Golden Ocean Group Limited

NasdaqGS:GOGL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.8b

Golden Ocean Group Valuation

Is GOGL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GOGL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GOGL ($9.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($54.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GOGL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GOGL?

Key metric: As GOGL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GOGL. This is calculated by dividing GOGL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GOGL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.5x
EarningsUS$241.68m
Market CapUS$1.80b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GOGL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GOGL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.4x
SBLK Star Bulk Carriers
5.9x11.1%US$1.8b
ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services
1.8x-91.2%US$2.6b
DAC Danaos
2.7x-3.9%US$1.5b
MATX Matson
11.3x-24.7%US$4.6b
GOGL Golden Ocean Group
7.5x14.4%US$1.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GOGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the peer average (5.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GOGL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Shipping Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TORO Toro
0.4xn/aUS$50.10m
PXS Pyxis Tankers
1.2x-27.0%US$40.11m
CTRM Castor Maritime
0.4xn/aUS$27.63m
PSHG Performance Shipping
0.4x6.1%US$22.25m
No more companies available in this PE range
GOGL 7.5xIndustry Avg. 4.1xNo. of Companies4PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GOGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the US Shipping industry average (4.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GOGL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GOGL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.5x
Fair PE Ratio13.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GOGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GOGL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.01
US$13.79
+53.1%
17.7%US$17.17US$11.00n/a4
Dec ’25US$10.00
US$13.79
+37.9%
17.7%US$17.17US$11.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$10.76
US$15.73
+46.2%
13.1%US$17.92US$12.50n/a4
Oct ’25US$13.16
US$16.23
+23.3%
8.1%US$17.92US$14.50n/a4
Sep ’25US$12.30
US$15.80
+28.5%
9.9%US$18.11US$13.90n/a5
Aug ’25US$11.96
US$16.34
+36.6%
8.9%US$17.81US$13.90n/a5
Jul ’25US$14.10
US$16.24
+15.2%
10.0%US$17.81US$13.40n/a5
Jun ’25US$14.39
US$15.69
+9.1%
9.3%US$17.50US$13.40n/a5
May ’25US$14.13
US$15.39
+8.9%
7.7%US$17.00US$13.40n/a5
Apr ’25US$12.90
US$13.51
+4.8%
17.9%US$15.50US$9.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$13.25
US$13.51
+2.0%
17.9%US$15.50US$9.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$10.51
US$11.82
+12.5%
13.4%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$9.76
US$10.19
+4.4%
11.0%US$11.50US$8.50n/a6
Dec ’24US$9.69
US$9.87
+1.8%
16.0%US$11.50US$7.10US$10.006
Nov ’24US$7.18
US$9.58
+33.4%
13.4%US$11.00US$7.50US$10.764
Oct ’24US$7.88
US$8.83
+12.0%
12.4%US$10.00US$7.50US$13.164
Sep ’24US$7.33
US$8.83
+20.4%
12.4%US$10.00US$7.50US$12.304
Aug ’24US$7.72
US$9.68
+25.3%
12.4%US$11.50US$8.50US$11.964
Jul ’24US$7.55
US$12.80
+69.5%
42.4%US$22.00US$8.70US$14.104
Jun ’24US$7.17
US$10.93
+52.4%
18.7%US$14.00US$8.70US$14.394
May ’24US$8.88
US$10.75
+21.1%
20.9%US$14.00US$8.00US$14.134
Apr ’24US$9.52
US$10.75
+12.9%
20.9%US$14.00US$8.00US$12.904
Mar ’24US$10.39
US$10.75
+3.5%
20.9%US$14.00US$8.00US$13.254
Feb ’24US$9.65
US$11.03
+14.2%
17.6%US$14.00US$9.10US$10.514
Jan ’24US$8.69
US$10.40
+19.7%
20.1%US$14.00US$9.00US$9.764
Dec ’23US$8.18
US$10.53
+28.7%
19.4%US$14.00US$9.00US$9.694

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 22:23
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Golden Ocean Group Limited is covered by 19 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Glenn LoddenABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Gregory LewisBTIG
Marius FurulyCarnegie Investment Bank AB