10.3%US$72.00US$47.00n/a19
Sep ’25US$52.38
US$56.91
+8.6%
10.9%US$72.00US$45.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$52.47
US$56.26
+7.2%
11.3%US$72.00US$45.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$50.16
US$55.60
+10.8%
12.0%US$72.00US$45.00n/a20
Jun ’25US$48.25
US$56.28
+16.6%
11.5%US$72.00US$47.00n/a18
May ’25US$46.90
US$56.83
+21.2%
12.2%US$72.00US$47.00n/a18
Apr ’25US$54.78
US$63.12
+15.2%
7.6%US$75.00US$55.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$55.20
US$63.89
+15.7%
7.3%US$75.00US$55.00n/a18
Feb ’25US$57.86
US$64.16
+10.9%
7.5%US$75.00US$54.00n/a19
Jan ’25US$57.65
US$60.53
+5.0%
9.9%US$75.00US$48.00n/a19
Dec ’24US$56.00
US$60.53
+8.1%
9.9%US$75.00US$48.00US$59.3619
Nov ’24US$48.48
US$59.95
+23.7%
9.6%US$75.00US$48.00US$52.9319
Oct ’24US$50.15
US$61.37
+22.4%
9.4%US$72.00US$51.00US$52.7419
Sep ’24US$55.24
US$61.62
+11.5%
9.1%US$72.00US$51.00US$52.3821
Aug ’24US$59.73
US$61.62
+3.2%
9.1%US$72.00US$51.00US$52.4721
Jul ’24US$55.56
US$63.90
+15.0%
10.8%US$80.00US$50.00US$50.1621
Jun ’24US$55.77
US$64.29
+15.3%
10.2%US$80.00US$50.00US$48.2521
May ’24US$57.30
US$64.20
+12.0%
10.4%US$80.00US$50.00US$46.9020
Apr ’24US$56.58
US$65.26
+15.3%
13.6%US$88.00US$48.00US$54.7819
Mar ’24US$56.59
US$65.60
+15.9%
13.4%US$88.00US$48.00US$55.2020
Feb ’24US$61.04
US$64.70
+6.0%
13.2%US$88.00US$48.00US$57.8620
Jan ’24US$52.41
US$59.70
+13.9%
13.9%US$85.00US$46.00US$57.6520
Dec ’23US$56.35
US$59.80
+6.1%
13.8%US$85.00US$46.00US$56.0020

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 18:35
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. is covered by 42 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Garrett HollandBaird
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Eric MorganBarclays