Saia Valuation

Is SAIA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAIA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAIA ($585) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($505.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAIA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAIA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SAIA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA23.8x
PEG Ratio3.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SAIA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SAIA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.7x
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services
28.3x11.4%US$20.2b
UHAL U-Haul Holding
19.9xn/aUS$12.9b
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings
40.9x23.2%US$8.7b
XPO XPO
73.8x30.2%US$14.0b
SAIA Saia
43.7x13.8%US$15.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.7x) compared to the peer average (40.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAIA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.7x) compared to the US Transportation industry average (22.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAIA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAIA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.7x
Fair PE Ratio17.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SAIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SAIA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$585.00
US$555.83
-5.0%
20.7%US$793.00US$272.00n/a19
Mar ’25US$579.56
US$541.36
-6.6%
20.0%US$793.00US$272.00n/a19
Feb ’25US$467.45
US$456.44
-2.4%
16.3%US$600.00US$272.00n/a20
Jan ’25US$438.22
US$434.47
-0.9%
16.0%US$600.00US$270.00n/a19
Dec ’24US$416.67
US$432.04
+3.7%
16.4%US$600.00US$265.00n/a20
Nov ’24US$379.93
US$431.84
+13.7%
16.8%US$600.00US$265.00n/a19
Oct ’24US$398.65
US$431.94
+8.4%
21.0%US$600.00US$250.00n/a16
Sep ’24US$438.58
US$429.59
-2.1%
20.5%US$600.00US$250.00n/a17
Aug ’24US$425.50
US$434.33
+2.1%
20.4%US$600.00US$250.00n/a18
Jul ’24US$342.41
US$323.82
-5.4%
14.4%US$390.00US$230.00n/a17
Jun ’24US$290.95
US$310.13
+6.6%
12.7%US$390.00US$235.00n/a15
May ’24US$290.82
US$310.53
+6.8%
12.7%US$390.00US$235.00n/a15
Apr ’24US$272.08
US$298.93
+9.9%
13.4%US$352.00US$210.00n/a15
Mar ’24US$272.42
US$298.27
+9.5%
14.2%US$365.00US$210.00US$579.5615
Feb ’24US$295.64
US$241.87
-18.2%
11.4%US$296.00US$188.00US$467.4515
Jan ’24US$209.68
US$235.29
+12.2%
11.0%US$296.00US$185.00US$438.2214
Dec ’23US$237.76
US$236.43
-0.6%
11.6%US$296.00US$185.00US$416.6714
Nov ’23US$207.32
US$234.50
+13.1%
8.5%US$270.00US$185.00US$379.9316
Oct ’23US$190.00
US$239.47
+26.0%
9.1%US$280.00US$195.00US$398.6515
Sep ’23US$209.98
US$249.00
+18.6%
11.3%US$300.00US$195.00US$438.5816
Aug ’23US$239.87
US$245.44
+2.3%
11.3%US$300.00US$180.00US$425.5016
Jul ’23US$186.83
US$263.44
+41.0%
19.0%US$377.00US$190.00US$342.4116
Jun ’23US$195.90
US$267.67
+36.6%
19.2%US$377.00US$190.00US$290.9515
May ’23US$205.96
US$295.75
+43.6%
20.7%US$390.00US$201.00US$290.8216
Apr ’23US$233.72
US$339.13
+45.1%
13.4%US$390.00US$200.00US$272.0816
Mar ’23US$283.27
US$343.38
+21.2%
12.8%US$390.00US$200.00US$272.4216

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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