NCR Voyix (VYX): Assessing Fair Value After Recent Share Price Drop

NCR Voyix (VYX) has seen its stock come under some pressure recently, dropping around 12% over the past month. Investors are weighing ongoing business challenges against opportunities in its core markets, particularly following recent financial results.

See our latest analysis for NCR Voyix.

NCR Voyix’s 1-year total shareholder return sits at -16.2%, reflecting a wider loss of momentum that has gathered pace over recent weeks. While the stock’s sharp 12.6% drop this month follows a rocky run year-to-date, longer-term returns have also lagged, with few recent catalysts to energize the share price.

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With shares now trading well below analyst targets, the big question is whether NCR Voyix is cheap compared to its fundamentals, or if the market has already factored in the company’s future outlook. Is this a genuine buying opportunity, or are investors right to be cautious about further growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 30.6% Undervalued

The current narrative places NCR Voyix's fair value at $16.13 per share, creating a significant gap from the last close of $11.19. This highlights a clear case: either the market is overlooking considerable upside, or the story warrants closer examination.

Growing demand for integrated cloud-based POS and self-checkout solutions, driven by enterprise retailers' and restaurants' urgent need to modernize infrastructure and create seamless omnichannel experiences, is significantly expanding NCR Voyix's addressable market and driving sustained software revenue growth and a higher recurring revenue mix. This supports both top-line expansion and improved revenue visibility. The accelerating shift by consumers and merchants to cashless, contactless, and digitally integrated payments is increasing the need for advanced payment infrastructure. NCR Voyix's strategic expansion of end-to-end payment capabilities through its Worldpay and Voyix Pay platforms broadens wallet share opportunities, supports cross-selling, and is expected to boost net margins with higher-margin payment streams.

Read the complete narrative.

What is the underlying premise behind this wide fair value? The narrative’s calculations rely on notable earnings growth, increasing margins, and a future profit multiple typically seen in industry leaders. Interested in the projections turning a lagging stock into a transformation story? The full narrative reveals the numbers and assumptions that could make a significant difference.

Result: Fair Value of $16.13 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent declines in hardware sales or rising costs could undermine NCR Voyix’s recovery and challenge the assumption of stronger long-term profitability.

Find out about the key risks to this NCR Voyix narrative.

Build Your Own NCR Voyix Narrative

If you see things differently or want to dive deeper on your own terms, you can quickly build your perspective from scratch in just a few minutes with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your NCR Voyix research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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