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AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

NasdaqGS:ASTS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$23.3b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

AST SpaceMobile Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

ASTceMobile's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -59.6%, while the Telecom industry saw earnings growing at 18.4% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 52.7% per year.

Key information

-59.59%

Earnings growth rate

-30.31%

EPS growth rate

Telecom Industry Growth6.72%
Revenue growth rate52.67%
Return on equity-33.83%
Net Margin-536.66%
Last Earnings Update30 Jun 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 01

AST SpaceMobile: Q2 Was The Most Bullish Call But Overshadowed By Possible Manufacturing Delays

Summary AST SpaceMobile remains a compelling buy, though I downgrade it to buy due to short-term manufacturing delays impacting satellite launch cadence. Q2 call highlighted multi-billion-dollar revenue potential across defense, B2B, IoT, and other segments, with the defense base case now raised to $3 billion annually. Fair value is $165 per share, reflecting a higher discount rate amid manufacturing uncertainty; the long-term target remains $315–$551 per share by 2030. Execution risk centers on scaling manufacturing and timely satellite deployment, but expanded production capacity and a strong cash position support the investment thesis. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Narrative Update • Aug 21

ASTS: Government And Partner Demand Will Support Direct To Device Rollout

Analysts have nudged their blended price target for AST SpaceMobile higher from about $71.51 to roughly $78.48, reflecting a mix of trimmed individual targets and refreshed models that emphasize government demand, reaffirmed guidance, and what they describe as a clearer long term revenue opportunity despite higher free cash flow burn and launch related delays. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AST SpaceMobile highlights a split between those focused on the long term direct to device opportunity and those emphasizing execution risks, launch delays, and valuation.
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Narrative Update • Aug 07

ASTS: Launch Disruptions And Financing Structure Will Constrain Future Upside

The updated analyst price target for AST SpaceMobile moves slightly lower from $43.78 to $42.50 as analysts factor in a higher discount rate, a richer future P/E assumption, and slightly more conservative long term profitability, even as growth expectations remain robust and recent research highlights both the pullback in the share price and rising institutional interest following launch disruptions and new partnership developments. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on AST SpaceMobile shows a wide spread of opinions on valuation, execution risk, and the pace of commercialization.
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Narrative Update • Jul 24

ASTS: Launch Delays And Financing Risks Will Pressure Future Returns

The analyst price target for AST SpaceMobile has been adjusted upward to reflect a new fair value estimate of $43.78. Analysts highlight recent pullbacks driven by launch delays rather than demand weakness, a preference for AST’s valuation versus other space stocks, and reinforced confidence in its direct-to-device partnerships and path to EBITDA upside.
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Narrative Update • Jul 10

ASTS: Japan JV And FCC Approval Will Drive Direct-To-Phone Coverage Potential

Analysts now see fair value for AST SpaceMobile at $108, up from $95, reflecting updated assumptions on launch timing, direct to device positioning relative to Starlink, and the recent mix of price target revisions and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AST SpaceMobile highlights a wide spread of views, with some analysts focusing on execution risks and others pointing to upside potential tied to direct to device momentum and new partnership structures.
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Narrative Update • Jun 26

ASTS: Launch Delays And Higher Capital Costs Will Pressure Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for AST SpaceMobile to about $41.47 from $43.00 as updated assumptions factor in higher discount rates, more conservative growth and margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple in light of recent launch delays and mixed recalibrations in Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AST SpaceMobile highlights a wide range of opinions, but the tilt in the latest batch of updates has been more cautious.
Analysis Article • Jun 18

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Stock Could Be 53% Undervalued After BlueBird Satellite Deployment

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) has entered a new phase after successfully launching and deploying its BlueBird 8, 9, and 10 satellites, a milestone that shifts the story toward operational execution and real-world network performance. See our latest analysis for AST SpaceMobile. Despite the successful BlueBird 8, 9, and 10 launch giving AST SpaceMobile fresh technical momentum, the stock has been volatile, with the share price down 5.58% over one day and 17.32% over seven days, yet backed by a very...
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New Narrative • May 29

AST SpaceMobile will achieve 80% revenue growth powered by their innovative future plans

For the custom valuation, I’m treating ASTS as a long-term scaling case, not something you can value off current earnings. The company is still in the early monetization phase, so current margins and PE don’t really tell you much about what the business could look like once the network is mature.
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New Narrative • May 29

AST SpaceMobile: The Boldest Direct-to-Cell Bet in Public Markets

Rating: Speculative Buy / Execution-driven moonshot Style: Pre-scale space and telecom infrastructure growth Core debate: Is AST SpaceMobile building the first truly valuable space-based cellular broadband network for ordinary smartphones, or is the stock already pricing in a near-perfect rollout of a technically ambitious and capital-intensive business? Executive view AST SpaceMobile is one of the most ambitious infrastructure stories in the market.
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New Narrative • Apr 17

ASTS: Technological Triumph Meets Financial Gravity; BlueBird 7 Launch marks the Peak, not the Pivot

Setup ASTS builds a low-Earth-orbit constellation that connects to unmodified mobile handsets using licensed carrier spectrum. BlueBird 7, the company's largest satellite to date, launched on Blue Origin's New Glenn-3 on 16 April 2026 , two days after Amazon's $11.6B acquisition of Globalstar turned a specialist niche into a hyperscaler land-grab.
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New Narrative • Feb 20

ASTS is a high upside/high execution risk stock.

A high-risk/high-reward potential, ASTS needs to meet all of the 2026 launch cadence/commercial activation milestones in order for me to consider the full bull-case. The Story AST Space Mobile is developing a space-based cellular broadband network which will allow phones to communicate via a network of satellites, and connect to a user's carrier.
Analysis Article • Jan 22

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTS) Analysts Are More Bearish Than They Used To Be

The analysts covering AST SpaceMobile, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTS ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 09

AST SpaceMobile: Avoid For Now

Summary AST SpaceMobile remains highly speculative with major revenue ramp uncertainties and aggressive competition, particularly from Starlink. The company needs to launch 60 satellites by 2026, requiring significant capital expenditure and substantial cash burn. The recent SDA contract offers a short-term revenue boost, but long-term commercialization remains challenging. Investors should be cautious due to high hurdles and potential need for additional funding, making the stock less attractive at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How AST SpaceMobile makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NasdaqGS:ASTS Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
30 Jun 26115-619164288
31 Mar 2685-487127228
31 Dec 2571-342102171
30 Sep 2519-30491152
30 Jun 255-35377142
31 Mar 255-32668133
31 Dec 244-30062122
30 Sep 243-29656117
30 Jun 241-14552109
31 Mar 241-9144117
31 Dec 230-8842126
30 Sep 230-6442126
30 Jun 234-5344125
31 Mar 2311-3747113
31 Dec 2214-3248100
30 Sep 2220-274988
30 Jun 2218-134673
31 Mar 2214-304267
31 Dec 2112-193653
30 Sep 219-242940
30 Jun 219-342230
31 Mar 216-201618
31 Dec 206-241214
30 Sep 204-19910
31 Dec 191-1156
31 Dec 180-422

Quality Earnings: ASTS is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: ASTS is currently unprofitable.


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: ASTS is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 59.6% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare ASTS's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: ASTS is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Telecom industry (-16.2%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: ASTS has a negative Return on Equity (-33.83%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/14 04:01
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mathieu RobilliardBarclays
Michael FilatovBerenberg
Michael FunkBofA Global Research

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