Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Stock Overview
Operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 1/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 3/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
ODFL Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 65 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$218.25 |
| 52 Week High | US$252.03 |
| 52 Week Low | US$126.01 |
| Beta | 1.18 |
| 1 Month Change | -11.64% |
| 3 Month Change | 4.18% |
| 1 Year Change | 29.90% |
| 3 Year Change | 16.16% |
| 5 Year Change | 68.69% |
| Change since IPO | 38,146.26% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jul 02
ODFL: Tightening Freight Capacity Will Support Future Earnings Resilience
Old Dominion Freight Line's analyst fair value target has been raised from $245.00 to $260.00. This reflects analysts' updated assumptions for slightly stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a modestly lower discount rate following a series of Street price target increases across the less than truckload group.Seeking Alpha • Jun 26
Old Dominion: Light At The End Of The Tunnel - Part 3
Summary Old Dominion Freight Line is poised to benefit as the freight recession finally ends after multiple false starts. ODFL’s unmatched service quality and network efficiency have driven industry-leading operating margins and ROE consistently above 20%. Management's disciplined capital allocation—investing through downturns and throttling capex at cycle bottoms—signals a likely inflection point. Accelerated share buybacks during industry weakness demonstrate confidence and enhance long-term shareholder value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jun 21
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Stock Looks About Right After Citi Downgrade
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) came under pressure after a Citi analyst downgraded the stock to sell from neutral, citing valuation concerns following a strong year-to-date share price gain. See our latest analysis for Old Dominion Freight Line. The Citi downgrade comes after a strong run for Old Dominion Freight Line, with a year to date share price return of 38.85% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 42.20%. However, the 7 day share price return declined 10.05%, hinting that momentum...
Narrative Update • Jun 18
ODFL: Freight Cycle Recovery And Amazon Competition Will Shape Stock Returns
Analysts have raised their price targets for Old Dominion Freight Line to a range around $230 to $245, citing updated models that reflect continued demand momentum in less than truckload shipping, improving freight indicators, and expectations for a stronger truck cycle. Together, these factors support a higher fair value estimate of about $222 in the refreshed framework.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jul 02
ODFL: Tightening Freight Capacity Will Support Future Earnings Resilience
Old Dominion Freight Line's analyst fair value target has been raised from $245.00 to $260.00. This reflects analysts' updated assumptions for slightly stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a modestly lower discount rate following a series of Street price target increases across the less than truckload group.Seeking Alpha • Jun 26
Old Dominion: Light At The End Of The Tunnel - Part 3
Summary Old Dominion Freight Line is poised to benefit as the freight recession finally ends after multiple false starts. ODFL’s unmatched service quality and network efficiency have driven industry-leading operating margins and ROE consistently above 20%. Management's disciplined capital allocation—investing through downturns and throttling capex at cycle bottoms—signals a likely inflection point. Accelerated share buybacks during industry weakness demonstrate confidence and enhance long-term shareholder value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jun 21
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Stock Looks About Right After Citi Downgrade
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) came under pressure after a Citi analyst downgraded the stock to sell from neutral, citing valuation concerns following a strong year-to-date share price gain. See our latest analysis for Old Dominion Freight Line. The Citi downgrade comes after a strong run for Old Dominion Freight Line, with a year to date share price return of 38.85% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 42.20%. However, the 7 day share price return declined 10.05%, hinting that momentum...Narrative Update • Jun 18
ODFL: Freight Cycle Recovery And Amazon Competition Will Shape Stock Returns
Analysts have raised their price targets for Old Dominion Freight Line to a range around $230 to $245, citing updated models that reflect continued demand momentum in less than truckload shipping, improving freight indicators, and expectations for a stronger truck cycle. Together, these factors support a higher fair value estimate of about $222 in the refreshed framework.Narrative Update • Jun 04
ODFL: Tighter Capacity And Freight Network Investments Will Support Future Earnings Resilience
Old Dominion Freight Line's fair value estimate has been nudged up by $5 to $245 as analysts factor in a tighter truckload market, steady to improving demand, and a series of higher Street price targets across the sector. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have been steadily lifting their price targets on Old Dominion Freight Line, signaling growing confidence in the stock's setup as capacity tightens and demand trends appear supportive for asset based truckers.Narrative Update • May 01
ODFL: Freight Network And Buybacks Will Support Future Earnings Resilience
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Old Dominion Freight Line to $240 from $232, reflecting a series of higher price targets across the Street that highlight updated views on revenue growth, profitability, and the P/E multiple applied to the shares. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Old Dominion Freight Line has been dominated by higher price targets and a series of upgrades, pointing to constructive sentiment on the company’s execution and its role in the transportation group.Narrative Update • Apr 15
ODFL: HALO Network And Freight Cycle Recovery Will Shape Forward Return Potential
Old Dominion Freight Line's analyst price target edges higher by about $2 to $201.21. This reflects analysts' updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions following a series of recent target raises and rating changes across the Street.Narrative Update • Mar 31
ODFL: Freight Network And Buybacks Will Drive Future Earnings Resilience
Analysts have nudged Old Dominion Freight Line's overall price target outlook higher by a few dollars, citing a series of target increases across the transport group, improving less than truckload revenue trends versus prior expectations, and the perceived resilience of its physical freight network in an AI focused market. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Old Dominion Freight Line has leaned constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and highlighting the company as a key less than truckload beneficiary in a freight cycle that remains in recovery mode.Narrative Update • Mar 17
ODFL: Tighter Capacity And HALO Network Will Shape Freight Recovery Outlook
Old Dominion Freight Line's analyst fair value estimate shifts to $199.25 from $167.79 as analysts adjust price targets across the transports group, citing slightly higher modeled revenue growth, a modestly stronger profit margin profile, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Old Dominion Freight Line reflects a mix of optimism on the long term freight cycle and caution on near term earnings power and valuation.Narrative Update • Mar 03
ODFL: Freight Network And Buybacks Will Support Higher Long Term Earnings Power
Old Dominion Freight Line's updated analyst price target edges higher to $210, as analysts highlight the resilience of its capital intensive freight network model and factor in slightly stronger revenue growth and profitability assumptions alongside a modestly lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split tape around Old Dominion, with a clear cluster of bullish analysts lifting their targets and, in some cases, their ratings as they reassess the freight cycle and the value of hard assets in trucking.Narrative Update • Feb 17
ODFL: Service Strength And Buybacks Will Support Higher Future P E Multiple
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Old Dominion Freight Line to $232 from $189, citing a higher assumed future P/E multiple of about 37x and stable margin expectations. Recent research has generally moved price targets higher, although some firms continue to highlight valuation constraints.Narrative Update • Feb 02
ODFL: Prolonged Freight Weakness And Maturing Network Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their average price expectations for Old Dominion Freight Line higher, with our fair value estimate rising by about $0.63 to $167.79 as they factor in sector wide price target increases and updated assumptions for future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Old Dominion Freight Line shows a mix of optimism on long term execution and caution on near term freight demand and valuation.Narrative Update • Jan 19
ODFL: Capacity Tightening And Buybacks Will Shape Returns Through 2026
Analysts nudged their price targets on Old Dominion Freight Line higher, lifting the fair value estimate from about $155.92 to $167.17 as they weigh tighter trucking capacity, potential margin recovery into 2026, and updated earnings models against ongoing demand and cyclicality risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Old Dominion Freight Line clusters around a higher fair value range, but the reasoning splits between optimism on execution into 2026 and caution on the freight cycle and earnings risk.Narrative Update • Jan 05
ODFL: Service Strength And Buybacks Will Support Future Premium Pricing
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Old Dominion Freight Line by about US$9. This reflects updated models that point to slightly lower fair value and profit margins, a higher discount rate, and a modestly reduced future P/E, even as revenue growth assumptions move higher and recent research flags concerns about diminishing returns and mixed tonnage trends.Narrative Update • Dec 15
ODFL: Service Strength And Buybacks Will Balance Maturing Returns Ahead
Analysts have nudged our Old Dominion Freight Line price target slightly higher to approximately $156 from about $155, as they balance concerns over moderating growth, weaker industrial volumes and diminishing incremental returns with the company’s best in class service quality, resilient margins and solid earnings execution. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Old Dominion Freight Line reflects a more balanced stance, with modest target revisions clustering around the mid $140s to mid $150s and a mix of Neutral, Overweight and Sell ratings.Narrative Update • Dec 01
ODFL: Strong Service Execution And Buybacks Will Sustain Margin Leadership Moving Forward
Old Dominion Freight Line's analyst price target has decreased modestly from $156.95 to $155.38, as analysts cite evolving industry headwinds and a maturing margin profile. This comes despite ongoing strength in service and performance.Narrative Update • Nov 17
ODFL: Service Quality And Buybacks Will Drive Stronger Performance Amid Industry Pressure
Old Dominion Freight Line's analyst price target has decreased slightly by $0.43 to $156.95, as analysts highlight ongoing volume and industry headwinds, balanced by operational outperformance and the company's resilient service results. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Old Dominion Freight Line reveals a mix of positive and cautious perspectives regarding the company's outlook and industry positioning.Narrative Update • Nov 01
ODFL: Service Quality Will Drive Market Share Gains Amid Industry Shifts
Old Dominion Freight Line's fair value estimate has been updated from $159.59 to $157.38. This change reflects analysts' ongoing adjustments to revenue growth expectations, profitability outlook, and industry conditions highlighted in recent price target revisions.Narrative Update • Oct 17
Capacity Investments And Expense Management Will Secure Future Market Share
Old Dominion Freight Line's average analyst price target has edged down by approximately $0.60, as analysts weigh modest improvements in profit margin and revenue growth against persistent industry headwinds, including weak industrial demand and continued freight oversupply. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Old Dominion Freight Line reflects a mixed view, as analysts weigh positive developments against ongoing headwinds in the freight and transportation sectors.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Capacity Investments And Expense Management Will Secure Future Market Share
Analysts have slightly reduced their average price target for Old Dominion Freight Line, lowering it by less than $1 to $160.19. They cite ongoing weak industrial growth and persistently soft freight demand across the transportation sector.Analysis Article • Sep 13
We Like Old Dominion Freight Line's (NASDAQ:ODFL) Returns And Here's How They're Trending
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...Seeking Alpha • Apr 19
Old Dominion: Light At The End Of The Tunnel
Summary The US trucking industry is facing prolonged challenges with declining freight volumes and pricing softness, despite slight recent improvements. Old Dominion stands out with superior capital allocation, minimal debt, and excellent customer service, maintaining a strong competitive position. The long-term outlook for the LTL segment remains positive, driven by anticipated economic and manufacturing growth, despite current uncertainties. Investors should focus on long-term opportunities, as lower stock prices present buying opportunities, especially for companies like Old Dominion. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 28
Old Dominion Freight Line: Just Getting Started
Summary Warren Buffett highlighted Enterprise Rent-A-Car's success through exceptional customer service, I suggest a similar moat for Old Dominion Freight Lines in the LTL trucking industry. ODFL's superior service quality, evidenced by a 99% on-time performance and low claim ratio, has driven significant market share gains and industry recognition. ODFL's strategic investments in service centers, fleet, and employee training have created a robust, profitable network, enabling sustained growth and high returns. Despite industry downturns and potential risks like cyber-attacks, ODFL's strong moat and runway for growth suggest continued long-term success. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 13
Old Dominion Freight Line: Closer To The Buy Zone
Summary Deregulation and corporate tax cuts under Trump 2.0 could modestly benefit ODFL, though the effect of tariffs is more uncertain. FedEx's spin-off of its LTL division poses no significant new threats. Early signs of a trucking industry rebound are emerging, but it's too soon to confirm a sustained recovery. ODFL remains a hold with my valuation model unchanged, though the stock price is getting closer to good value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 20
Old Dominion Freight Line: A Dividend Grower That Should Benefit From Lower Interest Rates
Summary Old Dominion Freight Line faces headwinds from high interest rates, but resilient financials and expected earnings growth in 2025 and beyond make it a strong long-term investment. Despite higher operating costs, ODFL's solid dividend growth, low debt, and strong cash flow highlight its financial strength and astute capital allocation. The stock appears overvalued with a forward P/E of 37.01x, suggesting investors should consider adding on market corrections or crashes. Higher interest rates have pressured ODFL, but long-term growth prospects and a strong balance sheet justify a hold rating for now. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 24
Old Dominion: A Classy Operator But Not Quite Cheap Enough
Summary Old Dominion Freight Line is a cut above its competitors in LTL trucking, with 99% on-time delivery, 0.1% loss ratio and winning best national carrier 15 times in a row. This superiority is borne out in the financials with superior margins and ROIC, and a strong balance sheet. With plenty of room to grow and a successful culture powering constant improvement, the company has a bright future, notwithstanding normal cyclicality. I think ODFL is trading close to fair value. Some margin of safety would be required for me to recommend a buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 20
Old Dominion: A Trucking Titan, But Its Stock Seems Overvalued
Summary Old Dominion Freight Line is a key player in the U.S. LTL trucking industry thanks to its superb network density and vertical integration. The firm continues to execute on its long-term expansion strategies, which allow ODFL to be both more adaptable and productive compared to rivals. Despite my sincerest admiration for Old Dominion's economics and returns, the trucking titan appears to be trading at a real overvaluation. My base-case IV calculation suggests a 34% overvaluation of shares, leaving little room for value-oriented investors to become engaged with the stock. As a result, I rate ODFL a Hold at the present time. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 28
Old Dominion: The Dividend Growth Stock That Keeps On Giving
Summary Old Dominion Freight Lines (ODFL) is a top dividend growth stock, excelling in the less-than-truckload ("LTL") segment with remarkable efficiency and service. In 2Q24, ODFL showcased strong pricing power, improved volumes, and a lowered operating ratio, reflecting its operational excellence and strategic investments. With minimal debt, proactive buybacks, and impressive dividend growth, ODFL stands out as a resilient investment, poised for long-term gains in any market condition. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| ODFL | US Transportation | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.1% | 2.0% | -0.7% |
| 1Y | 29.9% | 9.3% | 20.3% |
Return vs Industry: ODFL exceeded the US Transportation industry which returned 9.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: ODFL exceeded the US Market which returned 20.3% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| ODFL volatility | |
|---|---|
| ODFL Average Weekly Movement | 5.4% |
| Transportation Industry Average Movement | 6.2% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: ODFL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: ODFL's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1934 | 20,591 | Marty Freeman | www.odfl.com |
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. The company offers regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services, as well as expedited transportation services. It also provides various value-added services, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| ODFL fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$44.82b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$1.01b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$5.46b |
45.1x
P/E Ratio8.3x
P/S RatioIs ODFL overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| ODFL income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$5.46b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$3.33b |
| Gross Profit | US$2.12b |
| Other Expenses | US$1.12b |
| Earnings | US$1.01b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
Jul 29, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 4.84 |
| Gross Margin | 38.95% |
| Net Profit Margin | 18.46% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 0.9% |
How did ODFL perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
0.5%
Current Dividend Yield24%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/08 22:21 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is covered by 35 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| John Eade | Argus Research Company |
| Daniel Moore | Baird |
| Brandon Oglenski | Barclays |