Stock Analysis

LightPath Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:LPTH) Stocks Pounded By 27% But Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing

LightPath Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:LPTH) shares have retraced a considerable 27% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 52% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking LightPath Technologies is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.1x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 2.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for LightPath Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:LPTH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 19th 2025

How LightPath Technologies Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, LightPath Technologies' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think LightPath Technologies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like LightPath Technologies' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.0% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 14% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 43% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 9.8%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that LightPath Technologies' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What Does LightPath Technologies' P/S Mean For Investors?

There's still some elevation in LightPath Technologies' P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that LightPath Technologies maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Electronic industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for LightPath Technologies (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on LightPath Technologies, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:LPTH

LightPath Technologies

Designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes optical systems and assemblies in the United States.

Flawless balance sheet with limited growth.

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