Saia, Inc.

NasdaqGS:SAIA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$12.6b

Saia Valuation

Is SAIA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAIA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAIA ($459.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($491.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAIA is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAIA?

Key metric: As SAIA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SAIA. This is calculated by dividing SAIA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SAIA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.5x
EarningsUS$375.19m
Market CapUS$12.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SAIA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SAIA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.7x
UHAL U-Haul Holding
28.1xn/aUS$12.7b
XPO XPO
41.7x18.4%US$15.4b
YMM Full Truck Alliance
26.7x27.0%US$11.5b
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services
30.2x16.2%US$17.3b
SAIA Saia
32.5x13.9%US$12.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.5x) compared to the peer average (31.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAIA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
SAIA 32.5xIndustry Avg. 28.8xNo. of Companies3PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.5x) compared to the US Transportation industry average (28.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAIA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAIA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.5x
Fair PE Ratio16.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SAIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SAIA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$459.40
US$531.51
+15.7%
16.8%US$644.00US$268.00n/a20
Dec ’25US$569.08
US$510.16
-10.4%
17.6%US$651.00US$268.00n/a20
Nov ’25US$480.69
US$486.51
+1.2%
14.4%US$565.00US$268.00n/a20
Oct ’25US$433.68
US$466.22
+7.5%
15.1%US$585.00US$270.00n/a19
Sep ’25US$375.83
US$462.91
+23.2%
14.8%US$550.00US$270.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$395.01
US$462.96
+17.2%
14.8%US$550.00US$270.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$471.47
US$512.63
+8.7%
16.7%US$610.00US$270.00n/a19
Jun ’25US$409.48
US$518.06
+26.5%
17.2%US$610.00US$270.00n/a18
May ’25US$396.00
US$535.21
+35.2%
19.7%US$793.00US$270.00n/a19
Apr ’25US$585.77
US$558.73
-4.6%
21.0%US$793.00US$272.00n/a19
Mar ’25US$579.56
US$541.36
-6.6%
20.0%US$793.00US$272.00n/a19
Feb ’25US$467.45
US$456.44
-2.4%
16.3%US$600.00US$272.00n/a20
Jan ’25US$438.22
US$434.47
-0.9%
16.0%US$600.00US$270.00n/a19
Dec ’24US$416.67
US$432.04
+3.7%
16.4%US$600.00US$265.00US$569.0820
Nov ’24US$379.93
US$431.84
+13.7%
16.8%US$600.00US$265.00US$480.6919
Oct ’24US$398.65
US$431.94
+8.4%
21.0%US$600.00US$250.00US$433.6816
Sep ’24US$438.58
US$429.59
-2.1%
20.5%US$600.00US$250.00US$375.8317
Aug ’24US$425.50
US$434.33
+2.1%
20.4%US$600.00US$250.00US$395.0118
Jul ’24US$342.41
US$323.82
-5.4%
14.4%US$390.00US$230.00US$471.4717
Jun ’24US$290.95
US$310.13
+6.6%
12.7%US$390.00US$235.00US$409.4815
May ’24US$290.82
US$310.53
+6.8%
12.7%US$390.00US$235.00US$396.0015
Apr ’24US$272.08
US$298.93
+9.9%
13.4%US$352.00US$210.00US$585.7715
Mar ’24US$272.42
US$298.27
+9.5%
14.2%US$365.00US$210.00US$579.5615
Feb ’24US$295.64
US$241.87
-18.2%
11.4%US$296.00US$188.00US$467.4515
Jan ’24US$209.68
US$235.29
+12.2%
11.0%US$296.00US$185.00US$438.2214
Dec ’23US$237.76
US$236.43
-0.6%
11.6%US$296.00US$185.00US$416.6714

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 01:13
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Saia, Inc. is covered by 36 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Eric MorganBarclays
Brandon OglenskiBarclays