AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTS): Is Breakeven Near?

With the business potentially at an important milestone, we thought we'd take a closer look at AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASTS) future prospects. AST SpaceMobile, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and provides access to a space-based cellular broadband network for smartphones in the United States. The company’s loss has recently broadened since it announced a US$88m loss in the full financial year, compared to the latest trailing-twelve-month loss of US$296m, moving it further away from breakeven. The most pressing concern for investors is AST SpaceMobile's path to profitability – when will it breakeven? Below we will provide a high-level summary of the industry analysts’ expectations for the company.

See our latest analysis for AST SpaceMobile

AST SpaceMobile is bordering on breakeven, according to the 5 American Telecom analysts. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2026, before turning a profit of US$541m in 2027. So, the company is predicted to breakeven approximately 2 years from today. How fast will the company have to grow each year in order to reach the breakeven point by 2027? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 53% year-on-year, on average, which is rather optimistic! If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of AST SpaceMobile's upcoming projects, though, bear in mind that generally a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.

One thing we’d like to point out is that The company has managed its capital judiciously, with debt making up 40% of equity. This means that it has predominantly funded its operations from equity capital, and its low debt obligation reduces the risk around investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

There are key fundamentals of AST SpaceMobile which are not covered in this article, but we must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at AST SpaceMobile, take a look at AST SpaceMobile's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of essential aspects you should further research:

1. Valuation: What is AST SpaceMobile worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether AST SpaceMobile is currently mispriced by the market.
2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on AST SpaceMobile’s board and the CEO’s background.
3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.