Stock Analysis

Golden Ocean Group Limited (NASDAQ:GOGL) Pays A US$0.30 Dividend In Just Four Days

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NasdaqGS:GOGL

Golden Ocean Group Limited (NASDAQ:GOGL) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in 4 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase Golden Ocean Group's shares before the 11th of September to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 20th of September.

The company's next dividend payment will be US$0.30 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of US$0.60 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Golden Ocean Group stock has a trailing yield of around 5.2% on the current share price of US$11.57. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

View our latest analysis for Golden Ocean Group

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Last year Golden Ocean Group paid out 93% of its profits as dividends to shareholders, suggesting the dividend is not well covered by earnings. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. The company paid out 92% of its free cash flow over the last year, which we think is outside the ideal range for most businesses. Cash flows are usually much more volatile than earnings, so this could be a temporary effect - but we'd generally want to look more closely here.

As Golden Ocean Group's dividend was not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we would be concerned that this dividend could be at risk over the long term.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

NasdaqGS:GOGL Historic Dividend September 6th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it's easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. For this reason, we're glad to see Golden Ocean Group's earnings per share have risen 13% per annum over the last five years. It's not encouraging to see Golden Ocean Group paying out basically all of its earnings and cashflow to shareholders. We're glad that earnings are growing rapidly, but we're wary of the company stretching itself financially.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Golden Ocean Group has seen its dividend decline 17% per annum on average over the past 10 years, which is not great to see. Golden Ocean Group is a rare case where dividends have been decreasing at the same time as earnings per share have been improving. It's unusual to see, and could point to unstable conditions in the core business, or more rarely an intensified focus on reinvesting profits.

The Bottom Line

Has Golden Ocean Group got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? While it's nice to see earnings per share growing, we're curious about how Golden Ocean Group intends to continue growing, or maintain the dividend in a downturn given that it's paying out such a high percentage of its earnings and cashflow. It's not that we think Golden Ocean Group is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

So if you're still interested in Golden Ocean Group despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Golden Ocean Group you should be aware of.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.