Stock Analysis

Loss-Making Liberty Latin America Ltd. (NASDAQ:LILA) Set To Breakeven

NasdaqGS:LILA
Source: Shutterstock

With the business potentially at an important milestone, we thought we'd take a closer look at Liberty Latin America Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:LILA) future prospects. Liberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services. On 31 December 2022, the US$1.8b market-cap company posted a loss of US$176m for its most recent financial year. Many investors are wondering about the rate at which Liberty Latin America will turn a profit, with the big question being “when will the company breakeven?” Below we will provide a high-level summary of the industry analysts’ expectations for the company.

View our latest analysis for Liberty Latin America

According to the 5 industry analysts covering Liberty Latin America, the consensus is that breakeven is near. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2022, before turning a profit of US$7.5m in 2023. The company is therefore projected to breakeven around 12 months from now or less. At what rate will the company have to grow in order to realise the consensus estimates forecasting breakeven in under 12 months? Using a line of best fit, we calculated an average annual growth rate of 110%, which is rather optimistic! If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:LILA Earnings Per Share Growth May 8th 2023

Underlying developments driving Liberty Latin America's growth isn’t the focus of this broad overview, but, bear in mind that by and large a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.

One thing we would like to bring into light with Liberty Latin America is its debt-to-equity ratio of over 2x. Generally, the rule of thumb is debt shouldn’t exceed 40% of your equity, and the company has considerably exceeded this. Note that a higher debt obligation increases the risk around investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

There are key fundamentals of Liberty Latin America which are not covered in this article, but we must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at Liberty Latin America, take a look at Liberty Latin America's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of essential factors you should further examine:

  1. Valuation: What is Liberty Latin America worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Liberty Latin America is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Liberty Latin America’s board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:LILA

Liberty Latin America

Provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services in Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, Jamaica, Latin America and the Caribbean, the Bahamas, Trinidad and Tobago, Barbados, Curacao, Chile, and internationally.

Undervalued with moderate growth potential.