Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Liberty Global Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:LBTY.A) Price

NasdaqGS:LBTY.A
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There wouldn't be many who think Liberty Global Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:LBTY.A) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Telecom industry in the United States is similar at about 1.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Liberty Global

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LBTY.A Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 6th 2024

What Does Liberty Global's Recent Performance Look Like?

Liberty Global certainly has been doing a good job lately as its revenue growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their revenue go backwards. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think the company's revenue will be less resilient moving forward. Those who are bullish on Liberty Global will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Liberty Global will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Liberty Global's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Liberty Global would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.0% last year. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 40% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 0.5% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 213% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Liberty Global's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Liberty Global's P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Given that Liberty Global's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Liberty Global (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.